Pellice Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Anybody have any guesses about some of the rates of rainfall in the Metro areas? Have seen some intense rainsqualls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Big time temp bust here. Yesterday the forecast was for 45 and it's 51.4 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 4:19 PM, Thunder Road said: 0.76" on the day so far + a few hundreths last night. 58.4° out now, down from a high of 59.0° about 20 mins ago. Max wind gust today to 26 mph too. That must've happened while I was asleep, since 26 on my PWS usually equates to 30-40 in real life. Anyone else have some good gusts? 35 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 .54" and 53F...down from a high of 54F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:18 PM, phlwx said: It wouldn't surprise me temps held around 40 for part of the day before falling back in the PM as CAA takes over. The GFS was really aggressive with that cold front (no surprise) for a while. Also, big time bust on the GFS and NAM on temperatures -- it's 60 at PHL. Nothing like a one day torch to screw up the departures for the month. Isn't that the way alot of winter months seem to go? I have to send flowers to 12/1 & today or my December analog mean would be alot worse that it already looks like its going to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Currently 57F/56F here right now. We have received 1.02" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Gadzooks its up to 55 here and 60 in Macungie! 0.8" in the bucket... Hope that cold front comes through soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Theres still plenty of time but man if this December isn't like a repeat of that godawful ugly winter of 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 4:31 PM, Rainshadow said: Isn't that the way alot of winter months seem to go? I have to send flowers to 12/1 & today or my December analog mean would be alot worse that it already looks like its going to be. I could use a couple more of todays for my forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 The temperature is starting to fall here, down to 47.7, after a high of 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 3:41 PM, Grothar said: History runs that a 60 degree day in December leads to a philly snow fall the next day. The backside of this storm may wallop us with three inches of snow for everyone. The energy of this storm is surprising with the convection already and the heavy downpours this morning. We will see This post has forced me to identify all 60-degree days in Philly in December during the last 30 years: 12/1/1980 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/2/1980 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/8/1980 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/9/1980 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/23/1981 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1982 - 69; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1982 - 70; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/25/1982 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/26/1982 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/1982 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/29/1982 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/12/1983 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/13/1983 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/13/1984 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/1984 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1984 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/29/1984 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/30/1984 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/12/1985 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/2/1986 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/3/1986 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/9/1987 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1988 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0.4 (0.3 on 12/9/1988, 0.1 on 12/11/1988) 12/20/1988 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/1988 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0.4 (0.4 on 1/1/1989) 12/4/1990 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/1990 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1990 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 3.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990) 12/23/1990 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 6.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990, 3.0 on 12/28/1990) 12/24/1990 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 6.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990, 3.0 on 12/28/1990) 12/30/1990 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/1/1991 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/9/1991 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/14/1991 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/17/1992 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/31/1992 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1993 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1994 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1994 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1994 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1994 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/1/1996 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/2/1996 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/24/1996 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/1/1998 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/2/1998 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/3/1998 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1998 - 73; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1998 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1998 - 69; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1998 - 73; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1998 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 2.0 (1.5 on 12/23/1998, 0.5 on 12/24/1998) 12/4/1999 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1999 - 68; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1999 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/17/2000 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 1.5 (0.1 on 12/19/2000, 0.9 on 12/20/2000, 0.5 on 12/22/2000) 12/1/2001 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/2001 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/2001 - 71; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/2001 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/2001 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/14/2001 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/15/2001 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/11/2003 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 1.2 (1.2 on 12/14/2003) 12/23/2003 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/7/2004 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/8/2004 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2004 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0.3 (0.2 on 12/26/2004, 0.1 on 12/27/2004) 12/1/2006 - 71; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/11/2006 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/2006 - 70; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2006 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2007 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/10/2008 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/15/2008 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0.1 (0.1 on 12/16/2008) 12/24/2008 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/25/2008 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/2008 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0.1 (0.1 on 1/2/2009) 12/3/2009 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/1/2010 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - T OK, so I hope I've dispelled that little myth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 6:23 PM, famartin said: This post has forced me to identify all 60-degree days in Philly in December during the last 30 years: 12/1/1980 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/2/1980 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/8/1980 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/9/1980 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/23/1981 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1982 - 69; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1982 - 70; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/25/1982 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/26/1982 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/1982 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/29/1982 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/12/1983 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/13/1983 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/13/1984 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/1984 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1984 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/29/1984 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/30/1984 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/12/1985 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/2/1986 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/3/1986 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/9/1987 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1988 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0.4 (0.3 on 12/9/1988, 0.1 on 12/11/1988) 12/20/1988 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/1988 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0.4 (0.4 on 1/1/1989) 12/4/1990 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/1990 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1990 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 3.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990) 12/23/1990 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 6.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990, 3.0 on 12/28/1990) 12/24/1990 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 6.4 (3.4 on 12/27/1990, 3.0 on 12/28/1990) 12/30/1990 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/1/1991 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/9/1991 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/14/1991 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/17/1992 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/31/1992 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1993 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1994 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1994 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1994 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1994 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/1/1996 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/2/1996 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/24/1996 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/1/1998 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/2/1998 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/3/1998 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/1998 - 73; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1998 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1998 - 69; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/1998 - 73; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/22/1998 - 64; snow in the next 5 days - 2.0 (1.5 on 12/23/1998, 0.5 on 12/24/1998) 12/4/1999 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/1999 - 68; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/1999 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/17/2000 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 1.5 (0.1 on 12/19/2000, 0.9 on 12/20/2000, 0.5 on 12/22/2000) 12/1/2001 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/4/2001 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/5/2001 - 71; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/6/2001 - 72; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/7/2001 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/14/2001 - 63; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/15/2001 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/11/2003 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 1.2 (1.2 on 12/14/2003) 12/23/2003 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/7/2004 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/8/2004 - 61; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2004 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0.3 (0.2 on 12/26/2004, 0.1 on 12/27/2004) 12/1/2006 - 71; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/11/2006 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/18/2006 - 70; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2006 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/23/2007 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/10/2008 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/15/2008 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0.1 (0.1 on 12/16/2008) 12/24/2008 - 62; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/25/2008 - 60; snow in the next 5 days - 0 12/28/2008 - 66; snow in the next 5 days - 0.1 (0.1 on 1/2/2009) 12/3/2009 - 67; snow in the next 5 days - T 12/1/2010 - 65; snow in the next 5 days - T OK, so I hope I've dispelled that little myth... That seemed like one of those old wives' tales. Just from following weather and climate, I would bet that snow is more likely in Dec after a 60 degree day somewhere like Denver or Elko. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Cloudy and 57 F. Close to our record high of 60 F set in 1979. At least the heater is getting a short break. That batch of rain over Pennsylvania should move in soon. Got no ice last night. Just a very brief period of freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 6:06 PM, daxx said: The temperature is starting to fall here, down to 47.7, after a high of 54. Same here ... I was up to 56.1, now down to 53.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 now down to 46. down 8 degrees from the high at 11 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Looks like another area of heavy rain about to move into the area Rain so far today only 0.62" it appears most stations just west and south of me have reported over 0.85" so far Currents Cloudy 46.6 Wind ESE 6-13 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 Heavy rain is definitly building last hour or so over SE PA. Will be interesting to see if this area of rain stays over PA and NJ rather than LI as most of the models had been predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 46.4 after a high of 52.5 around noontime. Rainfall is up to 1.33". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 7:47 PM, Noreaster85 said: Heavy rain is definitly building last hour or so over SE PA. Will be interesting to see if this area of rain stays over PA and NJ rather than LI as most of the models had been predicting. Looks like that area will. The other area developing on and just off of SNJ will affect more of the city and the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 6:24 PM, Analog96 said: That seemed like one of those old wives' tales. Just from following weather and climate, I would bet that snow is more likely in Dec after a 60 degree day somewhere like Denver or Elko. You may have dispelled it, but it still has a slim chance for tomorrow anyway. At this point, I would have a better chance rolling snake eyes than saying that we will a snowfall event for this upcoming week. I do not believe any model tun right now. Man, what ever happen to consistency in these model runs lately? It has to get better. I think alot of people are not posting now because they are fed up with these model runs saying a potential storm event within the 7-10 day time frame and ending up with jack crap. I am not a snow weenie- but like most of us --- a model wonk---- and want the models to be somewhat accurate. I welcome your comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 10:04 PM, Grothar said: You may have dispelled it, but it still has a slim chance for tomorrow anyway. I am not a snow weenie- but like most of us --- a model wonk---- and want the models to be somewhat accurate. I welcome your comments A model "what"? I think we will see flurries to no/lil' accum....backside snow or Lake effect never really pans out to much Down to 45 here, just over 1 inch in the bucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 What are the latest thoughts of getting some backend snow showers from this thing tomorrow when the cold sweeps in? Just a couple of flakes even would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 10:04 PM, Grothar said: You may have dispelled it, but it still has a slim chance for tomorrow anyway. At this point, I would have a better chance rolling snake eyes than saying that we will a snowfall event for this upcoming week. I do not believe any model tun right now. Man, what ever happen to consistency in these model runs lately? It has to get better. I think alot of people are not posting now because they are fed up with these model runs saying a potential storm event within the 7-10 day time frame and ending up with jack crap. I am not a snow weenie- but like most of us --- a model wonk---- and want the models to be somewhat accurate. I welcome your comments The EC has been pretty consistent with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 10:10 PM, Ridingtime said: What are the latest thoughts of getting some backend snow showers from this thing tomorrow when the cold sweeps in? Just a couple of flakes even would be nice We should see some flurries/snow showers the next few days, from backlash and LES, similar to last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 10:09 PM, wederwarrior said: A model "what"? I think we will see flurries to no/lil' accum....backside snow or Lake effect never really pans out to much Down to 45 here, just over 1 inch in the bucket wonk is a person who studies a subject or issue in an excessively assiduous and thorough manner: e.g. a policy wonk. wonk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 On 12/12/2010 at 10:19 PM, Grothar said: wonk is a person who studies a subject or issue in an excessively assiduous and thorough manner: e.g. a policy wonk. wonk Australians use it a little differently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 1.65" so far from this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 0.94" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Back in Hazleton now, temp is 36.5 and 1.25" has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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