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April 26-28 severe risk


Ian

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Wiz in our thread! You know it's rockin.

I'm really intrigued on what's occurring further to the north in portions of south-central NY, environment there is not nearly as favorable as it is across PA and places further south into the mid-Atlantic. Already a reported tornado in NY not too long ago and tornado warnings continue to fly in NY. I would think we see that STW get upgraded to a TW sometime very, very soon.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

319 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF STAUNTON IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

AUGUSTA COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 400 AM EDT

* AT 314 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 16 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF BUFFALO GAP...OR 6 MILES EAST OF GOSHEN...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

STAUNTON...

SUMMERDEAN...

MIDDLEBROOK...

BUFFALO GAP...

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This is one hell of an event. If we can get this much action at 2:50am in April what can we do in May at 5pm?

This is going to be one of the very WORST severe weather seasons ever recorded.

THIS system is extremely bad - wiz is in our thread - he only does that when indices are particularly supportive of bad weather.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

323 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

PAGE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

SHENANDOAH COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 AM EDT

* AT 318 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR MOUNT

JACKSON...OR 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STRASBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT

65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

STRASBURG...

FRONT ROYAL...

MOUNT JACKSON...

KINGS CROSSING...

EDINBURG...

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR

FREDERICK...CLARKE...SHENANDOAH...WARREN AND PAGE COUNTIES...

AT 332 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STRASBURG...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

FORT VALLEY...

STRASBURG...

FISHERS HILL...

KARO...

RELIANCE...

MIDDLETOWN...

BUCKTON...

CEDARVILLE...

ARMEL...

NINEVEH...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF TORNADIC DAMAGE.

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A

STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR

VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES AT NIGHT ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM. TAKE COVER NOW.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

345 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

VAC043-069-171-187-280815-

/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-110428T0815Z/

WARREN VA-SHENANDOAH VA-CLARKE VA-FREDERICK VA-

345 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 AM EDT FOR

FREDERICK...CLARKE...SHENANDOAH AND WARREN COUNTIES...

AT 343 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR STRASBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

STRASBURG...

WOODSTOCK...

MIDDLETOWN...

RELIANCE...

ARMEL...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

350 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF HARRISONBURG IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

PAGE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

SHENANDOAH COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 430 AM EDT

* AT 347 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES ALONG A LINE

EXTENDING FROM DALE ENTERPRISE TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF

BRIDGEWATER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

SHENANDOAH VALLEY REGIONAL AIRPORT...

HARRISONBURG...

MASSANUTTEN...

BROADWAY...

TIMBERVILLE...

SHENANDOAH...

STANLEY...

LURAY...

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF WINCHESTER IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 445 AM EDT

* AT 351 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR STEPHENS

CITY...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF STRASBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55

MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

MILLWOOD PIKE...

GREENWOOD...

INWOOD...

RANSON...

CHARLES TOWN...

WINCHESTER...

STEPHENS CITY...

Fullmug, Trix, MDClimo, head up out there

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The stronger elements in Pennsylvania are likely sparing north and central Virginia from severe weather overnight.

We've all seen how convection to the south can rob areas to the north of snow during a winter storm.

It is looking more and more as if the Pennsylvania convection and markedly stronger elements are robbing us in north and central VA of potentially deadly severe weather. We may yet manage to squeak by.

GA/SC and eastern West VA/Central MD/PA/NY are likely going to get annihilated overnight.

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This is scary as hell. Pitch black, storm raging, warnings flying, radar awesome, and I don't have any way to know whats coming at me.

Sounds intense, quiet on the this side of the blue ridge so far, be safe out there

Looks like some of the Tor warnings have been dropped now out there

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Sounds intense, quiet on the this side of the blue ridge so far, be safe out there

Looks like some of the Tor warnings have been dropped now out there

So far so good. Up til now, just heavy rain. No wind, no hail. I'm just on the western edge of that latest warning, north of Winchester. That radar sig sure looked ominous as that cell approached Winchester. I wonder what it is like just to the east of 81.

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So far so good. Up til now, just heavy rain. No wind, no hail. I'm just on the western edge of that latest warning, north of Winchester. That radar sig sure looked ominous as that cell approached Winchester. I wonder what it is like just to the east of 81.

Torn warning for Frederick co, md.

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TORNADO WARNING

MDC021-031-VAC107-281115-

/O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0050.110428T1037Z-110428T1115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

637 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...

MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...

LOUDOUN COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 715 AM EDT

* AT 635 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES NEAR

LANSDOWNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LEESBURG...

POOLESVILLE...

BOYDS...

NEW MARKET...

GREEN VALLEY...

DAMASCUS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED. TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A

STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID WINDOWS. IF OUTDOORS OR IN A MOBILE HOME OR

VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT

YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

THE TORNADOES MAY BE WRAPPED IN RAIN AND HARD TO SEE. DO NOT WAIT TO

SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADOES. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

649 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

MDC021-031-VAC107-281115-

/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0050.000000T0000Z-110428T1115Z/

FREDERICK MD-MONTGOMERY MD-LOUDOUN VA-

649 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM EDT FOR

LOUDOUN...MONTGOMERY AND FREDERICK COUNTIES...

AT 649 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING

TORNADOES. THESE TORNADOES WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM

POOLESVILLE TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POINT OF ROCKS...MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

BOYDS...

TUSCARORA...

DICKERSON...

BARNESVILLE...

PARK MILLS...

CLARKSBURG...

DAMASCUS...

IJAMSVILLE...

GREEN VALLEY...

MONROVIA...

NEW MARKET...

FRIENDSHIP...

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Here's a sobering thought to start your day - Jim Cantore just reported 173 deaths in 5 states, with over 100 in Alabama alone.

Makes our tornado watch seem so insignificant compared to what happened yesterday in the south :(

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