CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Euro is an epic fail next week with cool temps and the potential for flash flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 lol the 12z Euro has the potential for +RA Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 6:43 PM, CT Rain said: lol the 12z Euro has the potential for +RA Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday toss the euro TORCCHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 6:41 PM, CT Rain said: Euro is an epic fail next week with cool temps and the potential for flash flooding. Should Ginx start moving the furniture to the 3rd floor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:05 PM, CT Blizz said: Should Ginx start moving the furniture to the 3rd floor? It's still out on the front yard drying from March 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 I don't think next week will be a washout or 50s all week. But I think the GFS MOS is far too warm and we're going to see lots of clouds, 2 days of heavy rain possibly, and muggy mid 60s. At least that's what I'm forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 I do have rain and 58 for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 Sun is finally out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:06 PM, CT Rain said: I do have rain and 58 for Sunday. LOL and perhaps next Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:22 PM, CoastalWx said: LOL and perhaps next Sunday. The Euro is just awwwwwwful next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 LOL @ the 12z euro. dear lord is that awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:06 PM, CT Rain said: I don't think next week will be a washout or 50s all week. But I think the GFS MOS is far too warm and we're going to see lots of clouds, 2 days of heavy rain possibly, and muggy mid 60s. At least that's what I'm forecasting. there has to be some dry periods in there...but man that is an ugly ugly look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:26 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: LOL @ the 12z euro. dear lord is that awful. With an ULL in that position and a crazy-blocked pattern it's solution makes sense. Not to mention the fact it's a classic flood setup for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:06 PM, CT Rain said: I don't think next week will be a washout or 50s all week. But I think the GFS MOS is far too warm and we're going to see lots of clouds, 2 days of heavy rain possibly, and muggy mid 60s. At least that's what I'm forecasting. Agreed. just a muggy, showery week. Though i wouldn't be shocked if a day we truly warm sectored. I don't think anyone sees east flow and 50-55 for days like the Euro has. That would lead some folks to start sticking fingers into sockets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:27 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: there has to be some dry periods in there...but man that is an ugly ugly look. With a deep SE flow yeah we'll see a dry day or two in there but lots of clouds when it's not raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:22 PM, CoastalWx said: LOL and perhaps next Sunday. i think tomorrow and saturday are the only 2 days it doesn't have measurable precip in that 10 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:27 PM, CT Blizz said: Agreed. just a muggy, showery week. Though i wouldn't be shocked if a day we truly warm sectored. I don't think anyone sees east flow and 50-55 for days like the Euro has. That would lead some folks to start sticking fingers into sockets This isn't going to be a warm sector storm cutting to our west setup. There will be a stalled front near or west of us with a deep and long lives SE flow bringing in lots of rain. So yeah probably overnight lows in the 50s highs in the 60s. It is possible... though... depending on how the ULL evolves we get that front to sag south with high pressure nosing in from the NE which would be an epic disaster with like a 52F day and heavy rain with stiff NE winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:23 PM, CT Rain said: The Euro is just awwwwwwful next week As bad as your and Kevins Winter forecast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:27 PM, CT Rain said: With an ULL in that position and a crazy-blocked pattern it's solution makes sense. Not to mention the fact it's a classic flood setup for SNE. yeah high pwat air coming up from the subtropics then running up and over that boundary. red flag is basin-wide totals of 3+ over the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:29 PM, CT Rain said: This isn't going to be a warm sector storm cutting to our west setup. There will be a stalled front near or west of us with a deep and long lives SE flow bringing in lots of rain. So yeah probably overnight lows in the 50s highs in the 60s. It is possible... though... depending on how the ULL evolves we get that front to sag south with high pressure nosing in from the NE which would be an epic disaster with like a 52F day and heavy rain with stiff NE winds. Some folks would enjoy that..as unlikely as it is. I could see MRG and Will enjoying a week like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:30 PM, Ginx said: As bad as your and Kevins Winter forecast? Better put the house on stilts this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:31 PM, CT Blizz said: Some folks would enjoy that..as unlikely as it is. I could see MRG and Will enjoying a week like that. I know... they're sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:31 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: yeah high pwat air coming up from the subtropics then running up and over that boundary. red flag is basin-wide totals of 3+ over the next week. A stalled ULL for 5 days southwest of us always raises the red flag. It's normally a narrow area of +RA too. Sometimes you get like 7" of rain in a week in the Poconos and just showers and humidity in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:31 PM, CT Blizz said: Some folks would enjoy that..as unlikely as it is. I could see MRG and Will enjoying a week like that. Beats 68/64, cloudy and gross wx. Throw on a sweatshirt and your comfortable. How can you be comfortable with dps in the upper 60s? You can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:34 PM, weatherMA said: Beats 68/64, cloudy and gross wx. Throw on a sweatshirt and your comfortable. How can you be comfortable with dps in the upper 60s? You can't. because it wouldn't be cold and miserable in late May Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:34 PM, weatherMA said: Beats 68/64, cloudy and gross wx. Throw on a sweatshirt and your comfortable. How can you be comfortable with dps in the upper 60s? You can't. To be honest I'd prefer a day of 4" of rain, some thunder, and 50F to off and on showers and 65 and humid. I do like gloomy heavy rain days every once in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:35 PM, CT Rain said: To be honest I'd prefer a day of 4" of rain, some thunder, and 50F to off and on showers and 65 and humid. I do like gloomy heavy rain days every once in a while. Not 5 straight days of it in late May like the Euro depicts though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:36 PM, CT Blizz said: Not 5 straight days of it in late May like the Euro depicts though It won't rain heavily every day... there will be dry periods (which the Euro has) but it's a very wet and chilly pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:35 PM, CT Rain said: To be honest I'd prefer a day of 4" of rain, some thunder, and 50F to off and on showers and 65 and humid. I do like gloomy heavy rain days every once in a while. Exactly. I'm not saying I'd rather have a week of that, but it beats it being really humid and uncomfortable. 70-75F and dry would be ideal in mid-may. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted May 12, 2011 Share Posted May 12, 2011 On 5/12/2011 at 7:33 PM, CT Rain said: A stalled ULL for 5 days southwest of us always raises the red flag. It's normally a narrow area of +RA too. Sometimes you get like 7" of rain in a week in the Poconos and just showers and humidity in SNE. yep exactly. wouldn't count on huge area wide totals. just saying that seeing guidance pump out such big numbers over a large area shows its seeing the potential. seems like everytime we have a big qpf event progged like that you can take the highest modeled qpf and then like double or triple it to get the actual highest spot IMBY total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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