MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 21 SREF http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/sref/21/images/sref_bsp_087s.gif 0z nam at 84 hours. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_084l.gif The low looks pretty far north and the retrogading storm in Maine looks really weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:11 AM, Snow88 said: 21 SREF http://www.nco.ncep....ef_bsp_087s.gif 0z nam at 84 hours. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_084l.gif The low looks pretty far north and the retrogading storm in Maine looks really weak. NAM sucks at that range, but in this pattern nothing ceases to amaze me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:13 AM, Alpha5 said: NAM sucks at that range, but in this pattern nothing ceases to amaze me Last year, the Nam was deadly within 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:11 AM, Snow88 said: 21 SREF http://www.nco.ncep....ef_bsp_087s.gif 0z nam at 84 hours. http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/00/images/nam_pcp_084l.gif The low looks pretty far north and the retrogading storm in Maine looks really weak. thats not the low that gets the h5 going, that one is over the atlantic on that map that retrogrades in later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 it may be me but looks like on the SREF model the clipper is trying to tap into the gulf at 87hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:29 AM, CarolineWx said: it may be me but looks like on the SREF model the clipper is trying to tap into the gulf at 87hrs it may be showing that, but word of caution, sref outside 48 hrs is basically taking your life into your own hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:31 AM, tombo82685 said: it may be showing that, but word of caution, sref outside 48 hrs is basically taking your life into your own hands. You can say that about all the models, except the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Not a chance with that hopeless wave running into the downstream pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 DT giving play by play http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=tinychat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:15 AM, Snow88 said: Last year, the Nam was deadly within 84 hours. How was it outside of 84 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 3:15 AM, Snow88 said: Last year, the Nam was deadly within 84 hours. Yeah, and the GFS was deadly inside 384 hrs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 stupid h5 cut off, gonna screw it up this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 4:12 AM, tombo82685 said: stupid h5 cut off, gonna screw it up this run. Ridging out west is stronger with a little more troughing in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 im out to 162, it gets crushed into the gulf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks like a wintry week ahead for next week, with snow showers and flurries from the ull. On 12/1/2010 at 4:25 AM, tombo82685 said: im out to 162, it gets crushed into the gulf People in the chat are saying really good trends on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 4:26 AM, Snow88 said: Looks like a wintry week ahead for next week, with snow showers and flurries from the ull. People in the chat are saying really good trends on this run. yea synoptically, it looked a lot better, the sw ejected faster and was stronger, but the h5 low also trended a lot stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 4:07 AM, earthlight said: Yeah, and the GFS was deadly inside 384 hrs too. LOL! I heard the NGM used to be deadly inside 48 hours! Is Zois still talking about the NGM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 So I guess the Canadian didn't have anything interesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 On 12/1/2010 at 5:58 AM, mattinpa said: So I guess the Canadian didn't have anything interesting? through 144 no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 This is the UKIE at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Dont know where to post this comment so il post here. 6z nam model is way more robust with the S/W than the 00z run and the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Nothing, GFS looks cold in the long range (insert joke here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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