Sundog Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 The park's starting to fall behind me now; we were neck and neck. 90.1F high here today, giving me 18 days of 90F or higher. Had 4 this week, with an 87F on Wednesday splitting the heat. My average for a year is 18, so above normal is obviously a lock. September most years yields anywhere from nothing to maybe 2 or 3 if it's a hot month. Climo wise, 90F chances drop off considerably post August 25th, so we've got about a month left. Can't believe it; summer goes way too fast. I always say, once 4th of July hits, it's all downhill from there (seems to go much faster). Agree on the 4th of July comment. It's funny too because the 4th is so early in the summer season yet it already feels as if summer is slipping away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 90 degree days at newark NJ 2010 - 54 - total year 2011 - 31- total year 2012 through 7/27 - 24 ( just made it to 90 breifly in between hours yesterday 7/27 at Newark) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 For June-August 2012: EWR: 25 NYC: 19 looks like these numbers will be too low for the season -also so far at EWR for a 3 year period from 2010 through 7/27/2012 they have had 109- 90 degree days - that has to be a record or at least close to one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 28, 2012 Author Share Posted July 28, 2012 looks like these numbers will be too low for the season -also so far at EWR for a 3 year period from 2010 through 7/27/2012 they have had 109- 90 degree days - that has to be a record or at least close to one in the hat trick thread we were discussing theperiod 93 - 95 and in the 53 - 55 93 : 48 94: 39 95: 33 tot: 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 My guess would be very similar Tony. But just to make it interesting, I'll go: EWR: 26 NYC: 17 I suspect we'll have numerous mid/upper 80s and very humid days throughout the summer, probably a lot of near misses for many. Those type of borderline 85-90 days are when Newark can really pull away from the pack so to speak, in terms of 90F days. As I said before, I think overall the high humidity and elevated night time minima will be more impressive than big day time heat this summer Looking forward through the next couple weeks, I honestly don't know when the next 90F day will be. Looks troughy with near normal temps for the most part in the NE CONUS. Plenty of convective activity w/ a southerly flow. We may make it to the middle of August with only a couple 90F days. Of course, by the end of the month it becomes more difficult to attain 90. My numbers from May will probably be a bit too low, Tony's probably look better (30/20), but we'll see, August looks like a high min/normal daytime temps type of month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 Looking forward through the next couple weeks, I honestly don't know when the next 90F day will be. Looks troughy with near normal temps for the most part in the NE CONUS. Plenty of convective activity w/ a southerly flow. We may make it to the middle of August with only a couple 90F days. Of course, by the end of the month it becomes more difficult to attain 90. My numbers from May will probably be a bit too low, Tony's probably look better (30/20), but we'll see, August looks like a high min/normal daytime temps type of month. August will probably be the coolest month of the summer with what models are showing and the developing Nino. It wouldn't surprise me to see a taste of fall early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 haha Ive heard that before, many people were saying after the first July heatwave that it really wasnt going to be that hot the rest of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 haha Ive heard that before, many people were saying after the first July heatwave that it really wasnt going to be that hot the rest of the month We certainly had that very hot week in mid July, but for the 19th-27th period, Central Park accumulated a -15 departure. Today, the 28th, will probably be recorded as a -2 given the 80/70 day, and the last few days of the month look near normal. So actually the period July 19th-31st will end up below normal, and it was a significant turnaround from the very hot July 1st-18th period. 19 76 68 72 -5 20 72 61 67 -10 21 78 61 70 -7 22 83 65 74 -3 23 86 71 79 2 24 91 74 83 6 25 85 67 76 -1 26 88 68 78 1 27 87 71 79 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 28, 2012 Share Posted July 28, 2012 the last 30 days averaged 79.5...It was 1.5 above the 78.0 average for that stat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 August will probably be the coolest month of the summer with what models are showing and the developing Nino. It wouldn't surprise me to see a taste of fall early. I'm not sure if we'll be cooler than June and record a below avg month, but I do think we're looking at essentially near normal month (probably 0 to +1). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 haha Ive heard that before, many people were saying after the first July heatwave that it really wasnt going to be that hot the rest of the month August's coldest temperature came during developing el nino years...1965, 1976, 1982, 1986 hit 50 degrees near the end of the month...1885 also got down to 50 and it looks like it was a developing el nino although brief... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2012 Author Share Posted July 29, 2012 2012 PHL: 30 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: ; Sep: ) EWR: 24 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) TTN: 25 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) LGA: 22 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: ; Sep: ) ACY: 22 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) TEB: 25 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) NYC: 15 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: ; Sep: ) JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 26 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug:;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 3 EWR: 3 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 2 TEB: 2 NYC: 7 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PHL and ACY add another. The rest were socked in clouds and storms PHL: 93 EWR: 80 TTN: 88 LGA: 78 ACY: 91 TEB: 80 NYC: 80 JFK: 79 ISP: 78 New Brunswick: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 We certainly had that very hot week in mid July, but for the 19th-27th period, Central Park accumulated a -15 departure. Today, the 28th, will probably be recorded as a -2 given the 80/70 day, and the last few days of the month look near normal. So actually the period July 19th-31st will end up below normal, and it was a significant turnaround from the very hot July 1st-18th period. 19 76 68 72 -5 20 72 61 67 -10 21 78 61 70 -7 22 83 65 74 -3 23 86 71 79 2 24 91 74 83 6 25 85 67 76 -1 26 88 68 78 1 27 87 71 79 2 well the Park is not representative of the area as a whole...I mean I and many others hit 90 plus 3-4 times last week and some mid 90s as well. Redo those stats with New Brunswick or Newark and its been quite hot the entire month save for a couple of cooler days last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 well the Park is not representative of the area as a whole...I mean I and many others hit 90 plus 3-4 times last week and some mid 90s as well. Redo those stats with New Brunswick or Newark and its been quite hot the entire month save for a couple of cooler days last week Not to belabor the point but New Brunswick isn't even in the Upton CWA so it shouldn't be representative of the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 No doubt its been a hot month but the relativly cooler pattern the past ten days has brought the mean temp down about two degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 29, 2012 Share Posted July 29, 2012 That's because the Upton CWA is centered in LI not NYC. Most of North/Central NJ is closer climate wise to NYC than LI is and closer mileage wise as well. If we did a 40 mile radius of NYC much of LI wouldn't even fall within their CWA and much of Mt. Holly's area would. Not to belabor the point but New Brunswick isn't even in the Upton CWA so it shouldn't be representative of the area.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 looking at the 12Z GFS - there are going to be quite a few days in the first half of august the area will be flirting with 90 http://wxweb.meteost...shtml?text=KEWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 add another 90 degree day to the Newark count 90 degree days at newark NJ 2010 - 54 - total year 2011 - 31- total year 2012 through 8/2 - 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2012 Author Share Posted August 3, 2012 2012 PHL: 31 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ) EWR: 25 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 1; Sep: ) TTN: 26 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 1; Sep: ) LGA: 23 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 1; Sep: ) ACY: 22 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) TEB: 26 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 1; Sep: ) NYC: 15 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: ; Sep: ) JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 27 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug:1;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 4 EWR: 3 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 2 TEB: 2 NYC: 7 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Today's highs PHL: 91 EWR: 93 TTN: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 88 TEB: 93 NYC: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 NBRNSWK: 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 Today's highs PHL: 91 EWR: 93 TTN: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 88 TEB: 93 NYC: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 NBRNSWK: 92 PHL's AFD towards the end of July broke some of this down for their CWA. One of the stats I found interesting and maybe worthwhile to include in this roundup was that PHL averages 4 95 degree or greater days climatologically. This year they're currently at 12 through 07/31, last year the total was 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2012 Author Share Posted August 4, 2012 2012 PHL: 32 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 2 ; Sep: ) EWR: 26 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) TTN: 27 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) LGA: 24 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 2; Sep: ) ACY: 23 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 1; Sep: ) TEB: 27 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) NYC: 15 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: ; Sep: ) JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 28 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug:2;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 4 EWR: 3 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 2 TEB: 2 NYC: 8 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 Looks like clouds might have killed the parks chances and as such they reached 89 for the 8th time. Most other places closing in on 30 days for the thirs straight year. todays highs: PHL: 91 EWR: 93 TTN: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 88 TEB: 93 NYC: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 NBRNSWK: 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Looks like clouds might have killed the parks chances and as such they reached 89 for the 8th time. Most other places closing in on 30 days for the thirs straight year. todays highs: PHL: 91 EWR: 93 TTN: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 88 TEB: 93 NYC: 87 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 NBRNSWK: 92 The question as to whether or not one wants to be "the poorest person in a rich neighborhood" or the "richest person in a poor neighborhood" has crossed my mind from time to tiime. With snowy spots like Orange, Putnam, and northern Fairfield County in the Upton CWA...living on the N. Shore of Long Island has more in common with the former than the latter. But since this sub-forum appears to have shifted everything south by a good number of miles...by the time winter arrives...my location might have more in common with the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Yeah, I would say most are averaging around 18-23 days of 90F so far, only the hottest places are approaching 30. I'm at 20 here in CNJ. PHL I don't count as our area, and EWR is the only NYC station above 25 right now. When taking NYC, LI, SW CT, NNJ, S NY, and CNJ into account, we're probably around 20 days, with the coolest locations close to 10 and the hottest near 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Yeah, I would say most are averaging around 18-23 days of 90F so far, only the hottest places are approaching 30. I'm at 20 here in CNJ. PHL I don't count as our area, and EWR is the only NYC station above 25 right now. When taking NYC, LI, SW CT, NNJ, S NY, and CNJ into account, we're probably around 20 days, with the coolest locations close to 10 and the hottest near 30. 22 days of 90+ temps here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 5, 2012 Author Share Posted August 5, 2012 2012 PHL: 33 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 3 ; Sep: ) EWR: 27 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) TTN: 27 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) LGA: 25 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 3; Sep: ) ACY: 23 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 1; Sep: ) TEB: 28 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 3; Sep: ) NYC: 16 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 1; Sep: ) JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 29 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug: 3;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 4 EWR: 3 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 2 TEB: 2 NYC: 8 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 Most sites add another PHL: 93 EWR: 90 TTN: 88 LGA: 90 ACY: 87 TEB: 91 NYC: 90 JFK: 88 ISP: 85 NBRNSWK: 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 6, 2012 Author Share Posted August 6, 2012 2012 PHL: 34 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ) EWR: 28 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ) TTN: 28 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 3; Sep: ) LGA: 26 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 4; Sep: ) ACY: 24 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) TEB: 29 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ) NYC: 17 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 2; Sep: ) JFK: 13 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 30 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug: 4;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 4 EWR: 3 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 2 TEB: 2 NYC: 8 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 today's highs; PHL: 98 EWR: 95 TTN: 92 LGA: 91 ACY: 91 TEB: 96 NYC: 91 JFK: 87 ISP: 85 NBRNSWK: 94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2012 Author Share Posted August 7, 2012 2012 PHL: 34 (April: 0; May 2: ; June:7 ; Jul: 21; Aug: 4 ; Sep: ) EWR: 28 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June:6 ; Jul: 16 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ) TTN: 28 (April: 1; May: 2 ; June: 7 ; Jul: 15 ; Aug: 3; Sep: ) LGA: 26 (April: 0; May: 2; June:6 ; Jul: 14; Aug: 4; Sep: ) ACY: 24 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 2; Sep: ) TEB: 29 (April: 0; May: 2; June: 6 ; Jul: 17 ; Aug: 4; Sep: ) NYC: 17 (April: 0; May: ; June:5 ; Jul: 10; Aug: 2; Sep: ) JFK: 14 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 8 ; Aug: 1 ; Sep: ) ISP: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 5 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: ) New Bnswk: 31 (April: 1, May: 2, June: 6, July: 17; Aug: 5;Sep:; O) 89 degree days PHL: 5 EWR: 4 TTN: 3 LGA: 3 ACY: 3 TEB: 2 NYC: 8 JFK: 2 ISP: 2 NBNSWK:2 JFK and New Brunswick added another. Several sites fell just short at 89 (EWR, PHL, ACY) Made it to 989 here. PHL: 89 EWR: 89 TTN: 86 LGA: 88 ACY: 89 TEB: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 90 ISP: 86 NBRNSWK: 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 interesting...and some places have an outside shot of yet another 3 day heatwave Wed-Fri depending on cloud cover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 7, 2012 Share Posted August 7, 2012 Made it to 989 here. The spread between you and I continues to grow exponentially... 21 days of 90 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 7, 2012 Author Share Posted August 7, 2012 The spread between you and I continues to grow exponentially... 21 days of 90 here. Ha - quite hot. It should have read 89. Nice day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now