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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD/Elko, NV/Big Jim: OBS 12/1-12/14


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Guest Patrick

LOL Ray.... you KNOW I am not about to argue with the king of winter storm record-keeping here =) But I think I got my point across... that season featured a weaker nina, and is not likely to be repeated anytime soon. It's not impossible, just not likely ;P

3? I had 5 ;)

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Cool pic Steve.

*December so far:

Cold In,

Cold Out,

Storm In,

Storm Out,

Cold In,

?

*Not applicable for Ray Martin

Actually there was a "Storm in, storm out" at the very beginning too ;)

:lol:

Yeah for me its more like

" a little rain, a little snow, relatively mild (compared to the second half of November at least!) "

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Pretty standard moderate to strong La Nina winter so far. Cold and dry, then warm and wet, and the cycle continues. Unless the pacific really improves and/or we phase out of this La Nina into a more neutral state, I think you can look to the few winters prior to last year for guidance. The difference this year, at least leading up to New Year's, may be the -NAO and -AO establishing themselves. I'm not sure how those states existed in 06-09, but I think the pacific setup is equally as poor. I don't know how helpful a -AO and -NAO are in La Nina winters like this.

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2008-09 featured a nice December around here...four separate snowfalls of at least 1 inch, 13.0" for the month, and 11 days when the ground was well covered with snow...saw 6.7" from December 19 -20th.

Not around Philly. Just one such snowfall at my parents near TTN...

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It's in the 30s, not the 60s. That's how helpful it is.

Well, I don't recall what the AO and NAO were during these periods, but just for comparison:

Early December 2007 at TTN:

2007-12-01   36*    28*      0*      0*  
2007-12-02   35*    23*   0.56*    0.7*  
2007-12-03   48*    34*   0.22*      0*  
2007-12-04   36*    26*      T*      T*  
2007-12-05   32*    22*   0.07*    0.8*  
2007-12-06   33*    17*      0*      0*  
2007-12-07   35*    18*   0.02*      T*  

Early December 2008 at TTN:

2008-12-01   57*    40*   0.04*      0*  
2008-12-02   45*    29*      0*      0*  
2008-12-03   43*    26*      0*      0*  
2008-12-04   52*    30*   0.02*      0*  
2008-12-05   41*    26*      0*      0*  
2008-12-06   35*    21*   0.04*    0.7*  
2008-12-07   36*    21*      T*      T*  

Early December 2010 at TTN:

2010-12-01   64*    36*   1.56*      0*  
2010-12-02   42*    31*      0*      0*  
2010-12-03   42*    32*      0*      0*  
2010-12-04   40*    30*      0*      0*  
2010-12-05   36*    29*      0*      0*  
2010-12-06   36*    30*      0*      0*  
2010-12-07   37*    30*      0*      0*  

I don't see much difference....

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Well, I don't recall what the AO and NAO were during these periods, but just for comparison:

Early December 2007 at TTN:

2007-12-01   36*    28*      0*      0*  
2007-12-02   35*    23*   0.56*    0.7*  
2007-12-03   48*    34*   0.22*      0*  
2007-12-04   36*    26*      T*      T*  
2007-12-05   32*    22*   0.07*    0.8*  
2007-12-06   33*    17*      0*      0*  
2007-12-07   35*    18*   0.02*      T*  

Early December 2008 at TTN:

2008-12-01   57*    40*   0.04*      0*  
2008-12-02   45*    29*      0*      0*  
2008-12-03   43*    26*      0*      0*  
2008-12-04   52*    30*   0.02*      0*  
2008-12-05   41*    26*      0*      0*  
2008-12-06   35*    21*   0.04*    0.7*  
2008-12-07   36*    21*      T*      T*  

Early December 2010 at TTN:

2010-12-01   64*    36*   1.56*      0*  
2010-12-02   42*    31*      0*      0*  
2010-12-03   42*    32*      0*      0*  
2010-12-04   40*    30*      0*      0*  
2010-12-05   36*    29*      0*      0*  
2010-12-06   36*    30*      0*      0*  
2010-12-07   37*    30*      0*      0*  

I don't see much difference....

Interesting. I assumed that without a -NAO, the SE ridge would be in control. But it appears 12/07 was a +NAO. How did the rest of the month end up?

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Interesting. I assumed that without a -NAO, the SE ridge would be in control. But it appears 12/07 was a +NAO. How did the rest of the month end up?

2007-12-01   36*    28*      0*      0*  
2007-12-02   35*    23*   0.56*    0.7*  
2007-12-03   48*    34*   0.22*      0*  
2007-12-04   36*    26*      T*      T*  
2007-12-05   32*    22*   0.07*    0.8*  
2007-12-06   33*    17*      0*      0*  
2007-12-07   35*    18*   0.02*      T*  
2007-12-08   48*    29*   0.11*      T*  
2007-12-09   38*    32*   0.24*      T*  
2007-12-10   43*    36*   0.10*      T*  
2007-12-11   48*    36*   0.02*      0*  
2007-12-12   54*    32*   0.01*      0*  
2007-12-13   35*    30*   0.62*    0.3*  
2007-12-14   43*    29*      0*      0*  
2007-12-15   34*    28*      T*      T*  
2007-12-16   41*    32*   1.04*      T*  
2007-12-17   35*    28*      0*      0*  
2007-12-18   39*    25*      0*      0*  
2007-12-19   48*    28*      T*      0*  
2007-12-20   46*    31*      0*      0*  
2007-12-21   39*    32*   0.01*      T*  
2007-12-22   40*    35*      T*      T*  
2007-12-23   62*    40*   0.78*      0*  
2007-12-24   48*    33*      0*      0*  
2007-12-25   46*    28*      0*      0*  
2007-12-26   37*    25*   0.21*      T*  
2007-12-27   44*    36*      T*      0*  
2007-12-28   48*    29*   0.13*      0*  
2007-12-29   51*    37*   0.40*      0*  
2007-12-30   42*    30*   0.19*      0*  
2007-12-31   44*    30*   0.27*      0*  

AVG/TOT    42.2   29.6    5.00     1.8   


 TEMPERATURE DATA         PRECIPITATION DATA   
AVERAGE MONTHLY: 35.9   TOTAL FOR MONTH:    5.00
HIGHEST:           62   GREATEST DAILY:     1.04
LOWEST:            17   GREATEST 2-DAY:     1.04

    SNOWFALL DATA      
TOTAL FOR MONTH:     1.8
GREATEST DAILY:      0.8
GREATEST 2-DAY:      0.8


NUMBER OF DAYS WITH

MAX 32 OR BELOW:    1   TRACE PRECIP OR MORE: 23
MAX 90 OR ABOVE:    0   0.10" PRECIP OR MORE: 13
MIN 32 OR BELOW:   23   0.50" PRECIP OR MORE:  4
MIN  0 OR BELOW:    0   1.00" PRECIP OR MORE:  1

TRACE SNOW OR MORE:   13
1.0" SNOW OR MORE:    0
5.0" SNOW OR MORE:    0
10.0" SNOW OR MORE:    0

That's right about the unofficial 1971-2000 average for TTN, temp-wise. Precip was above normal, snowfall below normal.

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I'd rather just have it be warm than cold. It's becoming pretty obvious that we're not going to get snow anytime soon and I'm already getting tired of the cold winds. Give me back my 60s please.

Ugh, no way. We have the other nine months of the year for warmth, let the three months of winter be cold. Obviously it's much better with snow, but I'd still much rather have it nice and cold outside in winter like it's supposed to be. 60's in the winter is just depressing.

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2008-09 featured a nice December around here...four separate snowfalls of at least 1 inch, 13.0" for the month, and 11 days when the ground was well covered with snow...saw 6.7" from December 19 -20th.

Yeah you guys did better on the 12/19-20 event in '08 than we did...IIRC it was ice to rain or something like that around here. Philly ended up with a T from that storm....lots of T events during the month.

http://www.weather.gov/climate/getclimate.php?date=&wfo=mpx&sid=phl&pil=CF6&recent=&specdate=2008-12-31+11:11:11

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Ugh, no way. We have the other nine months of the year for warmth, let the three months of winter be cold. Obviously it's much better with snow, but I'd still much rather have it nice and cold outside in winter like it's supposed to be. 60's in the winter is just depressing.

Um, no. Wasted cold is depressing, especially if it comes with warm Lake Cutters in between. I'm not a fan of cold weather, but it's easier to deal with if there are SNOW THREATS to track.

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Um, no. Wasted cold is depressing, especially if it comes with warm Lake Cutters in between. I'm not a fan of cold weather, but it's easier to deal with if there are SNOW THREATS to track.

there are always snow threats on the models 10+ days out ;).

i agree... very cold with brown is very depressing.

lets hope we can squeeze out a little backlash with this coming storm.

20.5f at 6:30am.

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