cyclone77 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Looks like the upcoming pattern will yield some severe chances in northern Illinois. Yep, the tide is beginning to turn. New GFS shows a very powerful H5 jet crossing the Rockies early next week. Going to get interesting again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Looks like the upcoming pattern will yield some severe chances in northern Illinois. Yep, the tide is beginning to turn. New GFS shows a very powerful H5 jet crossing the Rockies early next week. Going to get interesting again. I'm ready for more chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 I'm ready for more chasing. Hell yeah, me too. Although I admit the recent downturn in activity is nice for the pocketbook lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Hell yeah, me too. Although I admit the recent downturn in activity is nice for the pocketbook lol. Indeed...which is why if it looks like a chase will be occuring on all or some of the days in the Sun-Wed period, i'll be looking for a group once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Was a balmy 50 today, already in the upper 30s here, though probably wont drop too much more as the dews are in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Yep, the tide is beginning to turn. New GFS shows a very powerful H5 jet crossing the Rockies early next week. Going to get interesting again. I'm ready for any t'storms I can get. March actually had as much severe weather as April practically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 29° F already tonight, what the **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 29° F already tonight, what the **** This always reminds me that during Memorial Day weekend about twenty years ago, Atlantic City, NJ airport (which is really Pamona, N.J.) reached a low of 19o F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Posting a map after 180 = fail And wisconsinwx you are complaining about a forecast a week out, the odds of it verifying this far out are probably under 20%.. Many people didn't see the sarcasm in the map most likely a product of my inability to make fun of the prospects of talking about issues 200+ out..But its all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Rockford, IL hit 30F this morning...not too far from the record of 27F set in 1935. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 DTX has frost in the forecast for tonight....blech Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Rockford, IL hit 30F this morning...not too far from the record of 27F set in 1935. You only post when cold weather records loom, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 I know that there will be severe wx next week, but still didn't think I'd see this anytime soon... A brief break in the action... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Euro torches us next week and GFS has raw NE winds and spotty rain. Hmm, who's right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Wow, 12z GFS is even colder. Low 40s at best surface temperatures, windy, rainy and raw Mon and Tues. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Euro torches us next week and GFS has raw NE winds and spotty rain. Hmm, who's right? MCS activity may modulate the boundary position. If there are frequent MCS's, then it may try to keep the front farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 In situations like these, who is right more often... euro or gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Euro torches us next week and GFS has raw NE winds and spotty rain. Hmm, who's right? I want to believe the Euro is right, and it's been better for our area over the course of the winter. That said, summer could be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 In situations like these, who is right more often... euro or gfs? The Euro has more support it seems as well, so that's what most offices seem to be going with at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 MCS activity may modulate the boundary position. If there are frequent MCS's, then it may try to keep the front farther south. I was about to post this before even reading the thread. Looks like a classic case of repeated NW-SE trekking MCS keeping the front hung up south of LM. Bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 I was about to post this before even reading the thread. Looks like a classic case of repeated NW-SE trekking MCS keeping the front hung up south of LM. Bank. 12z Euro has really backed off on the northward push of warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 You only post when cold weather records loom, eh? Well, I'm more of a lurker overall and don't post much anyway...but yeah, I'm more interested in winter and cold weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 LOL, figured the EURO would kill the warmth. Looks like it's leaving us like a fart in the NE flow off Lake Michigan. Lesson for everyone, never get your hopes up for anything but cold rain until July in SE WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 LOL, figured the EURO would kill the warmth. Looks like it's leaving us like a fart in the NE flow off Lake Michigan. Lesson for everyone, never get your hopes up for anything but cold rain until July in SE WI. Being a debbie downer, huh? I agree cold rain is likely and expected in March and April in the Great Lakes, but not from late spring on. Our severe weather season is May-August, so this would be an unusual spring if this kind of chilly air continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Tuesday, May 3rd: Hi: 51F Lo: 38F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 9MPH Rainfall: 0.04" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Hit 29 here this morning. Was actually sort of sad in a sick way this morning when looking at the frost. The next time we see it (Octoberish) it will be somewhat exciting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Being a debbie downer, huh? I agree cold rain is likely and expected in March and April in the Great Lakes, but not from late spring on. Our severe weather season is May-August, so this would be an unusual spring if this kind of chilly air continues. Tonight's EURO is the dealbreaker. If it trends back to warmth, we have a chance. If it continues the trend toward cooler, cold is in the bag I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 4, 2011 Share Posted May 4, 2011 Frost advisory here tonight with temps expected to be in the mid 30's. Probably the last one of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Frost Advisory, but HIE should keep temps around 41F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 The parallels between following this fist Summer time Ridge and the first potential Winter Storm are just to funny. Every May and November we do this..Love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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