Stebo Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 My notion that we wouldn't see a slight risk for severe weather again until Mid-June is looking more and more likely. I got criticized for making that prediction too early but I just had a feeling we would get out of the stormy pattern just in time for the warmth that could support severe weather. Thanks for playing. silly bets are silly Better watch out for the no Winter Storm Warning bet come late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Thanks for playing. Furthermore... I know I can get get a 15 yard penalty for piling on, but what the heck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 wisconsinwx or moneyman, pick your poison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Thanks for playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 0z GFS has mid to upper 70º dewpoints for LAF for 5 out of the next 7 days. Mercy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 29, 2011 Author Share Posted May 29, 2011 GFS is now officially saying forget it if you're expecting a cool down. Heights don't get below 582dm before another 595dm ridge develops overhead. 850mb temps and thickness values don't support highs any less than 75*F either. Even in the long range heights don't get below 582dm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 GFS is now officially saying forget it if you're expecting a cool down. Heights don't get below 582dm before another 595dm ridge develops overhead. 850mb temps and thickness values don't support highs any less than 75*F either. Even in the long range heights don't get below 582dm. Looks like a mid to late July weather pattern locking in during late May / beginning of June! Accuweather, which seems to base its forecast largely on the GFS MOS, shows high temps remaining 10-20 degrees above normal through June 5 for my current location. And today marks the 13th straight day with warmer than normal temps here. I'm thinking this might be the predominant weather pattern of the summer, given the unusual wetness / snowpack in the intermountain west and upper midwest, and the cold near-shore Pacific SSTs -- both of which would seem to favor a bit of a trough in the west. Plus the warm gulf and southern drought would seem to favor a building ridge. Kind of looks like last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 29, 2011 Author Share Posted May 29, 2011 Looks like a mid to late July weather pattern locking in during late May / beginning of June! I'm thinking this might be the predominant weather pattern of the summer, given the unusual wetness / snowpack in the intermountain west and upper midwest, and the cold near-shore Pacific SSTs -- both of which would seem to favor a bit of a trough in the west. Plus the warm gulf and southern drought would seem to favor a building ridge. Kind of looks like last summer. There's probably going to also be another sharp gradient in the heat the further NE you head too, like last summer with some effects from the -NAO. The hefty soil moisture across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley is really the only negative. It'll probably be another stormy/humid summer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Its 1PM but it feels like its a lot later.. Eery outside.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 2.04" of rain between 11AM-2:30PM with the complex earlier. There were some flooding issues too... Portions of several roads had standing water up to a few inches deep. Two intersections and one of the main town roads had standing water of 6-12" deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Slow news day I guess, as WBBM and WGN news vans are in the neighborhood taking video of the downed tree on the house a block from here. Every viaduct here is impassable from the heavy rains earlier. Time to go out and gather up the tree limbs from the yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Slow news day I guess, as WBBM and WGN news vans are in the neighborhood taking video of the downed tree on the house a block from here. Every viaduct here is impassable from the heavy rains earlier. Time to go out and gather up the tree limbs from the yard. Dude, get off of here and get on the news with a shameless plug for AmWx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted May 29, 2011 Share Posted May 29, 2011 Dude, get off of here and get on the news with a shameless plug for AmWx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 The squall line passed through here with 30-35mph gusts, but the big story was the close CG lightning and very heavy rain. Picked up just under 2" of rain, with about an inch of that coming in less than 20 minutes. Had lots of standing water around like many of you guys experienced. After the squall line passed by, a short while later strong winds kicked up from the northeast. Had wind gusts close to 40mph for at least a half hour. Finally cleared out later in the afternoon and after spending much of the day in the 60s we made it up to 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Sunday, May 29th: Hi: 68F Lo: 53F Overall Sky Conditions: Cloudy Max Wind Gust: 22MPH Rainfall: 2.04" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 48/48 out off a high of 65.. getting some of that chitcago dence fog battle of the fronts. tomorrow its going to be swampy ass manning the grill and smoker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 48/48 out off a high of 65.. getting some of that chitcago dence fog battle of the fronts. tomorrow its going to be swampy ass manning the grill and smoker. Probably our first back to back 80 degree days coming up since ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Probably our first back to back 80 degree days coming up since ? Yup and looking pretty decent going forward... It's summer time now boys and girls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 24 degree temp gradient across the area, warm front pushing northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 long range looks pure summer, funny how things can change on a dime like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Happy Memorial Day! Thank you Veterans and too all those that our currently serving our country. The souls who gave their blood and lives will not be forgotten. God Bless America! We tip our hats and the weather Gods have too! Heres to the BBQ and Temps in the 90s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Two hours ago it was 60, now it's 81 with nearly 70 degree dewpoints. I'm not sure I'm ready for this kind of torch when we were seeing windchills in the 30s last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Already 86 here and pretty breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 87/72 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 88/72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 Just saw 90 on the bank clock, traffic is nuts with people trying to get to the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 90/68 here at the house. Just did 3 miles at the school track. Feel like I'm gonna die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 AC set to 66 ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 90/68 here at the house. Just did 3 miles at the school track. Feel like I'm gonna die. bottom of your running shoes melt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted May 30, 2011 Share Posted May 30, 2011 got up to 91/73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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