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April 25-28 rolling warmth/severe weather/convection thread


earthlight

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Cannot stress the use of 850s enough. MOS had lower 70s for a while here, I was confident enough to go with upper 70s. 77 so far, but should easily reach the lower 80s with the sunshine.

yep.. 850s start working a bit better this time of year as we mix down from that level more consistantly... today is a good day to use it.

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NYC Subway Station report - Tues, Apr 26, 2011:

23rd and Park (6) - tolerable (expected furnace: May 20)

Herald Square - Furnace (expected hell on earth - May 15)

Times Square - smells like sh*t (expected furnace: May 10)

Grand Central - smells like sh*t but cool (expected furnace: May 15)

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Interesting note, there's a cool pocket of 850's around 14C moving over NJ now, which is keeping temps in the 80-82F range, away from the coast.

NJZ001-105-106-008-010-013-015-019>022-104-262000-

NEW JERSEY

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

TETERBORO SUNNY 81 61 50 S20G25 29.90F

CALDWELL MOSUNNY 81 61 50 SW12G22 29.92S

MORRISTOWN PTSUNNY 79 61 53 W17G25 29.92F

SOMERVILLE PTSUNNY 81 62 52 SW9 29.90F

SUSSEX PTSUNNY 82 62 50 S9G18 29.89F

ANDOVER N/A 79 60 52 SW13G21 29.90S

TRENTON MOSUNNY 82 64 54 W17G24 29.91F

MILLVILLE SUNNY 79 65 62 S13G21 29.94F

ATLANTIC CITY MOSUNNY 75 64 68 S17G26 29.98F

WRIGHTSTOWN MOSUNNY 82 62 49 SW16G26 29.91F

TOMS RIVER MOSUNNY 82 64 54 S18G25 29.94F

BELMAR PTSUNNY 79 63 57 S13G21 29.94F

$

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Mesoscale Discussion 593< Previous MD mcd0593.gif MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0593 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0312 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NY...CNTRL/SWRN PA CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 213... VALID 262012Z - 262115Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 213 CONTINUES. AS OF 20Z...STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS PERSISTED FROM NEAR SYR S/SWWD INTO SWRN PA WITH RECENT REPORTS OF GOLF-BALL SIZED HAIL IN SYR AND A MEASURED 53 KT GUST AT KJST. GIVEN STRONG MID-LEVEL SWLYS...AOA 50 KT AT 5 KM AGL IN THE BUF/PBZ/RLX VWP DATA...CLUSTERS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES SHOULD PERSIST AND LIKELY PEAK WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS COINCIDENT WITH THE DIURNAL HEATING MAXIMUM. THE SUPERCELL JUST E OF SYR APPEARS TO BE LOCATED ALONG THE W/E WARM FRONTAL ZONE...WHICH COULD AID IN A LOCALIZED TORNADO THREAT. OTHERWISE...DOWNSTREAM CU FIELD ALONG BOUNDARY /INVOF ALB/ APPEARS TO HAVE RECENTLY FLATTENED AND MAY INDICATE ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY IN THE NEAR-TERM. NEVERTHELESS...WFO AREAL EXTENSION OF WW 216 OR AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY IF TSTMS MAINTAIN INTENSITY TO THE ERN EXTENT OF WW 216.

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