TheTrials Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 the euro is less than .5" precip through 72 hours that is Noreaster85, I wouldn't expect much from him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 that is Noreaster85, I wouldn't expect much from him yeah, i dont know what FloodFan85 is talking about. Blocking is returning but its may, its still gonna be 70 and sunny on most days. 18z GFS can barely give us 2" of rain thru 384hrs..How is this a wet pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Except for a few hazy glimpses in the late-afternoon hours, the sun never arrived here in Westchester. High of 60.1F after a low of 45.6F. Currently 58.2/49 and cloudy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 This weather sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 This weather is great for running/walking. I've walked/ran over 40 miles in the last two and a half weeks because I like the cool weather and prevents exhaustion/excessive sweating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 This weather sucks. Last spring really spoiled some people. This spring is much more enjoyable and while its been cloudy and a bit rainy it hasn't been that bad with near average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 not bad today, sun peaked out mid afternoon and we topped out at 72 IMBY, expecting 80 tomorrow talk of temps not getting out of the 40s this week was grossly exaggerated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Despite the temperamental weather, it's still been a gorgeous spring here in Dobbs Ferry. Here are some recent shots from my area... Last Forsythia: Daffodil: Azalea: Weeping cherry: Peas: Cauliflower: Dogwood and Japanese maple in lush rural scene: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Crappy facebook mobile quality, but I think we had some asperatus clouds here in New Brunswick. I can't ever recall seeing clouds that looked like this before: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Undulatus_asperatus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 looking much nicer today so far. 61 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 looking much nicer today so far. 61 degrees here. most look to torch today with the sunshine and SW winds...enjoy it folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Those 70's on the NAM busted big time. It insists on virtually no QPF over the next several days which is very hard to believe. Even the SREF's bring significant precip to the area. The 12z GFS is about as ugly as it gets. If you run the 36hr QPF loop there is only a single frame where we are precip free. Pattern is dominated by east coast troughing. as is par for your forecasts, the reality is the exact opposite of what you are predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 City is starting to smell like sh*t. Summer is knocking on the door folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 City is starting to smell like sh*t. Summer is knocking on the door folks. The City always smells like sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 The City always smells like sh*t Nah it smelled like spring for a few weeks. That smell is almost gone now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Looks like poorly timed convection again tonight on the NAM. Storms make it somewhere over NJ and then die out. Dynamics are not in sync. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Just though I would post this. Looks like the waters are warming in the PAC. Could we see a weak Nino next year? Hopefully we stay to the north of south of neutral, as la nada makes me worry abotu a 2001-2002 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I have a Sea breeze already and the temperatute here is dropping...There is sum dim Sun also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I have a Sea breeze already and the temperatute here is dropping...There is sum dim Sun also... Yeah got real overcast here in Holmdel. Cool breeze coming off the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Beautiful here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Were dragging this off topic but the graphic seems to show that Atlantic tropical activity is the lowest during El Nino years. For numerous reasons which were outlined in previous threads, I feel that 99' is probably the most likely analog for the upcoming hurricane season. Of course trying to predict these things is like trying to predict who will win the superbowl on September 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 A weak el nino would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Where is the warmth here? NWS had a high of 75F last night, and we've maxed out at 67.4F, now 66.5/58 with overcast skies. We just can't seem to clear out lately to take advantage of these mild airmasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 72 F bitccchhhessssssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 up to 70 here.. got quite a bit of sun so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 getting really warm here now..into the mid 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Earthlight says huge torch coming this summer which means big winter coming too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 as is par for your forecasts, the reality is the exact opposite of what you are predicting. temps were nowhere near as high yesterday as forecasted by the NAM. The NAM today has at least some measurable precip making into the area and is much closer to the model consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 Earthlight says huge torch coming this summer which means big winter coming too. It's hard to believe we could match last summers warmth. The number of 90 degree + days was incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted May 3, 2011 Share Posted May 3, 2011 I'll gladly take this, looks like some elevated convection is possible around midnight or shortly after mainly west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.