IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Radar finally filling in now just south of the city. This rain will make it into the area and should pave the road for more to come behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Radar finally filling in now just south of the city. This rain will make it into the area and should pave the road for more to come behind it. Looks to arrive just around the time I need to travel 100 blocks. Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 The sun has warmed it up to 63 here in Long Beach now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Heaviest rains are still over Suffolk County. Batches in ocean keep breaking down as they head towards city. That one batch appears to be holding and heading for NYC metro in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 band in LI & CT is breaking up too--looks like a few hours of not much happening at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 That radar loop looks like it needs to be refreshed, rain is already approaching the city http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=dix&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I don't trust that radar. It's obviously wrong or it would be raining where I am already. The accuwx radar seems more accurate as it doesn't show much activity at all near the city. http://proa.accuweather.com/adcbin/professional/local_radar_large.asp?nxtype=r1&type=still&nxsite=KPHL That radar loop looks like it needs to be refreshed, rain is already approaching the city http://radar.weather...id=dix&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 That radar loop looks like it needs to be refreshed, rain is already approaching the city http://radar.weather...id=dix&loop=yes That is the Composite loop not the Base loop. here is the base loop: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=DIX&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 That batch of rain south of NYC is really drying up quick as it approaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Any snow in the forecast coming up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I don't trust that radar. It's obviously wrong or it would be raining where I am already. The accuwx radar seems more accurate as it doesn't show much activity at all near the city. http://proa.accuweat...ill&nxsite=KPHL Some of what its showing could be virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 our main precip event isn't going to look like a band off the ocean, it's going to develop overhead as isentropic lift increases later notice that the 2" amounts don't extend south over the ocean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 our main precip event isn't going to look like a band off the ocean, it's going to develop overhead as isentropic lift increases later notice that the 2" amounts don't extend south over the ocean Yeah, the WRF simulated radar I posted earlier was hinting at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meteorjosh Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Oh, wow, how exciting! more rain, clouds and Nov temps...maybe we can get this to last all summer and break the suicide record! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 sun is out, rain has stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 where is the rain? ja..my forecast said Heavy Rain..from 12pm.. and is 6pm..and nice no rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Huge rain amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Dgex has 80's next week, the euro looks toasty in the medium/long range as well..Just gotta get thru this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 amazing how these echoes south of the metro have dried up this afternoon, heavier slug moving into central ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 sun is out, beautiful right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 sunny and beautiful right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 If I were in Upton's boots, I'd consider changing tomorrow's forecast to a less pessimistic mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Also Thursday, some of the guidance is now waning on the precip and cloud cover, I would expect it to be partly sunny with temps around 70. IMO, I just don't see the abundant rainfall happening in most locales. Isolated flooding? Sure. Widespread? Probably not. Then again, if you're near a river the effects can travel downstream and be an impact independent of whether it rains torrents over your house. We'll see though, but my unprofessional guess from observations and model trends has this more of a hit and miss flooding situation rather than a widespread deluge. Thereafter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 Omg that band of rain is coming on shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 u figure by 10-11pm we get going around most of the area. that is, if the rain holds together. it looked like all day we'd get constant rain off the Atlantic, only for it to die out as it got up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 Omg that band of rain is coming on shore Lol, your sarcasm is palpable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 If I were in Upton's boots, I'd consider changing tomorrow's forecast to a less pessimistic mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Also Thursday, some of the guidance is now waning on the precip and cloud cover, I would expect it to be partly sunny with temps around 70. IMO, I just don't see the abundant rainfall happening in most locales. Isolated flooding? Sure. Widespread? Probably not. Then again, if you're near a river the effects can travel downstream and be an impact independent of whether it rains torrents over your house. We'll see though, but my unprofessional guess from observations and model trends has this more of a hit and miss flooding situation rather than a widespread deluge. Thereafter... I agree, I think the big shots of rain are over after the last band tonight which is breaking up somewhat. Probably still some parts of the area that have seen less than an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 u figure by 10-11pm we get going around most of the area. that is, if the rain holds together. it looked like all day we'd get constant rain off the Atlantic, only for it to die out as it got up here this event has been a bust for 80-90% of the area so far.... bust meaning the huge totals not verifying...sure, it's been a lousy stretch, but much of the time has been rain free.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 this event has been a bust for 80-90% of the area so far.... bust meaning the huge totals not verifying...sure, it's been a lousy stretch, but much of the time has been rain free.... Radar is really filling in to the south, however...looks as if those 45-50dbz echoes may train over the Metro later. I think most of us realized the HPC areas of 4-5" widespread were optimistic. Anyway, I have 1.96" for the event, at 57.7/57 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 this event won't be over until tomorrow night. there is plenty of time to increase totals across the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 18, 2011 Share Posted May 18, 2011 this event won't be over until tomorrow night. there is plenty of time to increase totals across the board How much do you have and how much more are you predicting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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