Damage In Tolland Posted April 25, 2011 Share Posted April 25, 2011 You said 300 tors in two weeks was impossible. That was awful, you are ignoring the stats still?...huge numbers being put up and this next series should be pretty spectacular, too. He said 300-500..with 500 being ballsy. Awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted April 25, 2011 Share Posted April 25, 2011 I always get amped up when weatherwiz makes a post that's too long to read. This is going to be a tremendous thunderstorm year for everyone, I can feel it. The forkyfork derecho is finally coming. Meh, this length of a post is usually correlated with only scattered showers. You don't actually get thunderstorms until wiz has to use two posts to fit everything he wants to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 I always get amped up when weatherwiz makes a post that's too long to read. This is going to be a tremendous thunderstorm year for everyone, I can feel it. The forkyfork derecho is finally coming. Meh, this length of a post is usually correlated with only scattered showers. You don't actually get thunderstorms until wiz has to use two posts to fit everything he wants to say Sam knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 He said 300-500..with 500 being ballsy. Awful Ballsy...yes. Correct...Most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 25, 2011 Share Posted April 25, 2011 Wiz... I don't know you personally but from years of reading your posts, I gotta say your writing has certainly improved over the past year and has been taken to the next level. Never under-estimate the power of writing and keep improving, man. I don't particularly care about severe weather this time of year, but still really enjoyed reading your analysis. That opening post was extremely easy to read and digest, and it came off as very professional so I feel props are due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 Wiz... I don't know you personally but from years of reading your posts, I gotta say your writing has certainly improved over the past year and has been taken to the next level. Never under-estimate the power of writing and keep improving, man. I don't particularly care about severe weather this time of year, but still really enjoyed reading your analysis. That opening post was extremely easy to read and digest, and it came off as very professional so I feel props are due. Oh wow! Thank you so much, this means alot. I've really tried hard to improve my writing skills. I'm glad the hard work/effort has paid off. Thanks again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 We could see some elevated convection during the overnight hours tonight...good deal of elevated instability works in the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 There should even be some storms around tomorrow afternoon and depending on the amount of heating and level of destabilization there could be a few strong storms, mainly western CT/MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2011 Author Share Posted April 26, 2011 Beginning to destabilize fairly well across western CT with strong sfc heating and very steep ML lapse rates. Dynamics are pretty strong as well, STW likely going up just to our west soon...as the upper level disturbance tracks closer we could see some storms pop across parts of CT/MA posing an isolated severe wx threat...large hail/damaging winds the main threat...any discrete cells could acquire rotation enhancing the threat for hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2011 Author Share Posted April 26, 2011 Thursday's situation is very delicate, while we may have a southerly flow bringing in marine infested low-level air the atmosphere above this layer is actually going to be fairly dry, it isn't out of the question we end up seeing more in the way of sun than what is forecasted...this is all highly dependent though on how quickly these low-level clouds can burn off. ENY/extreme W CT may have the best chance for stronger/severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 HEY wiz, tornado on the ground in newyork .A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL ONEIDA COUNTY... AT 425 PM EDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ROME...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... STEUBEN AND HOLLAND PATENT BY 440 PM EDT... WESTERNVILLE AND FLOYD BY 435 PM EDT... FRENCHVILLE...NORTH WESTERN AND STITTVILLE BY 440 PM EDT... PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT [email protected]. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. A SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND SOUTHWEST OF ROME HEADED NORTHEAST. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Wiz has been caught napping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Wiz has been caught napping Isn't that the truth... wow that was an impressive cell that moved through central NY just a little while ago. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 544 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0412 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE SOUTH BAY 43.16N 75.75W 04/26/2011 MADISON NY TRAINED SPOTTER NEAR ONEIDA LAKE...ROOF BLOWN OFF AND LANDED 1 MILE AWAY... 3 - 4 FOOT DIAMETER TREES SNAPPED 1" diameter hail at KSYR... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 526 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0500 PM HAIL NORTH SYRACUSE 43.13N 76.13W 04/26/2011 E1.00 INCH ONONDAGA NY OTHER FEDERAL REPORTED BY WEATHER OBSERVER AT SYRACUSE AIRPORTT 1.5" Hail in Marcellus (just south of Syracuse metro area)... once you start getting into the 1.5"+ hail size that's quite destructive. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 503 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0445 PM HAIL MARCELLUS 42.98N 76.34W 04/26/2011 E1.50 INCH ONONDAGA NY PUBLIC PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 502 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0446 PM HAIL CAMILLUS 43.04N 76.31W 04/26/2011 E1.75 INCH ONONDAGA NY PUBLIC HAIL SIZE VARIED FROM 1 INCH TO 1.75 INCH I'd assume this report is from the ASOS at Utica-Rome Airport... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 617 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0427 PM TSTM WND GST ROME 43.23N 75.49W 04/26/2011 M64 MPH ONEIDA NY TRAINED SPOTTER As usual, central NY starts off the northeast severe weather season... That area is like the Oklahoma of the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Near consistent thunder heard now... foggy with a low ceiling below 2,000ft so all hills are obscured from view. I bet this dies quickly once it pushes past the Champlain Valley into the more stable, maritime air. We haven't seen any sun at all today, just fog, mist and drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2011 Author Share Posted April 26, 2011 I was at work All the good stuff happens when I'm at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Impressive in NY and VT of course Arkansas is a mess right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 26, 2011 Author Share Posted April 26, 2011 Looks like that formed right along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Looks like the skies are about to open up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 This is very heavy rain... wow... it just started pouring after a long period of thunder and lightening. First storm of the season to knock out the satellite TV, haha. Incredibly vivid lightning too, definitely haven't seen this in a while. Winds are dead calm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Thunder and lightning has been constant for 90 minutes so far... more storms moving in. Satellite TV just went out again and its in the 3rd period of the Bruins game no less. Looks like we'll be picking up some rain tonight, but these low level inversions take any severe threat from wind out of the picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Early season SNE (marginally) severe wx!! The line has sharpened quite nicely and Mike and Chris have cashed in for the first time in 2011, excluding the amazing lightning and hail in that freak winter tstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 My friend from NH is coming down tonight (Wednesday night) and were going chasing in eastern NY Thursday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 From BOX: AS FOR SEVERE TSTMS...BOTH THE NAM AND GFS FOCUS SB INSTABILITYWEST OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN LOW LEVELSOUTHERLY FLOW. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS IMPRESSIVE ALONG WITH MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. SO HIGHEST RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WILLBE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF CT AND MA...WITH THE RISK SHIFTINGTO HEAVY RAINFALL FARTHER EAST ACROSS RI AND EASTERN MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Looks like the front doesn't come through until after 2 o'clock tomorrow, so best time of day for you folks south and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 The one major downside about tomorrow is ML lapse rates will actually decrease as the morning/early afternoon goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Wow what a setup down there in the mid-south...doesn't get much better (or worse) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Wow what a setup down there in the mid-south...doesn't get much better (or worse) You probably couldn't draw something better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 You probably couldn't draw something better Imagine living or chasing near Tupalo right now. I have 4wk vacation time coming May 1, this would have been a good time though ;( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 For those chasing now they must be in heaven...perhaps the pattern will become active again in several days, some signs that things may become quite active once again as a new trough works into the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 What an evening down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.