Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 The GFS is awfully close with the front over western mass. Even with srly flow, I just don't see an increased chance for convection. It would probably be a dirty southerly flow with lots of stratus clouds and shwrs. sunny and 70s for all!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 sunny and 70s for all!!!! Not a cloud in the sky here and temps marching into the 60's already. How about there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 gfs mos bdl fri-thu: OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV OV| OV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Not a cloud in the sky here and temps marching into the 60's already. How about there? weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 sunny and 70s for all!!!! BEST SPRING EVER :sun: :sun: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 68-70 and showers with dews in the 60's is much better than what the Euro is serving up until it finally blasts the humidty in here mid week Well it's possible Monday could be warmer across south coastal New England, and then again maybe later Wednesday or Thursday, but it still might be accompanied by rain. I don't think Monday-Thursday is 48F and rain the whole time, but a good portion of it might be..especially away from the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Well it's possible Monday could be warmer across south coastal New England, and then again maybe later Wednesday or Thursday, but it still might be accompanied by rain. I don't think Monday-Thursday is 48F and rain the whole time, but a good portion of it might be..especially away from the south coast. hopefully that boundary ends up in NNE or something. if it's like the ec ens positioning, it would be a nightmare...not only would that be cool/raw at times but it would probably be a ton of rain for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 hopefully that boundary ends up in NNE or something. if it's like the ec ens positioning, it would be a nightmare...not only would that be cool/raw at times but it would probably be a ton of rain for someone. Yeah that's the worst solution of all the guidance. I guess the better news is that after next week, the pattern is more conducive to nicer weather. At least the overall pattern is...details TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 hopefully that boundary ends up in NNE or something. if it's like the ec ens positioning, it would be a nightmare...not only would that be cool/raw at times but it would probably be a ton of rain for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 BEST SPRING EVER :sun: :sun: What are you thinking for next week? And the answer "to be honest I haven't looked at much" can't be used Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 12, 2011 Author Share Posted May 12, 2011 Well it's possible Monday could be warmer across south coastal New England, and then again maybe later Wednesday or Thursday, but it still might be accompanied by rain. I don't think Monday-Thursday is 48F and rain the whole time, but a good portion of it might be..especially away from the south coast. That would be great On 98.5 The Sports Hub this morning, they were describing the weather as "suicide weather", and how they would need to get some of those lamps depressed people need to combat SAD... I was thinking of MaineJayhawk's toaster-tub pics... Perfect out here in central Mass. Cerullean skies and a few stratocumulus clouds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Yeah that's the worst solution of all the guidance. I guess the better news is that after next week, the pattern is more conducive to nicer weather. At least the overall pattern is...details TBD. yeah i was noticing that. i keep telling people that. hopefully after all this breaks down we get into some of litchfieldlibations' weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 That would be great On 98.5 The Sports Hub this morning, they were describing the weather as "suicide weather", and how they would need to get some of those lamps depressed people need to combat SAD... I was thinking of MaineJayhawk's toaster-tub pics... Perfect out here in central Mass. Cerullean skies and a few stratocumulus clouds... LOL - yesterday one of my buddies said "i'm surprised you didn't find me hanging from the rafters when you walked in here" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 12, 2011 Author Share Posted May 12, 2011 LOL - yesterday one of my buddies said "i'm surprised you didn't find me hanging from the rafters when you walked in here" chair, rope, chair tipped over Any good winds out your way the last few days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 chair, rope, chair tipped over Any good winds out your way the last few days? nothing too crazy. max i saw was something like 43 mph at HYA and FMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Generally speaking ..in my area...the time has come to root for cooler solutions and more Northeast troffiness. I hate heat, and cooler solutions now are gonna mean 50/60s if it's cloudy and 70's if it's full sun. That suits me fine. This week for example we were under a trough and it was a picture perfect wx pattern. Boring of course from a weenie perspective, but aside from the odd thunderstorm it's gonna be boring until Fall so you concentrate on other endeavors. If I had to bet..I'd lean to something a little more euro-like. I think the pattern has a cooler look to it, but just a little more se ridging and things change quite a bit. For Joe, still looks like there might be some shwrs in the area, but still the chance the better rains are nw like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 From what I can see I don't envy the climate in SE NE. Changeovers to rain the bulk of the winter storms (with an odd big dump of snow excepted) and then marine air misery till early Summer. I guess it is lovely on the seashore from July -> September anyway. LOL - yesterday one of my buddies said "i'm surprised you didn't find me hanging from the rafters when you walked in here" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 From what I can see I don't envy the climate in SE NE. Changeovers to rain the bulk of the winter storms (with an odd big dump of snow excepted) and then marine air misery till early Summer. I guess it is lovely on the seashore from July -> September anyway. 3 good months out of the year there = get as far away as possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 From what I can see I don't envy the climate in SE NE. Changeovers to rain the bulk of the winter storms (with an odd big dump of snow excepted) and then marine air misery till early Summer. I guess it is lovely on the seashore from July -> September anyway. LOL. yeah i'm pretty accustomed to it and don't think i'd like it any other way. goes back to what we were talking about yesterday i think...people sort of develop a liking for what their particular backyard offers. i'd definitely prefer more snow in the winter but at the same time i don't think i'd like to swap that for always having currier & ives storms with no wind/waves/drifting/damage etc. even in these bad spring weeks, i always think there is something so cool about big coastals. the fact that we can be under the gun for 4 straight days etc. is just impressive to me. i think it's just a product of growing up on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 The CDC overnight teleconnectors for the PNA and NAO are signaling a very warm turn around and one that should be underway beginning D6 and really getting going by D10. CPC is a bit less aggressive with their numbers but do show a collapse of an obnoxiously high +PNA value after D7 - so that is tentative agreement. The NAO is elevated(ing) with both. This is somewhat reminiscent albeit slightly less than the same appeal, to that which preceeded the early June heatwave of '08 where/when the NAO rose in tandem with PNA crashing. May is about the last month before the PNA's (in particular) correlation on the field desolves into noise. A positive PNA in July does and does not mean the PNAP pattern over N/A about 50% of the time, which means limited or no predictive skill using that indice. May...still somewhat better than even odds. It is no wonder that both the GFS and ECM. The deterministic guidance of the ECM and GFS are lagging on this, thought, both showing cooler solutions at least excuse imaginable from run to run. They are, however, both indicating a SE ridge at least struggling to present - I think it quite possible we erupt into a more summery regime all at once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 The CDC overnight teleconnectors for the PNA and NAO are signaling a very warm turn around and one that should be underway beginning D6 and really getting going by D10. CPC is a bit less aggressive with their numbers but do show a collapse of an obnoxiously high +PNA value after D7 - so that is tentative agreement. The NAO is elevated(ing) with both. This is somewhat reminiscent albeit slightly less than the same appeal, to that which preceeded the early June heatwave of '08 where/when the NAO rose in tandem with PNA crashing. May is about the last month before the PNA's (in particular) correlation on the field desolves into noise. A positive PNA in July does and does not mean the PNAP pattern over N/A about 50% of the time, which means limited or no predictive skill using that indice. May...still somewhat better than even odds. It is no wonder that both the GFS and ECM. The deterministic guidance of the ECM and GFS are lagging on this, thought, both showing cooler solutions at least excuse imaginable from run to run. They are, however, both indicating a SE ridge at least struggling to present - I think it quite possible we erupt into a more summery regime all at once... The last 10 - 12 days of May look like a full fledged torch. The kind that may not be that hot but very hunid with warm nighttime mins where the sheets stick to your weenie if you don't have ac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 The last 10 - 12 days of May look like a full fledged torch. The kind that may not be that hot but very hunid with warm nighttime mins where the sheets stick to your weenie if you don't have ac Did you ever push the CTHeat agenda like you've done since last summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Did you ever push the CTHeat agenda like you've done since last summer? I don't think it's a hot summer..just very humid..with frequent warm sectors and fropas..wash, rinse repeat..but enough so it will remembered as a very muggy summer..not for high heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noforsnow Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Landed in SNE last night and am fortunate to be in the part of the region that is enjoying what we in South Florida call "Chamber of Commerce" winter weather: Bright sun, low dewpoints and temperatures in the low 70's here in Pittsfield, MA. I'm glad I'm not in the cold marine stuff east of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Balmy 54F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Balmy 54F. 71 BDL Weenies slung out side of car and tanning while driving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Not to sound like you know who.... but today is about as beautiful as it gets in CT and W Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Not to sound like you know who.... but today is about as beautiful as it gets in CT and W Mass. Joe FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 71 BDL Weenies slung out side of car and tanning while driving It's warmed up to 55F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 62F and oscillating between sun/clouds and OVC. Not a bad day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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