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Something fresh to talk about may even include snow in the elevations


Typhoon Tip

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Hey Wil!

Looks like 59 is the lowest maximum down this way according to the NWS, and partly sunny with low 60s the rest of the week, I guess you guys up there are screwed with rain and 40s to near 50? That is just brutal, thank God I live in the southern hemisphere.

You're becoming a bit of a troll lately.
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You're becoming a bit of a troll lately.

2009 and 2010 were much nicer Springs than this one has been so far. Despite the overall April departure being positive, its neither nearly as warm as the last 2 years and its been attained with a whole lot of lousy days mixed in with 40s and rain.That said, I wouldn't call this spring bad, I would just call it fairly typical...a nice little warmup at the end of this month we had, but on the whole, it wasn't very memorable. Certainly coming off of the epic April 2010.

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Oh, through 4/30:

BGR is 0.0

MKT is -0.3

HOU is -0.5

CAR is -0.6

April has been cool & wet in N. ME. No buds, no green on lawns, snow remains in the woods and on the shady edge of fields.

I was in NY/ALB from 4/13-4/27. The consensus among tugboat observers was April was cool and wet there too.

Yup, the avg'd data says plus but April felt and looked cold. The upper Hudson is not green as of 4/26.

And now, talk of snow.

Vim Toot!

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Well looks like the cutoff isn't as robust and is also a little warmer.

None of the mass fields were run overnight, either, so it's tough to counter-balance that against the background to determine if it has much merit. I think the -NAO push is real, of course, but I think it was over done a little based on the significantly large negative bias in the 7, 10 and 13 day intervals.

Whether it snows in the els or not aside, the pattern does not look balmy for the next 10 days to 2 weeks though. I would think less than normal, particularly along the coastal plain just through D 4 of that initial stretch. Most saw a potentially crippled May back in March - if for less than science, one could just sense the cosmic dildo being lubed up this year. I think the question is how much of the month, and to what extent is spring going to be ruined New England style - perhaps less in the IMBY folks of the CT River valley, who tread in to save the day with their claims of the best spring in history ...(please keep in mind, you are the minority). The last couple few cycles of the NAM are nice homage going forward, with interval after interval of unrelenting NE flow at BOS, with T1 averaging a sweltering +7C.

The April sun should off-set that a good deal, unless RH saturates of course. That may mitigate some of the appeal, but the -NAO at even half the magnitude the CPC had flagged as of Friday, would argue for +PP north, i.e., ugly.

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None of the mass fields were run overnight, either, so it's tough to counter-balance that against the background to determine if it has much merit. I think the -NAO push is real, of course, but I think it was over done a little based on the significantly large negative bias in the 7, 10 and 13 day intervals.

Whether it snows in the els or not aside, the pattern does not look balmy for the next 10 days to 2 weeks though. I would think less than normal, particularly along the coastal plain just through D 4 of that initial stretch. Most saw a potentially crippled May back in March - if for less than science, one could just sense the cosmic dildo being lubed up this year. I think the question is how much of the month, and to what extent is spring going to be ruined New England style - perhaps less in the IMBY folks of the CT River valley, who tread in to save the day with their claims of the best spring in history ...(please keep in mind, you are the minority). The last couple few cycles of the NAM are nice homage going forward, with interval after interval of unrelenting NE flow at BOS, with T1 averaging a sweltering +7C.

The April sun should off-set that a good deal, unless RH saturates of course. That may mitigate some of the appeal, but the -NAO at even half the magnitude the CPC had flagged as of Friday, would argue for +PP north, i.e., ugly.

Yeah I do share similar concerns for May. I just don't like the -NAO look. Euro ensembles are showing what looks like a semi-permanent warm front to our south in the 11-15 day, thanks to that block. Now that doesn't mean it will be a complete disaster the whole time, but that does have disaster potential written all over it. Thicknesses also rise, leading one to believe it could be a moist subtropical flow overriding our colder marine air. :axe:

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You're becoming a bit of a troll lately.

I dont think so at all, the snow talk is silly outside of the highest elevations in the greens or mt washington, and even there doubtful, and the NWS for my location has the lowest max temp of 59 next wed, other wise its low 60's

bdr +1.5

ORH +2.4

Poughkeepsie +3.9

Every station in sne is above normal for April and some well above normal, who wants 80's or 90's in April, not me? My point is its been an incredible April, like April should be in sne, warm some days, cool others, with copius amounts of rain.

Oh Hey, its another perfect day! I hope everyone enjoys it!!:sun: :sun: :sun:

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Mr. Blitzedfried Hallucinations should resist his impulses to post after early evening hours and on weekends.

You, Mr. Bvirgin, lack even that poor excuse.

Vim Toot!

[/qoute]

At least I try to contribute something of value on the wx side. Which is far more than you will ever contribute

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What a horrific pattern on the EC...we get stuck in the washing machine spinning in cutoff hell with impulses rotating around the larger scale blocking setup...right through D10 and likely beyond.

Looks unpleasant for eastern sections but I imagine CT, W MA, and VT will wind up with quite a few sunny days and temps in the 60s if the Euro verified after a cool day on Thursday.

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On warm Thursday evening, I walked home from the Science Museum leaving around 9:45 after a business related function. I was in a suit and decided that all day face time and the evening event required some fresh air. What a glorious spring evening.......and what a beautiful city this is. Blooming trees, scantily clad coeds...what can be bad?

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