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E PA/NJ/DE/NE MD/Elko, NV/Big Jim: OBS 12/1-12/14


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2 to 3 inches a couple miles to the east of Pottsville where I pick up my coal. I got stuck trying to get up the one hill on the haul road and am now waiting for the loader to clear it off. Wish I could attach the pic I took.

There was a report of 5+" yesterday on the west end of Schuylkill County (over west of 81 along 209). Congrats on the bonus LES.

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Early view of the weekend event here in NW Chesco via the Wxsim forecasting tool

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of a mix of freezing rain and

sleet after midnight. Low 26. Wind south around 3 mph in the evening, becoming

east-southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent.

Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a tenth of an inch. Little or

no ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Little if any freezing rain

accumulation.

Sunday: Cloudy in the morning, becoming dense overcast in the afternoon. A

chance of a mix of rain, freezing rain, and sleet in the morning, then rain

likely in the afternoon. High 38. Wind east-southeast around 9 mph. Chance of

precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between a

quarter and half an inch. No ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Little if

any freezing rain accumulation.

Sunday night: Dense overcast. Patchy light fog in the evening. Rain likely in

the evening, then a mix of rain, snow, and sleet likely after midnight. Low 29.

Wind east-southeast around 8 mph in the evening, becoming west-northwest around

17 mph, gusting to 28 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch.

Little or no snow or ice (on ground) accumulation expected.

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Doesn't look to impressive

Early view of the weekend event here in NW Chesco via the Wxsim forecasting tool

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of a mix of freezing rain and

sleet after midnight. Low 26. Wind south around 3 mph in the evening, becoming

east-southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent.

Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a tenth of an inch. Little or

no ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Little if any freezing rain

accumulation.

Sunday: Cloudy in the morning, becoming dense overcast in the afternoon. A

chance of a mix of rain, freezing rain, and sleet in the morning, then rain

likely in the afternoon. High 38. Wind east-southeast around 9 mph. Chance of

precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between a

quarter and half an inch. No ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Little if

any freezing rain accumulation.

Sunday night: Dense overcast. Patchy light fog in the evening. Rain likely in

the evening, then a mix of rain, snow, and sleet likely after midnight. Low 29.

Wind east-southeast around 8 mph in the evening, becoming west-northwest around

17 mph, gusting to 28 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch.

Little or no snow or ice (on ground) accumulation expected.

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Guest Patrick

A 95-96 repeat would be difficult to do, considering that by late December 1995 we already had 3 accumulating snowfalls within the NYC metro and NJ burbs. Not saying it is impossible, especially if the Nina is indeed weakening, it is just unlikely. The more likely scenario is powerful la Nina = la nada for most of the winter. Sure, we always have the chance of threading the needle, but many here have been spoiled by the past two decades. It is quite possible that the NYC/NJ region escape this winter with <20 inches of snow.

Go read about winter 95-96 and you will change your opinion.

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