OKpowdah Posted August 11, 2011 Share Posted August 11, 2011 Nice to see the general theme of the recent GFS runs bringing sub-freezing 850mb temps into northern Canada later in the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Nice to see Ellinwood on board, his analogs, hmmmm in [year (weight)] format 1995 (more) 2008 (more) 1970 (normal) 2000 (normal) 1962 (less) 2010 (less) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Almost all the birds are gone here already. No kidding. Big winter coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Almost all the birds are gone here already. No kidding. Big winter coming BIG BIG winter for New Hampshu.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 I'm worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 I'm worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Classic. It would be hard to be that guy. I'm a non worrier in general. Otherwise, I'd be dead by know with some of the paths I've taken...lol... But the last snapshot of the SSTA screamed 1999 and that scared me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Classic. It would be hard to be that guy. I'm a non worrier in general. Otherwise, I'd be dead by know with some of the paths I've taken...lol... But the last snapshot of the SSTA screamed 1999 and that scared me. Latest SSA snapshot is much much more similar to 2008 than 1999 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 Latest SSA snapshot is much much more similar to 2008 than 1999 I strongly disagree! Perhaps in the ENSO regions but globally, I think 1999 is a better match but as both of us acknowledge, it's a snapshot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Big winter inbound interior central and northern new england, warmer than normal and slightly less snowfall than normal across interior sne, and the coastal plain roasts with well below snowfall. Big Big winter for ski country! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 Big winter inbound interior central and northern new england, warmer than normal and slightly less snowfall than normal across interior sne, and the coastal plain roasts with well below snowfall. Big Big winter for ski country! Because none other than the Honorable Mica Vim Toot has deemed me to live in CNE, I'll accept this forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 BIG BIG winter for New Hampshu.... you fuhgot the "wintuh" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 I'm worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 14, 2011 Share Posted August 14, 2011 <img src='http://208.71.34.143/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/hotdog.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' /> We should bet. I'll issue something official in late September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 We should bet. I'll issue something official in late September. Recurves R us, got to love it, 9 10 11, keep them recurves comin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Because none other than the Honorable Mica Vim Toot has deemed me to live in CNE, I'll accept this forecast. Heck, his map has me in CNE... barely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Recurves R us, got to love it, 9 10 11, keep them recurves comin Recurves R us......one of the better lines! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Recurves R us......one of the better lines! Huge debate here last fall about the meaning of recurves, we know now.... Keep the mean East Coast trough position, thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Huge debate here last fall about the meaning of recurves, we know now.... Keep the mean East Coast trough position, thank you. Tip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Tip? No no not WPAC, Atl season and the winters that follow. Keep the trough mean on the East Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 ECMWF SIP system is trending colder for ENSO with its brand new August update. We'll see what the actual ECMWF forecast is in another week or so. Support for at least a weak Nina is gaining more traction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 I was just looking for those, and I only see the forecast from last month. I wonder if it's a cashe thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 I was just looking for those, and I only see the forecast from last month. I wonder if it's a cashe thing Are you talking about on the site or the image I posted? The image I posted should say Aug 1st (issued Aug 15th which is actually tomorrow) since it is not hyperlinked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Are you talking about on the site or the image I posted? The image I posted should say Aug 1st (issued Aug 15th which is actually tomorrow) since it is not hyperlinked. I just see the Forecast issue date from July 15th on the site. I know they come out today, but for some reason..I only see July 15..not August 15. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 I just see the Forecast issue date from July 15th on the site. I know they come out today, but for some reason..I only see July 15..not August 15. Weird. I just tried it on IE and it worked. Maybe a cashe thing, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 I just see the Forecast issue date from July 15th on the site. I know they come out today, but for some reason..I only see July 15..not August 15. Weird. Either way, they are definitely a drop from July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Either way, they are definitely a drop from July. Yeah for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Yeah for sure. Some pretty cold subsurface anomalies appearing now. The warm subsurface anomalies were over +4 not too long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Some pretty cold subsurface anomalies appearing now. The warm subsurface anomalies were over +4 not too long ago. SOI has gone more positive in the last month with all the convection and lower pressure near Indonesia and just east. Lots of east winds now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 SOI has gone more positive in the last month with all the convection and lower pressure near Indonesia and just east. Lots of east winds now. We should know in the next month to 6 weeks if this is going to definitely be a La Nina or screw around as a negative neutral. I think it continues to point the arrow more toward La Nina with each passing week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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