SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 See am i wrong on wanting to have something to film and share with all of yous? He means you shouldn't be begging for storms with a lot of people dying in the Mid South today. He doesn't mean your right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Didn't realize that the watch had been out since around 7PM. Doh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 He means you shouldn't be begging for storms with a lot of people dying in the Mid South today. He doesn't mean your right. Look i feel bad for those being effected down there and i feel bad for people dieing, If i could do anything else but for prayor then i would to avoid them from dieing trust me. I dont wish or pray for anything or anyone to be detroyed or killed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 Listen, i understand the whole wanting storms. I love storms prob more than you do. but today is one of them days where you wish for it to be over. June 24th was scary enough for me last year, i cant imagine what people dow south are going through the last few days/today. Not belittlting you lee, it's just one of them days where you have to be careful what you wish for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJisLiving Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 When are these storms expected to start weakening? And what causes them to weaken? Doesn't appear to be happening much so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 I know it's not our thread but it looks like there is a decent change of a TOG on the storm about to hit Manassas, VA. 118kt couplet at 1200 ft! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 BV: SRV: BR: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Day 1 slight out, 10% nado, 30% wind, 15% hail, gonna get messy tomorrow. DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1259 AM CDT THU APR 28 2011 VALID 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ALONG THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD... ...SYNOPSIS... AS A PARENT UPPER LOW ELONGATES OVER THE MIDWEST-CNTRL GREAT LAKES TODAY...STRONG IMPULSE CURRENTLY OVER THE TN VLY WILL EJECT NE TO NEW ENGLAND. A COLD FRONT WILL SURGE EWD ACROSS THE NERN STATES AS A DEEP SFC CYCLONE TRAVELS FROM IND TO QUEBEC. TRAILING FRONT WILL BE SLOWER TO MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SRN ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. ...ATLANTIC SEABOARD... STRONG SLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS ALONG/AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING BAND OF STRONG-SEVERE TSTMS TODAY. ALTHOUGH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL DECREASE WITH NRN EXTENT...MLCAPES WILL STILL LIKELY REACH 1000 J/KG GIVEN INFLUX OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. FARTHER S...STEEPER LAPSE RATES AND EXPECTED WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN A COMPARATIVELY MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS FROM PARTS OF SERN PA SWD INTO NRN FL. DEEP-LAYER FLOW BEGINS TO BECOME MORE ALIGNED WITH TIME AS THE MID-LEVEL WAVE EJECTS ENE AND WITH INCREASING ASCENT...ACTIVITY FROM THE NRN MID-ATLANTIC NWD INTO NY SHOULD BECOME MORE QUASI-LINEAR WITH EMBEDDED ROTATING STRUCTURES. DMGG WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THERE. ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN WITH EWD EXTENT AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE MARINE LAYER FLOWING OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL ATLANTIC. FARTHER S...CORE OF THE STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE NWD EARLY IN THE DAY...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT AMPLE DEEP/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL LINGER THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON FROM CNTRL MID-ATLANTIC STATES SWD INTO THE CAROLINAS. HERE...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH A FEW TORNADOES AND DMGG WINDS WILL EXIST. THESE THREATS WILL MOVE BEYOND THE COAST BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON. TAIL-END OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH TIME ACROSS THE SERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD. BUT...REMNANT PRE-FRONTAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST SEA BREEZE...IN THE PRESENCE OF LARGE CAPE DURING THE PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING. DMGG WINDS/HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SVR RISKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParanormalWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Warnings up for wind damage...little lightning tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Warnings up for wind damage...little lightning tho I dunno about that...lightning strike maps show that this line is filled with lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Got woken up around 5:30 by a ridiculously loud thunderclap...nice bit of stuff in effect this morning Flash Flood Warning Severe Thunderstorm Watch Flash Flood Watch Flood Warning Hazardous Weather Outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Well the ultimate question is, will there be an afternoon component or is this about it? If this is about it, then i might not even get a drop of rain out of it. I have 4 buckets on the deck that had coffee grinds in them for my yard, and they are bone dry and were bone dry when i got home yesterday from work. Yes i know where i live had a severe thunderstorm warning for wind, and according to radar lightning was south of me in new castle county. but is there anything i can hang my hat on for this afternoon or should i just write another chance off and move on? Trust me i feel bad for those in the south who got effected and all the deaths and destruction and i know the saying of be careful of what you wish. So far this year has been sorta dead for my filming of thunderstorms. Maybe it can turn around quickly and i get overwhelmed with so much footage of thunderstorms i have recorded one can only hope. Ok now make that 2 Severe thunderstorm warnings for where i live for wind. for a total of 4 warnings on the year. all for wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 656 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN BERKS COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... SOUTHEASTERN LEHIGH COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ALLENTOWN... NORTHAMPTON COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF EASTON... NORTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN DELAWARE... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...NEWARK... WESTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY... WESTERN BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... EASTERN CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF WEST CHESTER... DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... NORTHWESTERN PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 800 AM EDT * AT 652 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM GILBERTSVILLE TO PUGHTOWN TO GLENMOORE TO LADENBERG...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES EAST OF READING TO 16 MILES NORTH OF WEST CHESTER TO 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF WEST CHESTER TO NEWARK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH. * SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR... BALLY...ASHLAND...MARSHALLTON AND LIONVILLE AROUND 700 AM EDT... ZIONSVILLE...EMMAUS...ELAM AND CHELSEA AROUND 705 AM EDT... ALLENTOWN AND ROYERSFORD AROUND 710 AM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Typical garden variety storm here...caught the weak end of the line. That stuff in MD and the developing squall line west of that looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Well the ultimate question is, will there be an afternoon component or is this about it? If this is about it, then i might not even get a drop of rain out of it. I have 4 buckets on the deck that had coffee grinds in them for my yard, and they are bone dry and were bone dry when i got home yesterday from work. Yes i know where i live had a severe thunderstorm warning for wind, and according to radar lightning was south of me in new castle county. but is there anything i can hang my hat on for this afternoon or should i just write another chance off and move on? Trust me i feel bad for those in the south who got effected and all the deaths and destruction and i know the saying of be careful of what you wish. So far this year has been sorta dead for my filming of thunderstorms. Maybe it can turn around quickly and i get overwhelmed with so much footage of thunderstorms i have recorded one can only hope. Ok now make that 2 Severe thunderstorm warnings for where i live for wind. for a total of 4 warnings on the year. all for wind. I would say we have multiple chances up until 4pm or so. But remember, you live in PA, not the Great Plains. You win some, lose some but complaining about it doesn't do anything for anyone. Just chill out some, relax. I know you like to film and what-not, so do I. I've been dying to do some lightning photography now that winters over. Don't worry, you'll get some good shots sometime this summer i'm sure, but just relax and enjoy tracking em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 first mini-squall line didn't produce much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 is it me or does the precip with the front seem to be moving more to the north rather than east toward NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 is it me or does the precip with the front seem to be moving more to the north rather than east toward NJ? It's been doing that since yesterday, it has a more northern component to it. The front isn't moving east very fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Well the ultimate question is, will there be an afternoon component or is this about it? If this is about it, then i might not even get a drop of rain out of it. I have 4 buckets on the deck that had coffee grinds in them for my yard, and they are bone dry and were bone dry when i got home yesterday from work. Yes i know where i live had a severe thunderstorm warning for wind, and according to radar lightning was south of me in new castle county. but is there anything i can hang my hat on for this afternoon or should i just write another chance off and move on? Trust me i feel bad for those in the south who got effected and all the deaths and destruction and i know the saying of be careful of what you wish. So far this year has been sorta dead for my filming of thunderstorms. Maybe it can turn around quickly and i get overwhelmed with so much footage of thunderstorms i have recorded one can only hope. Ok now make that 2 Severe thunderstorm warnings for where i live for wind. for a total of 4 warnings on the year. all for wind. It's only April, and you've already had 4 severe warnings. I don't care what they are for, that's already a good year, being it's only April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 This is far from done, LWX's area just got put under another tornado watch until 3pm. By the time this watch is over, they'll have been under a watch for a full 24 hours straight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 anybody have any idea when the actual front is going to cross the DE river? it is torture watching everything stay west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 anybody have any idea when the actual front is going to cross the DE river? it is torture watching everything stay west of here. There has been a steady influx of maritime air that has prevented any impulse convection from forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 The line near York looks really impressive, looks like the LV and Bucks/Montgomery counties will get in on that if it holds together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 There has been a steady influx of maritime air that has prevented any impulse convection from forming. Now, where the hell was this precip shield in Jan- Feb? The maritime flow was convective in nature for those east of the Delaware but I could not get even snow in the LV. Looks like equalization time. It was nice having a thunderstorm this morning. I say eat your heart out NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 couple tornado warning areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING PAC011-077-281400- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0028.110428T1255Z-110428T1400Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 855 AM EDT THU APR 28 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... BERKS COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF READING... LEHIGH COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ALLENTOWN... * UNTIL 1000 AM EDT * AT 852 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BERNVILLE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF READING...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... SHOEMAKERSVILLE AROUND 900 AM EDT... HAMBURG AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF FLEETWOOD AROUND 905 AM EDT... LENHARTSVILLE AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF KUTZTOWN AROUND 915 AM EDT... WANAMAKERS AROUND 925 AM EDT... NEW TRIPOLI AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLAUSSVILLE AROUND 930 AM EDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT FOR THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM EDT THURSDAY MORNING FOR DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND WESTERN NEW JERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. && LAT...LON 4059 7607 4059 7603 4064 7600 4074 7578 4057 7541 4026 7572 4015 7589 4039 7627 TIME...MOT...LOC 1253Z 222DEG 39KT 4045 7604 $$ GORSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 3 mins worth of sunshine here in Ardmore,Pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 this is a scary amount of 0-1km SRH for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 I hope the southern part of this line grows rapidly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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