Mikehobbyst Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 The 1030 high building over Quebec and cold ocean say the warm front should stay stalled over the NYC area and LI all week with southern New England never getting warm sectored. PHL and DC to 85 NYC to near 60 and Boston in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 The 1030 high building over Quebec and cold ocean say the warm front should stay stalled over the NYC area and LI all week with southern New England never getting warm sectored. PHL and DC to 85 NYC to near 60 and Boston in the 40's. every single model and member of ensemble guidance disagrees with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 every single model and member of ensemble guidance disagrees with you What if the models did not adjust yet for any pressure trends and ETA seems too far north with wf with a positive pressure tendency over Maine thru Eastern Mass. The building Quebec high could easily cause front to stall north to south thru CT and LI with it drifting westward at night as backdoor and trying to move east during the day as slow moving warm front. How can this current pattern support anything north and east of NYC for the week ??Quebec high will be the deal breaker for any warmth north and east of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 23, 2011 Share Posted April 23, 2011 What if the models did not adjust yet for any pressure trends and ETA seems too far north with wf with a positive pressure tendency over Maine thru Eastern Mass. the building Quebec high could easily cause front to stall north to south CT and LI with it drifting westward at night as backdoor and trying to move east during the day as slow moving warm front. How can this pattern support anything north and east of NYC for the week ?? it could be this massive ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Lets get thru todays warm front first. Imagine if this map is the same 12 hrs from now? Oooops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Lets get thru todays warm front first. Imagine if this map is the same 12 hrs from now? Oooops. As far as just clearing NYC, all it will take is sunrise to do that. Further North, it might take a bit more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Lets get thru todays warm front first. done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Mmm, smells like spring outside. Finally a little warm to go with the humidity. Happy Easter, Greek Easter, and Passover everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND STRENGTHENING LOW PRES OVER THE MIDWEST WILL CAUSE AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW MON...BUT THE QUESTION IS...WILL THIS BE ENOUGH TO PUSH THE FRONT BACK TO THE NORTH. AT THIS TIME...HAVE GONE MORE WITH CLIMATOLOGY AND KEPT IT TO OUR SOUTH...BUT NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITIES. LOW PRES MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES ON TUE WITH THE PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENING FURTHER AND SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASING. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO LIFT THE FRONT THROUGH AT LEAST WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. Upton is not so sure about Monday or Tuesday, but they expect the warm front to clear the area by Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 the nam did a good job with the last warm front, and it has it near boston by 18z tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 to the OP, how is your prediction for buds not coming out until mid may and leaf out until Memorial day working out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 to the OP, how is your prediction for buds not coming out until mid may and leaf out until Memorial day working out Lol the dominant trees which leaf out among the last are leafing out today I saw just now. Almost on schedule (last week of April). It is so great out today, we jumped from March to June in less than 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 The 1030 high building over Quebec and cold ocean say the warm front should stay stalled over the NYC area and LI all week with southern New England never getting warm sectored. PHL and DC to 85 NYC to near 60 and Boston in the 40's. It's in the 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 The 1030 high building over Quebec and cold ocean say the warm front should stay stalled over the NYC area and LI all week with southern New England never getting warm sectored. PHL and DC to 85 NYC to near 60 and Boston in the 40's. Perhaps the models were correct with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 The front is going to surge through SNE tomorrow too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 epic fail thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 this thread he made alot of awkward and bizarre threads in the winter, kinda weird and freaks me out somethimes as everyone on the board knew this warmup was coming this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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