jasonli18t Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 you keep saying the banding is going to shift to the s and w, and its not. Your backyard bias is laughable. I found some home video of him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 lets see if this works. Insanse band over the island going up into CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Through 21hrs on the 12z NAM, Western LI, SE upstate and nearly all of NJ see 0.75"-1.25". Through 24hrs, an area of 1.5" pops up for western LI, NE NJ and the city itself. No suprises here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 lets see if this works keep looking at radar images that are zoomed in and don't show the whole picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 keep looking at radar images that are zoomed in and don't show the whole picture this has nothing to do with you, the image is to show the intense banding on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 this has nothing to do with you, the image is to show the intense banding on the island. I can pretty much tell you have no idea who your talking too, and lets leave it at that. Shouldn't you be at school right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 current radar would indicate that the heaviest rain is not going to be over LI, but from the city westward into NE NJ. Someone with geographical enhancement probably sees the most rain with West Milford or someone in Orange County probably coming in ontop. Far Western LI looks to be getting in on some decent convection at the moment. Radar shows otherwise at the moment. Long Island the winner this morning along with northern Westchester and extreme SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 The next big batch out in the ocean is looking to taking aim at Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Radar shows otherwise at the moment. Long Island the winner this morning along with northern Westchester and extreme SW CT. rain over central LI will be ending before noon as the focus shifts futher westward. Its pretty clearly seen here. http://radar.weather...101111&loop=yes Edit: The back line is filling in a tad, woud be cool if the whole thing consolidated into a super band and was wide enough to get us all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 In the heavy band with thunder and lightning too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 New NAM says were all winners through 36hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 12z NAM shifted the heaviest rains east, over the next 24 hours, and matches the current radar very well. Has the 1.50" bullseye over extreme NE Queens, Nassau County, Western Suffolk County and SWCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 New NAM says were all winners through 36hrs We are discussing TODAY. not tomorrow. Todays bullseye appears to be Queens, Nassau, Western Suffolk and SWCT: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 jesus people-enough with the bickering... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 We are discussing TODAY. not tomorrow. Todays bullseye appears to be Queens, Nassau, Western Suffolk and SWCT: you can discuss today, I'll discuss the entire multi day event. We don't even have a seperate thread up, quite frankly I could be discussing the weather for Memorial Day right now and that would be on topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 We are discussing TODAY. not tomorrow. Todays bullseye appears to be Queens, Nassau, Western Suffolk and SWCT: seriously, no one here has mentioned anything beyond today for the axis of heaviest precip. These events are too unpredictable to go out more than 12-24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 jesus people-enough with the bickering... there are three or four people on here within a forum of over a thousand members who insist on doing whatever they can to trash my every post. This is an online weather forum, and perhaps they should focus there energy on more relevant things in life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 you can discuss today, I'll discuss the entire multi day event. We don't even have a seperate thread up, quite frankly I could be discussing the weather for Memorial Day right now and that would be on topic. We were discussing today's bullseye and how it shifted east and is now for LI, based on current radar. And new NAM confirms it. Thats all. Yesterday's models, including euro, had the heaviest rains for today over NJ. But based on the current radar and now the 12z NAM, it appears its all shifted east by about 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 a certain someone needs to stop mentioning my name each and everytime this area is forecasted to see heavy rain. If I changed my name to floodfan85 and said I hope that we get 30" of rain and the world ends would that make you happy? seriously, I wish there was a way to block someone so that you never saw any of there posts. That would make me very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 We were discussing today's bullseye and how it shifted east and is now for LI, based on current radar. And new NAM confirms it. Thats all. Yesterday's models, including euro, had the heaviest rains for today over NJ. But based on the current radar and now the 12z NAM, it appears its all shifted east by about 50 miles. second batch getting organized, should take the same approach. The heavy stuff over the city sat for a while but moved north pretty quick out of LI and SW CT. Lets see if the second batch hangs around longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 a certain someone needs to stop mentioning my name each and everytime this area is forecasted to see heavy rain. If I changed my name to floodfan85 and said I hope that we get 30" of rain and the world ends would that make you happy? seriously, I wish there was a way to block someone so that you never saw any of there posts. That would make me very happy. i think there is an ignore function which does exactly that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 I've got .94" so far for today.. looks like the heavy stuff is just north of me now, but still getting a steady light to moderate rain right now with .25" in an hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 i think there is an ignore function which does exactly that thanks, I'll see if I can find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 We were discussing today's bullseye and how it shifted east and is now for LI, based on current radar. And new NAM confirms it. Thats all. Yesterday's models, including euro, had the heaviest rains for today over NJ. But based on the current radar and now the 12z NAM, it appears its all shifted east by about 50 miles. +1 Although, I'd suspect the same to be true for tomorrow and thereafter, if trends are considered. I think there will be a max just east/northeast of NYC, and another area west of NJ, in Eastern PA, when all is said and done. I'd wager that most of NJ (particularly central/southern NJ) will be in-between the heaviest/banding precip much of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 The 12z NAM still keeps the heaviest rain north and west of the city when things are all said and done. I wish we could stop discussing this thing like its a contest. When you start talking about widespread 2.5" amounts and greater, it doesn't really matter who gets the heaviest stuff. Downpouring once again here in Ramsey, like its been doing on and off all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 +1 Although, I'd suspect the same to be true for tomorrow and thereafter, if trends are considered. I think there will be a max just east/northeast of NYC, and another area west of NJ, in Eastern PA, when all is said and done. I'd wager that most of NJ (particularly central/southern NJ) will be in-between the heaviest/banding precip much of the week. Appears that way based on 00Z Hi Res runs, lets see what 12z says. Already the Hi Res' are doing the best with this mornings bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 Getting some breaks of sun here now in Long Beach between the batches of heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 sun trying to come out in midtown, picked up 0.71 so far this morning in southern queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 It keeps looking like the sun wants to pop out here in Ramsey as well, but then another heavy shower moves through. I wonder what a bit of surface heating would do to things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted May 17, 2011 Share Posted May 17, 2011 When you start talking about widespread 2.5" amounts and greater, it doesn't really matter who gets the heaviest stuff. Downpouring once again here in Ramsey, like its been doing on and off all morning. Duly noted. In another view, there is some clearing, or at least thinning of the clouds taking place. Visible satellite says some pokes of sun within the next few hours in some places in back of the line that is over Long Island. I bet no one thought NYC would see sun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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