Big Jims Videos Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Prime condiions at the jersey shore looks like lots of wind just above surface screaming out of sw low clouds racing over 80 increasing humidity and no seabreeze ATM three miles inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 SPC Mesoanalysis page indicates all areas south of I-78 have at least 1000 J/Kg SB CAPE, with 1500 over all of Delaware and nudging into Philadelphia. Mid-level lapse rates are around 6, low-level around 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 SPC Mesoanalysis page indicates all areas south of I-78 have at least 1000 J/Kg SB CAPE, with 1500 over all of Delaware and nudging into Philadelphia. Mid-level lapse rates are around 6, low-level around 8. Could it be a go for me for filming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Could it be a go for me for filming? As long as we can get some convection to initialize, then yes. Ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 As long as we can get some convection to initialize, then yes. Ha. I gotta keep on helping you add to your signature line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Small cu seriously racing out of sw. They are interfering with my tan lol. But the air feels like what's often written on a guidettes shorts...juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 South of I-78 in PA looks primed for action, I'd imagine a Blue Box going out within the next hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Line going up west of DC, moving slightly NE, should come into the area in the next 3-4 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billabong Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Here's the Watch... out till 9pm. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 195 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 340 PM EDT SUN APR 24 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE EASTERN MARYLAND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA NORTHEAST VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. WIDELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE WIDELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL TO 1.0 INCH IN DIAMETER ISOLATED TORNADOES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF COLUM TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LAKEHURST NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 192...WW 193...WW 194... DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN WV WILL TRACK QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE DELMARVA REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE NORTH OF THIS CLUSTER...AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST PA AND NJ. THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER DARK AS STORMS MOVE OFFSHORE AND INSTABILITY WANES. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Not bitching but just making a clear cut statement, the atmosphere was ripped off up here by the severe storms down in DC. Its going to take a major change for something to fire up here and head towards me other wise its onto the next chance day wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Not bitching but just making a clear cut statement, the atmosphere was ripped off up here by the severe storms down in DC. Its going to take a major change for something to fire up here and head towards me other wise its onto the next chance day wise. What has changed? ExpIain? I guess the stuff firing in E PA is a mirage then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 What has changed? ExpIain? I guess the stuff firing in E PA is a mirage then? way to far east and north to effect me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 way to far east and north to effect me. There is stuff starting to develop in south western PA moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Nice little shower/storm popping over Phoenixville. And headed right for me, too! This day is hardly a bust. It's still 81.5°/61 here with about 60% sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 There is stuff starting to develop in south western PA moving east. Those are just showers they arent growing or forming into anything other then showers especially with that severe cell down in DC. Plus clouds are starting to move out ahead of those showers thus leaving a cap. The HRRR has been hinting at screwing me and it only 2 times showed me getting anything but since then its just giving me just plain rain not even a garden verity type of thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 I've officially put Lee on ignore. Tell me if he says anything good. A thunderstorm doesn't create a cap. We are in no way capped, if all these towers are going up all across SE PA. If anything, those DC storms are headed right for Delco, or at least Cecil & New Castle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 I've officially put Lee on ignore. Tell me if he says anything good. A thunderstorm doesn't create a cap. We are in no way capped, if all these towers are going up all across SE PA. If anything, those DC storms are headed right for Delco, or at least Cecil & New Castle. If anything, that storm is going to put out a boundary, I don't know what he's seeing, because right now, he doesn't know what he's talking about. Like that storm is stealing all the cape or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 speak of the devil, a nice little shower is going up in southern Lancaster. Will probably go north of him, but it might be a catch near KOP if it blossoms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 also fwiw, I just noticed SPC's 20z update put us in a 15% for hail too. No big deal really, just something to note Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 also fwiw, I just noticed SPC's 20z update put us in a 15% for hail too. No big deal really, just something to note Nah, won't happen, that 15% contour is the size of Lee's shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Those are some nice storms west of Harrisburg, if the LV wants any action later today/this evening we have to hope those storms hold together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm Clouds Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Those are some nice storms west of Harrisburg, if the LV wants any action later today/this evening we have to hope those storms hold together. Exactly, that is what I was trying to tell him! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 There's a chance that shower on the Lancaster/Chester border catches some weak outflow from the showers in Bucks and becomes something big. The immediate Philly metro is still full of untapped energy. Otherwise, for us that's probably the main show. Otherwise the better threat is (obviously) Delaware, it looks like they'll get hit pretty good in the next hour or so. Can anyone tell if the Chesco shower has any lightning on it yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 also fwiw, I just noticed SPC's 20z update put us in a 15% for hail too. No big deal really, just something to note Looks like winds have backed a bit, allowing chances for some discrete cells/supercells, thus allowing a increased chance of hail. good luck a bit. also, dont be surprised to a tor warning here and there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 There's a chance that shower on the Lancaster/Chester border catches some weak outflow from the showers in Bucks and becomes something big. The immediate Philly metro is still full of untapped energy. Otherwise, for us that's probably the main show. Otherwise the better threat is (obviously) Delaware, it looks like they'll get hit pretty good in the next hour or so. Can anyone tell if the Chesco shower has any lightning on it yet? Negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Negative. Ok thanks. It's not looking as healthy as it did a few frames ago but we'll see. Some really nice storms down in MD. Two distinct hail cores as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Gotta like the chances for E PA this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGuide Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Ok thanks. It's not looking as healthy as it did a few frames ago but we'll see. Some really nice storms down in MD. Two distinct hail cores as well. Seems like a decent line is getting its act together from Chambersburg NE through Millersburg.. seems to really be congealing here in the last few frames.. nice cell racing NEward ahead of it NW of York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Gotta like the chances for E PA this evening... Looks like delco will be in the void no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 24, 2011 Author Share Posted April 24, 2011 Looks like delco will be in the void no big deal. Not if they build south ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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