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Active severe wx day possible on Wednesday across parts of PA/NY


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Bit breezy out in WNY:

NIAGARA FALLS PTSUNNY 54 43 66 SW45G75 29.44R

Even breezier than you though, 83MPH at Niagara Falls and 84.8 at Lockport... Lockport has a no unecessary travel ban in effect. Measured a few gust between 65-70 here. Some trees down but up in Niagara county (NF and Lockport) its an entirely different story , it like a cat 1 hurricane hit especally with lockport having sustained winds of 73.6 mph. Trees down all over cars and houses with 40,000 + without power.
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... Tornado confirmed in Erin New York Chemung County...

A National Weather Service survey crew has determined that the

damage from last nights thunderstorms in the Erin New York area was

from a tornado. The preliminary estimates are that the damage was

from an EF2 category tornado. The survey crew is heading up to Danby

New York along the path of the tornado and more details will follow

this evening.

4 separate warning s just south of me last night starting around 3am.

Some pictures of the damage and all the flash flooding from the local TV station

http://www.wktv.com/slideshows/Early-morning-storm---April-28-2011-120851849.html?gallery=y&img=0&c=y

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY

429 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONFIRMS TORNADO IN HERKIMER COUNTY NY…

LOCATION...FRANKFORT...NY

DATE...APRIL 28 2011

ESTIMATED TIME...504 AM EDT

MAXIMUM EF SCALE RATING...1

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...100 MPH

ESTIMATED PATH WIDTH...250 YARDS

PATH LENGTH...2 MILES

BEGINNING LAT/LON...43.02182/-75.18217

ENDING LAT/LON...43.042805/-75.15699

■FATALITIES...NONE

2nd tornado within a few miles of my house in the last yr..

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NWS BGM confirmed a 'strong' EF-2 tornado in the Town of Erin, NY in Chemung County. With winds up to 130mph... this stands to be the strongest tornado to hit C NY / NE PA (BGM cwa) in nearly 13 years since the infamous May 31 / June 2, 1998 regional Tornado outbreaks which affected a large portion of NY and PA. The most recent tornado of comparable intensity to hit the region was an EF-2 with winds up to 120mph which occurred on May 16, 2009 in Georgetown, NY in Madison County. (Reference •The May 16, 2009 Severe Weather Outbreak Part I : The pre-storm environment and •The May 16, 2009 Severe Weather Outbreak Part 2 : A Mesoscale and Radar Perspective of the Tornadic Supercells)

Not sure just yet, but this may in fact be the strongest rated tornado to hit NYS since the infamous May 31 / June 2, 1998 Tornado outbreaks. Based on memory recall and a brief perusal of the various NWS archives around NYS, there has only been a handful of tornadoes higher than F / EF-1 intensity to hit NYS since 1998. The most recent was the pair of EF-2 Tornadoes that hit W NY on July 24, 2010, but they were given a 'moderate' EF-2 rating with winds up to 120-125mph. According to the NWS Upton Archive, an F-2 Tornado struck Westchester County NY on July 12, 2006, but there was no official wind speed estimates given in the PNS.

All in all, when you take into consideration that 1) This storm produced a 'Significant' Tornado followed by a 2nd 'Weak' Tornado and 100mph straight-line winds, 2) It occurred in the dead of the night around 130AM, 3) and just miles / minutes from directly affecting two fairly densely-populated city centers, its quite amazing there was no loss of life or known injuries outside of 2 horses. This very easily could have been a MUCH bigger headline story... and not for the right reasons.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
1011 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...EF2 TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR ERIN IN CHEMUNG COUNTY NEW YORK...

LOCATION...ERIN IN CHEMUNG COUNTY NEW YORK
DATE...APRIL 28 2011
ESTIMATED TIME...1:25 AM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF2
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...130 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...0.25 MILES
PATH LENGTH...0.7 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...42.18N / -76.70W
ENDING LAT/LON...42.19N / -76.69W
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON, NY HAS CONFIRMED AN EF2
TORNADO NEAR ERIN IN CHEMUNG COUNTY NEW YORK ON APRIL 28 2011.

THE TORNADO STARTED JUST WEST OF THE ERIN TOWN HALL SOUTH OF ROUTE
223. IT BEGAN JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE LOCAL CEMETERY AND TRACKED
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. NUMEROUS PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED OFF AND
UPROOTED IN THE CEMETERY.

IMMEDIATELY TO THE WEST OF THE CEMETERY A WELL-CONSTRUCTED BARN
WAS DESTROYED WITH ALL FOUR WALLS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED. THE
TORNADO TRACKED NORTHEAST AND ACROSS ROUTE 223. THE TORNADO
LOFTED DEBRIS INTO THE YARD ACROSS THE STREET WITH DEBRIS FROM THE
DESTROYED BARN IMPALED INTO THE FRONT LAWN. DEBRIS ALSO BLEW ALL
WINDOWS OUT OF THE FRONT OF THE HOME WITH SOME DEBRIS PENETRATING
THE SIDING AND THROWN INTO THE HOME. AT THIS SITE...ALL THREE
VEHICLES WERE DAMAGED WITH A BEAM FROM THE DESTROYED BARN IMPALED
THROUGH THE DASHBOARD OF ONE VEHICLE. AN 11,000 POUND CAMPER WAS
FLIPPED UP OVER A FIVE FOOT FENCE AND TOPPLED ONTO ITS SIDE BEFORE
COMING TO REST.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST WITH DAMAGE TO A
BARN ROOF AND DEBRIS WRAPPED IN TREES. A GARAGE AND MOBILE HOME
AT THE SITE WAS COMPLETELY DEMOLISHED. HEAVY DEBRIS FROM THE
MOBILE HOME WAS STREWN APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE
SITE...WITH LIGHTER MATERIAL FOUND SEVERAL MILES AWAY.

THE TORNADO TRACKED AN ADDITIONAL ONE-HALF MILE UP THE HILL WITH
NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED AND TWO HORSES KILLED ON THE
FARM. AT THIS POINT THE TORNADO LIFTED AND NO ADDITIONAL DAMAGE
WAS FOUND.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/BGM.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND OUR APPRECIATION
TO LOCAL OFFICIALS...LOCAL MEDIA AND ESPECIALLY EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS
FOR HELP DURING THIS SURVEY.

$$

PN/RAM

Same storm produced a 2nd tornado 15 minutes later...

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
1028 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...EF1 TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR DANBY IN TOMPKINS COUNTY NEW YORK...

LOCATION...DANBY IN TOMPKINS COUNTY NEW YORK
DATE...APRIL 28 2011
ESTIMATED TIME...1:40 AM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF1
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...100 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...0.15 MILES
PATH LENGTH...1.73 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...42.37N / -76.52W
ENDING LAT/LON...42.39N / -76.49W
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON, NY HAS CONFIRMED AN EF1
TORNADO NEAR DANBY IN TOMPKINS COUNTY NEW YORK ON APRIL 28 2011.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN A FOREST OFF OF JERSEY HILL ROAD
NORTHWEST OF THE TOWN OF DANBY. NUMEROUS PINE TREES WERE UPROOTED
AND SNAPPED IN THIS FOREST. THE TORNADO TRACKED FROM SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST...SNAPPING NUMEROUS PINES AS IT CROSSED COMFORT ROAD. A
METAL OUTBUILDING WAS COMPLETELY COLLAPSED AND A BARN ACROSS THE
STREET RECEIVED ROOF DAMAGE WITH DEBRIS LOFTED INTO THE TREES.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARD THE INTERSECTION
OF BEARDSLEY LANE AND DANBY ROAD. ONE HOME SUSTAINED DAMAGE WHEN A
TREE COLLAPSED ONTO THE ROOF AND A WINDOW WAS BLOWN OUT. SURROUNDING
HOMES SAW NUMEROUS TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. A SMALL BRANCH WAS
PROPELLED AND IMPALED INTO A CAR WINDSHIELD.

A HOMEOWNER AT THE INTERSECTION OF BEARDSLEY LANE AND DANBY ROAD
HAD A WORKING ANEMOMETER AT THE TIME OF THE TORNADO. AT 1:44
AM...A WIND GUST TO 90.3 MPH WAS RECORDED. NO ADDITIONAL TORNADO
DAMAGE WAS NOTED AS THE STORM HEADED OFF TO THE NORTHEAST.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/BGM.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND OUR APPRECIATION
TO LOCAL OFFICIALS...LOCAL MEDIA AND ESPECIALLY EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS
FOR HELP DURING THIS SURVEY.

$$

PN/RAM

Same storm produced additional straight-line wind damage...

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
1039 PM EDT THU APR 28 2011

...STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE CONFIRMED NEAR DANBY IN TOMPKINS
COUNTY NEW YORK...

LOCATION...DANBY IN TOMPKINS COUNTY NEW YORK
DATE...APRIL 28 2011
ESTIMATED TIME...145 AM EDT
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...100 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...0.45 MILES
PATH LENGTH...1.70 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...42.39N / -76.49W
ENDING LAT/LON...42.41N / -76.47W
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON, NY HAS CONFIRMED STRAIGHT
LINE WIND DAMAGE NEAR DANBY IN TOMPKINS COUNTY NEW YORK ON APRIL
28 2011.

A STORM THAT ORIGINALLY PRODUCED TORNADIC DAMAGE NORTHWEST OF
DANBY CONTINUED HEADING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND PRODUCED
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO NEAR 100 MPH. NUMEROUS HARDWOOD TREES WERE
SNAPPED AND UPROOTED ON THE EAST SIDE OF DANBY ROAD. TREES FELL ON
THE ROOF OF A HOUSE AT THE CORNER OF NELSON AND DANBY ROAD WITH
SHINGLES BLOWN OFF AND FLUNG NEARLY 20 YARD.

THE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CONTINUED WITH AN AVERAGE PATH WIDTH OF
0.45 MILES...CAUSING EXCESSIVE TREE DAMAGE. A HOME IN THE DEER RUN
SUBDIVISION SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE AS THE ROOF WAS PEELED UP
AND STREWN DOWNSTREAM APPROXIMATELY 30 YARDS. INSULATION AND
SIDING WAS ALSO BLOWN OFF THIS HOUSE WITH MINOR SIDING DAMAGE TO
OTHER HOUSES NEARBY.

THE STORM CONTINUED TO PRODUCE TREE DAMAGE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
BEFORE FINALLY ENDING NEAR CODDINGTON ROAD.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/BGM.

FOR REFERENCE...
STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS ARE GENERALLY ANY WIND THAT IS NOT ASSOCIATED
WITH ROTATION...USED MAINLY TO DIFFERENTIATE THEM FROM TORNADIC
WINDS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND OUR APPRECIATION
TO LOCAL OFFICIALS...LOCAL MEDIA AND ESPECIALLY EYEWITNESS ACCOUNTS
FOR HELP DURING THIS SURVEY.

$$

PN/RAM

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Sure looked like a tornado went through Pharsalia yesterday.

http://www.facebook....447.61398605828

Wow...! Looks like a no-brainer based on the fact there seems to be a well-defined path coupled with the fact that the trees are laying in a chaotic pattern as opposed to a uniform direction. Looks indicative of strong EF-1 category winds (105-110mph?) in my best guess, although I'm sure BGM will be publishing their survey results shortly...

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Pharsalia Tornado in Chenango County rated at 'weak' EF-2 intensity of 115mph...

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON, NY
626 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2011

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR PHARSALIA IN CHENANGO COUNTY NEW YORK...

LOCATION...PHARSALIA IN CHENANGO COUNTY NEW YORK
DATE...APRIL 28 2011
ESTIMATED TIME...300 AM EDT - 310 AM EDT
MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF2
ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...115 MPH
MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...400 YARDS
PATH LENGTH...8 MILES
BEGINNING LAT/LON...42.551 / 75.773
ENDING LAT/LON...42.623 / 75.666
* FATALITIES...0
* INJURIES...0

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO
CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN NWS
STORM DATA.

...SUMMARY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON, NY HAS CONFIRMED A
TORNADO NEAR PHARSALIA IN CHENANGO COUNTY NEW YORK ON APRIL 28 2011.

THE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON COUNTY ROUTE 7 IN PHARSALIA AND
PRODUCED EF1 DAMAGE TO A FEW BARNS AND SOME TREES. THE TORNADO TRAVELED
NORTHEAST APPROXIMATELY 8 MILES BEFORE DISSIPATING ON PIGEON HILL
ROAD IN PHARSALIA. INTENSITY FOR MOST OF THE PATH WAS ESTIMATED
AT EF1... HOWEVER EF2 INTENSITY WAS ESTIMATED ALONG NORTH ROAD AND
CENTER ROAD IN PHARSALIA. IN THOSE AREAS HUNDREDS OF LARGE TREES
WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED LEVELING A DENSE FOREST. OVER THE HILL A
HOUSE TRAILER WAS LIFTED AND DEMOLISHED... A 2 STORY BARN WAS
DEMOLISHED... A SMALL POND HAD ITS WATER SUCKED OUT... AND A JEEP
WAS MOVED SEVERAL FEET AND HIT WITH DEBRIS. OUTBUILDINGS WERE
DESTROYED.

THIS INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR WEBSITE AT
WEATHER.GOV/BGM.

FOR REFERENCE...THE ENHANCED FUJITA SCALE CLASSIFIES TORNADOES INTO
THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES:

EF0...WIND SPEEDS 65 TO 85 MPH.
EF1...WIND SPEEDS 86 TO 110 MPH.
EF2...WIND SPEEDS 111 TO 135 MPH.
EF3...WIND SPEEDS 136 TO 165 MPH.
EF4...WIND SPEEDS 166 TO 200 MPH.
EF5...WIND SPEEDS GREATER THAN 200 MPH.

$$

MSE/BMW

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