IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Those cells are absolute trash. Our mid level lapse rates will increase 21z on once this cold pocket moves overhead. Bring it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Bring it New meso out for W PA where the cold pocket is for the potential of supercells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 New meso out for W PA where the cold pocket is for the potential of supercells. yeah it looks like we might get surrounded by tornado watches shortly. Supercell paramaters are quite high already near the cold pool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 The storms over NJ are garden variety heavy showers in a crappy mid atmospheric environment for storms...we're gonna have to wait a few hours at least to get the good stuff. We may have to rely on elevated instability tonight to try and get some good non rooted stuff in here. Certainly a good sign that the sun is out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Local OBS have the sea breeze well depicted...it's 81 here now in Western Union Co...and 71 at EWR with an East wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Local OBS have the sea breeze well depicted...it's 81 here now in Western Union Co...and 71 at EWR with an East wind. Winds must have shifted some here in the city. We were up to about 74/75, dropped back down to 70 around noon, and now we are back up to 74. Nice and humid too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Rain shower in Holmdel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 EWR just jumped back up to 76 Local OBS have the sea breeze well depicted...it's 81 here now in Western Union Co...and 71 at EWR with an East wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 I think a tornado watch will be needed soon for W-C PA and the rest of the MD-DC corridor soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Day 2 graphic fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 On the issue of tomorrow: what more can be said than what the local WFO and SPC have already said? Until we realize in full what goes down this evening west of the Appalachians and how that will affect things, we can only simply say, "yeah, damaging wind threat." Any immediate backing of the winds during the FROPA or sunshine will increase tomorrow's tornado threat substantially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 That cell about to cross over the DE memorial bridge looks rather healthy. New special weather statement out for that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 That cell about to cross over the DE memorial bridge looks rather healthy. New special weather statement out for that region. Yeah you know, looking at the vad winds, there is definitely a bit of turning with 40-50 kt low-mid level flow. Not bad at all...only if that cold pocket was over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 57 degrees, fog and low clouds here in Coney Island with a stiff southerly wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 57 degrees, fog and low clouds here in Coney Island with a stiff southerly wind. Looks like Chernobyl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 just had a brief heavy shower... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 First warning of the day SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NJC005-007-015-PAC017-045-091-101-271915- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0022.110427T1831Z-110427T1915Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 231 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PHILADELPHIA... WEST CENTRAL BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CAMDEN... NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 315 PM EDT * AT 229 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHESTER...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF WILMINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... GIBBSTOWN...PAULSBORO...SWARTHMORE AND NETHER PROVIDENCE TOWNSHIP AROUND 235 PM EDT... FOLCROFT...PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND WEST DEPTFORD AROUND 240 PM EDT... YEADON...SOUTH PHILADELPHIA AND EAST LANSDOWNE AROUND 245 PM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 For anyone that is interested,CIPS is doing warm season analogs now. http://www.eas.slu.e...WARM/analog.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 tcu off to the southwest...that storm seems more legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 All of W-C PA is now under a tornado watch. Here we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 All of W-C PA is now under a tornado watch. Here we go... any of that stuff have a chance at making it this far east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe T Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Nice Thunderstorm here in Somerset County now. It is incredibly humid out with temps still in the 70s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Wow and it's sunny here in Sunset Park 57 degrees, fog and low clouds here in Coney Island with a stiff southerly wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 weather station says 83 now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 On the issue of tomorrow: what more can be said than what the local WFO and SPC have already said? Until we realize in full what goes down this evening west of the Appalachians and how that will affect things, we can only simply say, "yeah, damaging wind threat." Any immediate backing of the winds during the FROPA or sunshine will increase tomorrow's tornado threat substantially. either way, i think it occurs around 18z... it's going to be early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 any of that stuff have a chance at making it this far east? If it can become organized across C PA, then yes it could make for a late threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 It's coming for you now. Let us know how it was any of that stuff have a chance at making it this far east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 It's coming for you now. Let us know how it was It's too bad I'm not home, I'm at work in Ramsey. That cell has a bit of a bowing structure too it. From experience, we seem to get some of our best severe weather with SW flow events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Tstorm just came over Morris County.. pretty much the typical tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Had a brief heavy thunderstorm about an hour ago. The winds were decently breezy, but it wasn't severe. Looks like it has intensifyed as it continues to head NNE and now has a Severe T Storm Warning on it for Morris County. SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 348 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 NJC027-037-272045- /O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0023.000000T0000Z-110427T2045Z/ SUSSEX NJ-MORRIS NJ- 348 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR MORRIS AND EASTERN SUSSEX COUNTIES... AT 342 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF NOW PRODUCING AROUND QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MENDHAM...OR 7 MILES WEST OF MORRISTOWN...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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