CooL Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 The rain was good, my car needed a good washing with all the pollen and the air is fresh again. This weekend is looking nice, expecially fri/sat..Nam going with low 60's on Fri, most places west of the sea breeze will get to 70 imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 I'm fine with one day like this, besides, the pollen levels have been knocked down. Exactly. Breezy, Sunny 70's can stay the heck away until June for all I care because by then allergy season will have subsided. Constant rain and cool temperatures works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 not surprised about the snow in wv...we had several inches of snow in londonderry, vt last weekend when i was up there. the next day it was near 70 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 and i think we're going to salvage the end of today...it should dry out over the next two hrs. this is especially true over nj...the clearing line is nearing the delaware river right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 The rain was good, my car needed a good washing with all the pollen and the air is fresh again. This weekend is looking nice, expecially fri/sat..Nam going with low 60's on Fri, most places west of the sea breeze will get to 70 imo Yeah, because this model has an excellent track record over the past few days Too cold for my likeing. It's May, we should be wearing shorts and T-shirts just about every day. Were only 26 days away from Memorial Day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Yeah, because this model has an excellent track record over the past few days Too cold for my likeing. It's May, we should be wearing shorts and T-shirts just about every day. Were only 26 days away from Memorial Day i never have and never will believe the Nam QPF outputs, but today was just a traditional cold front passage with a half inch of rain. The frontogenesis was pretty strong with nice forcing and you can easily tell last night that this morning was going to be a washout. Especially when it was moving as slow as it was. No biggie and not exciting at all, and most importantly, no floods. and i wouldnt expect consistent 70s and 80s until we get out of this -NAO pattern that sprung up for the first part of May it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Yeah, because this model has an excellent track record over the past few days Too cold for my likeing. It's May, we should be wearing shorts and T-shirts just about every day. Were only 26 days away from Memorial Day grammar fail in this post...sheesh. also, you have to know how to use the nam. knowing it's biases and tendencies is extremely important. if you don't learn them, or choose to ignore them, the model will be completely useless to you and will seem incredibly bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 and i wouldnt expect consistent 70s and 80s until we get out of this -NAO pattern that sprung up for the first part of May it looks like. the sustained -nao idea seems to be on it's last legs per the latest global and superensembles. the blocking that builds over central canada will be there for the next several weeks, no doubt, but every time the guidance tries to build a persistent trough into the east, it becomes more progressive than anything else. here's a good point..the gefs means signaling a torch potential around 180 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 i never have and never will believe the Nam QPF outputs, but today was just a traditional cold front passage with a half inch of rain. The frontogenesis was pretty strong with nice forcing and you can easily tell last night that this morning was going to be a washout. Especially when it was moving as slow as it was. No biggie and not exciting at all, and most importantly, no floods. and i wouldnt expect consistent 70s and 80s until we get out of this -NAO pattern that sprung up for the first part of May it looks like. Per the GFS we get to enjoy a bit of ridging in the long term before a pesky ULL parks itself, followed by a return to a SW flow pattern and renewed severe weather threats south and west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Anyone else starting to think differential advection next week? We've got a pretty impressive heat ridge building in the Plains w/ +20c 850s burgeoning to the northeast, with NWLY upper level flow across the Lakes and Northeast. May need to monitor for some ring of fire type convective opportunities especially Mon-Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Finished with nearly 1" of rain. Just ended here in Monmouth. 48F and OVC. Looks like we might salvage the sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 i never have and never will believe the Nam QPF outputs, but today was just a traditional cold front passage with a half inch of rain. The frontogenesis was pretty strong with nice forcing and you can easily tell last night that this morning was going to be a washout. Especially when it was moving as slow as it was. No biggie and not exciting at all, and most importantly, no floods. and i wouldnt expect consistent 70s and 80s until we get out of this -NAO pattern that sprung up for the first part of May it looks like. Average high at NYC is only 67. You shouldn't be expecting consistent 70s and 80s at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Average high at NYC is only 67. You shouldn't be expecting consistent 70s and 80s at all. The average high increases remarkably as May progresses with a mean May average IMBY of 70 degrees. And let's face it, Upper 60's to low 70's is shorts and T-Shirt weather with a May sun angle, at least for me. I was a tad suprised to see that the highest the average high gets here all year is 84. If we get more summers like last year that number is going to go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Average high at NYC is only 67. You shouldn't be expecting consistent 70s and 80s at all. sorry, i still have a hangover from last year's spring. lol Not long till NYC's avg high is 70, tho. Its coming soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 .60 of rain her and a temp of 49 meh........try to clear out here, but clouds move back in.....prob going to only salvage a sunset....why did the models have troubel with this set-up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteorjosh Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 This season has not been too unusual, the problem is simply that Spring in the NE generally is none too pleasant...I bike to work and my wet weather gear has been getting a good workout. Average high at NYC is only 67. You shouldn't be expecting consistent 70s and 80s at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 not bad today, sun peaked out mid afternoon and we topped out at 72 IMBY, expecting 80 tomorrow talk of temps not getting out of the 40s this week was grossly exaggerated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 talk of temps NOT GETTING OUT OF THE 40s THIS WEEK was grossly exaggerated. It's been in the 40s all week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 talk of temps NOT GETTING OUT OF THE 40s THIS WEEK was grossly exaggerated. It's been in the 40s all week? we had 80's all week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 we had 80's all week? Who said we were supposed to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Who said we were supposed to? You know that guys track recorded for posting, plus Birds of a feather flock together, so it does not shock me your trying to make a case for him. You know what he ment, so stop acting like a child. If he is going to have a troll post, fair game to get called on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 You know that guys track recorded for posting, plus Birds of a feather flock together, so it does not shock me your trying to make a case for him. You know what he ment, so stop acting like a child. If he is going to have a troll post, fair game to get called on it. Can you repost in English please? Either way, by virtue of our highs earlier in the week being in the 60s-80s (NYC was 69, 63, and 75), talk of us not getting out of the 40s this week was pretty ridiculous. I'm not sure what is wrong with his post. Do you have issues with factual statements? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Can you repost in English please? Either way, by virtue of our highs earlier in the week being in the 60s-80s (NYC was 69, 63, and 75), talk of us not getting out of the 40s this week was pretty ridiculous. I'm not sure what is wrong with his post. Do you have issues with factual statements? So today everyone got out of the 40's? From what i understand his post said this week. Does that exclude wednesday of this week? Im sorry if you did not understand that saying, pretty much went over ur immature head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 NJ Hot SpotsCity, StateTempCarneys Point, NJ 54Lower Township, NJ 2Hamilton Twp. (Mercer), NJ 52Atlantic City (NJDOT), NJ 52Atlantic City Airport, NJ 52 NJ Cool SpotsCity, StateTempHigh Pt. Monument, NJ 41High Point, NJ 43Wantage, NJ 45Ramsey, NJ 45Netcong, NJ 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 So today everyone got out of the 40's? From what i understand his post said this week. Does that exclude wednesday of this week? Im sorry if you did not understand that saying, pretty much went over ur immature head. Tim, I thought we were incapable of having highs this cold in May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Tim, I thought we were incapable of having highs this cold in May. Well according to pazzo everday is climo or higher, so history was broken today. Coldest day ever in may. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Can't believe it's May 4th and I'm at 48 degrees. Great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Can't believe it's May 4th and I'm at 48 degrees. Great. very similar to 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Can't believe it's May 4th and I'm at 48 degrees. Great. It happens. IDK about LaGuardia or JFK, but out in the 'burbs most May's see temps dip into the 30s at least once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted May 5, 2011 Author Share Posted May 5, 2011 It happens. IDK about LaGuardia or JFK, but out in the 'burbs most May's see temps dip into the 30s at least once. I always bring this up, Memorial Day weekend, twenty years ago, Atlantic City airport (Pamona) had a low of 19o F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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