tmagan Posted May 17, 2011 Author Share Posted May 17, 2011 13Z RUC brings the 0.25" isohyet to Long Island during the 23Z, 0Z time period. By the way, if you want heavy rains, look what is going on just east of Puerto Rico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I like how mother nature shows whose in charge. While we're bickering about max rainfall amounts, the sun comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Never thought I would see the sun out today. Go figure.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 destabalization..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 That band is becoming much better organized now east of ACY. Looks like it will bring us some more widespread steady rainfall. Radar shows a large area of 0.25" + per hour rates growing in size with 0.5" per hour rates popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 That thunderstorm woke me up, heard some pretty decent thunder and saw lightning. JFK almost got an inch of rain, I assume we're about the same. The sun looks like it wants to be seen today, the overcast sky is very very bright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 destabalization..... yep, this is gonna get interesting. Just look at that stuff coming up from the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Sun trying to pop out here in NE Queens as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Doesn't really seem to be progressing very much though. Having a tough time making it onshore That band is becoming much better organized now east of ACY. Looks like it will bring us some more widespread steady rainfall. Radar shows a large area of 0.25" + per hour rates growing in size with 0.5" per hour rates popping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Temp climbing up now somewhat. 57 in midtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Doesn't really seem to be progressing very much though. Having a tough time making it onshore Def. an area of subsidence over jersey likely related to the heavy banding to the east over the ocean. Organized banding and or rain is not in the cards for most of jersey today outside pop up showers and storms. Could be some good boomers later in some locals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Doesn't really seem to be progressing very much though. Having a tough time making it onshore Looks like its making a line right towards Long Island. With the western edge of it going over NJ and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 bullseye looks to be the city itself with the next batch, allowing both NE NJ and Western LI to get in on the fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Well hello there Mr. Sun.... Out down by NYU in city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 bullseye looks to be the city itself with the next batch, allowing both NE NJ and Western LI to get in on the fun As long as I am in my office watching. My luck is right when I leave for the subway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 New forecast out of Upton, pretty sure all they did was increase totals over the city and LI a tad and keep NJ and upstate NY the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 If you guys have a large enough screen resolution, the best radar/nexrad image for our area are the images available from Rutgers. I've scouted for many radars in the past, and theirs has proven most reliable and useful, especially in events such as this. I'm not affiliated with them in any way, so it's a shameless plug. As it were, this is one of the few sites where Level II data is freely available without using a client (such as GRLevel2), and indispensable for viewing radar trends especially with tropical connections. http://synoptic.envs...t%20Dix%20Radar (forewarned though, it is a large image) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 If you guys have a large enough screen resolution, the best radar/nexrad image for our area are the images available from Rutgers. I've scouted for many radars in the past, and theirs has proven most reliable and useful, especially in events such as this. I'm not affiliated with them in any way, so it's a shameless plug. As it were, this is one of the few sites where Level II data is freely available without using a client (such as GRLevel2), and indispensable for viewing radar trends especially with tropical connections. http://synoptic.envs...t%20Dix%20Radar (forewarned though, it is a large image) nice find, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I love these days.. but I know the heat is almost coming.. hopefully we can stay with rain..cloudy, sunny..and 60s-70s for a longer time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 looks like there will definitly be some flash flooding in the city this afternoon. That band keeps intensifying as it slowly moves north. Whomever is unlucky enough to get under it could see persistant 0.5" + per hour rainfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 looks like there will definitly be some flash flooding in the city this afternoon. That band keeps intensifying as it slowly moves north. Whomever is unlucky enough to get under it could see persistant 0.5" + per hour rainfall rates. Looks like heaviest axis will be east of city. More towards Suffolk County. We'll see if the western fringe strengthens, but right now, heaviest is aiming well east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 The NAM continues to flag thursday as a warm day--where we can get some sun and move into the 70's away from the beaches. The SREF agree.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 This model does an excellent job of showing how as time goes on, the axis of heaviest rain will be continuously shifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Looking here, I don't think that precip south of LI ever makes it far enough north to affect our region. It seems as the loop goes on, a new precip shield forms almost directly over the region. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/WRFRAD_12z/jloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Off topic given what's currently transpiring...but there's some increasing signals for the first real torch of the year around Day 7-10. The Euro and global super ensembles are really beaming a warm signal..the GEFS means at 12z have heights rising with a dramatic blocking breakdown. I'm pretty confident we will be very warm this time next week and into next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Off topic given what's currently transpiring...but there's some increasing signals for the first real torch of the year around Day 7-10. The Euro and global super ensembles are really beaming a warm signal..the GEFS means at 12z have heights rising with a dramatic blocking breakdown. I'm pretty confident we will be very warm this time next week and into next weekend. Will believe it when we are within 3 days. Right now the patter has been to delay and deny real heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Hopefully that means were in for a gorgous Memorial Day weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 2008 was even worse than this. We had a couple days where afternoon temps were in the 40's and yet still managed to have a warm memorial day weekend. I do think the same thing will happen this year. It just always finds a way to warm up right around that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Hopefully that means were in for a gorgous Memorial Day weekend I think we're looking really good right now. The Euro is posted above and the GEFS below. If you look at the individuals you can see the signal pretty well...this is a pretty strong signal in itself, which works well in tandem with the blocking breakdown and global index transition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Looking here, I don't think that precip south of LI ever makes it far enough north to affect our region. It seems as the loop goes on, a new precip shield forms almost directly over the region. http://www.meteo.psu..._12z/jloop.html Its entering LI right now and continues to lift slowly north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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