SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Not if they build south ;-) Nope, the shield will hold, you can't deny it. You should move away from Lee, only then will you get storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Seems like a decent line is getting its act together from Chambersburg NE through Millersburg.. seems to really be congealing here in the last few frames.. nice cell racing NEward ahead of it NW of York I'm not that much of a fan of line segments. Usually only discrete storms have hail - which is my favorite. That said, a thunderstorm is a thunderstorm and it looks like we'll get some good ones tonight. Especially since the atmosphere around Harrisburg isn't as good as it is in the 5-county Philly metro. Those storms are aboyt to hit a pocket of higher SBCAPE values according to SPC Mesoanalysis, so let's see if they strengthen over Lancaster. I expect they will. EVen with the clouds in now, we're still plenty unstable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nope, the shield will hold, you can't deny it. You should move away from Lee, only then will you get storms. yeah. false hope it seems. we'll see. Lee is a white cloud so to speak... and now that cell headin to doylestown is starting to gain strength. hail sig coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 yeah. false hope it seems. we'll see. Lee is a white cloud so to speak... and now that cell headin to doylestown is starting to gain strength. hail sig coming up. Why even bother hoping? The season's already a bust. Haven't you heard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 It is dark to my west/northwest, haven't heard a single thunder or seen a single flash of lightning from the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Sun shower here in Holmdel. Rain pretty hard for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Why even bother hoping? The season's already a bust. Haven't you heard? haha..OO YEA!.. i just heard tiremarks.. lee's haulin @$$ to chase that doylestown "storm" We'll see how this goes. I can timagine them not spreading south as they hit higher instability and better shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 yeah. false hope it seems. we'll see. Lee is a white cloud so to speak... and now that cell headin to doylestown is starting to gain strength. hail sig coming up. Nah man, no false hope, that came from the same person that said at the end of last week, no storms for the next 2 weeks, while there's a chance at storms almost every day this week. So take it with a grain of salt, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 I'm not that much of a fan of line segments. Usually only discrete storms have hail - which is my favorite. That said, a thunderstorm is a thunderstorm and it looks like we'll get some good ones tonight. Especially since the atmosphere around Harrisburg isn't as good as it is in the 5-county Philly metro. Those storms are aboyt to hit a pocket of higher SBCAPE values according to SPC Mesoanalysis, so let's see if they strengthen over Lancaster. I expect they will. EVen with the clouds in now, we're still plenty unstable. I like the LI values... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Why even bother hoping? The season's already a bust. Haven't you heard? Didn't call the season a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 That cell on the east shore is nasty looking. 1.25" hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Lots of storms firing in Lehigh/Berks counties moving along I-78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 ehh, not liking radar trends for extreme SE PA. seems like North and West of Philly will have the best chance. Not ruling out storms, just nothing severe here. I thought that line would build south a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Storms firing back in W MD also now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nothing but rain here in center city Allentown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nothing but rain here in center city Allentown I'm hearing some rumbles of thunder in West Allentown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 This meso discussion is exactly why "some" people need to calm down. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0554 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0510 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN VA...MUCH OF MD...DELMARVA PENINSULA...SRN NJ...SERN PA CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 195... VALID 242210Z - 242315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 195 CONTINUES. SMALL MCS CONTINUES TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...WITH THE APEX MOVING INTO SRN NJ. A STRONGER CELL HAS DEVELOPED ON THE SRN END OF THE LINE...WHICH LIKELY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME SVR HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. CURRENT EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LINE SHOULD HAVE IT MOVING OFFSHORE BTWN 2300-2330Z. MEANWHILE...UPSTREAM AREAS IN THE WAKE OF THE CONVECTION HAVE COOLED SUBSTANTIALLY...BUT SFC TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO BE RECOVERING SOMEWHAT WITH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDINESS. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY /EVIDENT ON KLWX RADAR REFLECTIVITY/ CURRENTLY IS POSITIONED E-W THROUGH SRN PORTIONS OF THE WASHINGTON DC METRO AREA. MODERATELY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL STILL MAINTAIN AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE FOR ADDITIONAL ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...BUT THE SVR THREAT APPEARS TO BE QUITE MARGINAL IN THE WAKE OF THE MCS DUE TO BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION. ..ROGERS.. 04/24/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Engine2211 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nothing here in Mt Laurel but dark skies to the south. Orange skies to the west. Looks like a heavy cell in cumberland and salem counties but probably not looking at anything here unless that stuff in Lancaster holds together. Do you think it'll actually make it here since the cloudcover for the last hour or so broke up the daytime heating and instability? Update: Strong gusty winds here out of the south (20+ mph). Starting to rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 I'm hearing some rumbles of thunder in West Allentown. Yeah shortly after i posted that there has been some thunder and some lightning but nothing severe ..though a whole lot of heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 One lone cell in Lancaster County heading towards Delco its now into Chester County. We shall see if it holds, i might take a swing up to the Delco Branch of Penn State which has one hell of a view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nothing here in Mt Laurel but dark skies to the south. Orange skies to the west. Looks like a heavy cell in cumberland and salem counties but probably not looking at anything here unless that stuff in Lancaster holds together. Do you think it'll actually make it here since the cloudcover for the last hour or so broke up the daytime heating and instability? Update: Strong gusty winds here out of the south (20+ mph). Starting to rain now. You guys do see the stuff in MD and VA moving NE now right? Severe warning in VA now too, sun out here, temp quickly rebounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Awesome lightning show to the south right now from the cell near Hellertown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 One lone cell in Lancaster County heading towards Delco its now into Chester County. We shall see if it holds, i might take a swing up to the Delco Branch of Penn State which has one hell of a view. Well thats flat lining, time to figure out the next chance whenever that will be this sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 not too impressive here. minor lightning/thunder. Wind gust to 22 Rain .20, max rate only 2.49/hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Well thats flat lining, time to figure out the next chance whenever that will be this sucks. No storms for 2 weeks, the Mid Atlantic won't share their atmosphere, remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 back up to 77.4° despite the clouds. Was only 75.0° less than 20 minutes ago. I tell ya, the atmosphere is still prime! These may not be severe, or great hailers, but the storms down in MD will hit SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 back up to 77.4° despite the clouds. Was only 75.0° less than 20 minutes ago. I tell ya, the atmosphere is still prime! These may not be severe, or great hailers, but the storms down in MD will hit SE PA. No lightning in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 No lightning in them. Yes there is, down by BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 No storms for 2 weeks, the Mid Atlantic won't share their atmosphere, remember? tried getting ahold of you. but man that would hurt if i am right. And the sharing of the atmosphere was taken out of context. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Yes there is, down by BWI. Heading east. Not NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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