weatherwiz Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 Well I have to go shave, shower, get my check, and then cash it. May as well do all this now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 LOL..Wiz is expecting several Tuscaloosa's today in and around West Hfd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 LOL..Wiz is expecting several Tuscaloosa's today in and around West Hfd That's better than what you're expecting in and around your fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 omg!!!!!!!!!!! Lol. Wake me up when they post one for western Franklin. 61.4/61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 After what I watched unfold for several hours yesterday.....nothing can compare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 This setup is already kaput for instability. However I have confidence in these storms possibly being maintained even to the CP. Support is there aloft in shear and the jet aloft plus lift associated with cold front. We need no trigger cause the storms are already going. Expect absolutely no singular cells, it will be a line of storms likely bow type with threat being high winds. Expect little to no hail and a couple svr warnings. High pwats likely yield quick 1-2" maybe in a spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 This setup is already kaput for instability. However I have confidence in these storms possibly being maintained even to the CP. Support is there aloft in shear and the jet aloft plus lift associated with cold front. We need no trigger cause the storms are already going. Expect absolutely no singular cells, it will be a line of storms likely bow type with threat being high winds. Expect little to no hail and a couple svr warnings. High pwats likely yield quick 1-2" maybe in a spot. Thanks for the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Too bad ML lapse rates aren't any better. The low levels are juiced along with helicity up around 500. Could've been good, but oh yeah, we're in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Thanks for the forecast Why don't you go wack it to heat and dewpoints Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Thanks for the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 TVS tracking toward GFL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Hes just mad because he forecasted a 'wild day in new england' when in reality it will be as average as his 'microclimate' on tolland is to the rest of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Too bad ML lapse rates aren't any better. The low levels are juiced along with helicity up around 500. Could've been good, but oh yeah, we're in New England Yeah the existing convection from this morning out west released a latent heat which will weak mid level lapse rates through the day. If you overlay current lapse rates over the radar you can see the steeper lapse rates out east (seen in the 12z OKX and CHH soundings) while the areas closer to the convection ongoing have much weaker lapse rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Yeah the existing convection from this morning out west released a latent heat which will weak mid level lapse rates through the day. If you overlay current lapse rates over the radar you can see the steeper lapse rates out east (seen in the 12z OKX and CHH soundings) while the areas closer to the convection ongoing have much weaker lapse rates. Some of the models seem to want to generate convection over the waters south of LI where there is actually decent elevated instability. Not exactly confident on that, but with the better forcing approaching from the west..maybe it is possible?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Pouring here now with a few rumbles of thunder, but nothing remarkable. 66/65 is pretty humid for April 28th. I'll be glad when this mugginess is gone. Some of the models seem to want to generate convection over the waters south of LI where there is actually decent elevated instability. Not exactly confident on that, but with the better forcing approaching from the west..maybe it is possible?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Some of the models seem to want to generate convection over the waters south of LI where there is actually decent elevated instability. Not exactly confident on that, but with the better forcing approaching from the west..maybe it is possible?? Areas west of BAF/BDL and especially along and west of the CT/NY border are starting to destabilize with some sfc based instability. Given the amount of shear it could be interesting later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 A couple of interesting kinked segments south of ALB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 77 in hampton falls nh on 95! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Areas west of BAF/BDL and especially along and west of the CT/NY border are starting to destabilize with some sfc based instability. Given the amount of shear it could be interesting later. We have partly cloudy skies in Andover and 75ish or so. Away from the marine influence of a south wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 We have partly cloudy skies in Andover and 75ish or so. Away from the marine influence of a south wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 There may be a secondary area for storms in ne ma there is some sort of boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 ML lapse rates aren't that bad, they are still up around 6.5 C/KM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 The same wind giving Tolland a cool breeze up the fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 We have partly cloudy skies in Andover and 75ish or so. Away from the marine influence of a south wind. Wow--only 61.4/60 out here. Light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 ML lapse rates aren't that bad, they are still up around 6.5 C/KM. Yeah noticed that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 There may be a secondary area for storms in ne ma there is some sort of boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 You are having some real fun today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 28, 2011 Author Share Posted April 28, 2011 What sucks for today is were just not going to get enough breaks in the clouds to generate some decent sfc heating, that's all we really needed was some sfc heating b/c the marine layer would have easily been weakened here in northern CT. While the storms will become more elevated in nature as they work eastward still a chance for a few severe gusts with such strong winds aloft. Storms could still rotate some as well enhancing the threat for some of these winds to be drawn down. Despite the marine layer winds are still fairly gusty here and that's w/o the aid of convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 Wow--only 61.4/60 out here. Light rain. 65 down below you in Greenfield.. Some pretty good downpours coming through in waves even though radar looks meager overhead. Bet your rain gauge fills up quick this afternoon Mike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 28, 2011 Share Posted April 28, 2011 There may be a secondary area for storms in ne ma there is some sort of boundary Funny hearing people express concern that the mid west wx system is headed this way......I reply "downpour, rumble of thunder....gone". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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