DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Black construction paper........ check I have my flashlight ready and I'm trying to rest my eyes so they will be sharp tonight when I'm looking for snow in the streetlight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Not really a long-range person, but based on what I see this -NAO pattern should last another two weeks or so and as long as that is the case a torch is pretty unlikely, we will probably be lucky to have more than a couple of days near average, much less well above. So December is likely to be below for the month. Then at some point the pacific/Nina influence will probably reassert itself but will the -NAO keep reloading? I have no idea on that- folks like HM and Usedtobe are much better with the AAM/MJO type stuff than I am. Thanks...glad to hear you don't think there will be a torch. The one I seem to remember the most was allan's. I think he had us like plus 4 or 5 for the month. (Again, Allan If I am mistaken, I apologize). And I seem to remember a lot of maps with above to much above normal temps here for december. But again I just quickly glanced over them so maybe I'm wrong. Even though I'm snowless/and freezing rainless, Color me pleasantly surprised regardless since I don't recall a single december forecast that wasn't above average here. At any rate, HKY pointed out the much above sst's near greenland recently so I'm hoping that keeps the -nao going. Looks like the blob of best moisture/precip is going south of me but Looking outside it's Interesting to note the bank of low level moisture in the form of altocumulus/stratocumulus coming this way. Maybe that will be enough to allow a few tiny flakes to reach the surface here. I've enjoyed the appearance of the clouds today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Dew point up to 23 from 16 an hour ago. Down to 39 degrees now. Local news stations are jumping all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Snow just reported in Richmond Hill outside of Savannah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Here is a pic of the seemingly constantly flooded path behind my house. All ice in the pic. Down to 32 IMBY after a high of 36 Resized because I know Lookout hates large files Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Good luck to you all with a shot at some flakes tonight!!! Just another cold, sunny day here. The high was 34 today. At least I still have some snow left in the shaded front yard, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Thanks...glad to hear you don't think there will be a torch. The one I seem to remember the most was allan's. I think he had us like plus 4 or 5 for the month. (Again, Allan If I am mistaken, I apologize). And I seem to remember a lot of maps with above to much above normal temps here for december. But again I just quickly glanced over them so maybe I'm wrong. Even though I'm snowless/and freezing rainless, Color me pleasantly surprised regardless since I don't recall a single december forecast that wasn't above average here. At any rate, HKY pointed out the much above sst's near greenland recently so I'm hoping that keeps the -nao going. Looks like the blob of best moisture/precip is going south of me but Looking outside it's Interesting to note the bank of low level moisture in the form of altocumulus/stratocumulus coming this way. Maybe that will be enough to allow a few tiny flakes to reach the surface here. I've enjoyed the appearance of the clouds today. If i recall i think most forecasts were based on the Nina and would be a complete lack of winter for many of us. A few may have had a cooler dec but overall i think most said nada I have been very pleasantly surprised and happy with the cold and it's much colder than i thought it would be. I figured we'd have a 10 day out cool down but never arrives year. Now all we need is some frozen precip lol. If we can get some Ice and snow, esp after last year, this could still be a decent winter for n ga. The cold progged on the models has come on into the se Although i will say the clouds today have been knowing pretty much no chance of anything reaching the ground...but it's cold enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I've got mine just in case...... AND new batteries in the flashlight I've got a 150 watt spot light set up on the barn behind a board which blocks the light itself from me, so I can see even the tiniest mote floating by, lol. Messes me up bad when I have a fire going because all that tiny ash gives off false alarms. T Edit: If anybody hears from Pensacola shout out. I'd like to see if my predictionlike musings from Sunday bore out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I've got a 150 watt spot light set up on the barn behind a board which blocks the light itself from me, so I can see even the tiniest mote floating by, lol. Messes me up bad when I have a fire going because all that tiny ash gives off false alarms. T Edit: If anybody hears from Pensacola shout out. I'd like to see if my predictionlike musings from Sunday bore out Lol. Talk about false alarms. Coming home and saw a big white thing. Then another. And another. OMG those are big snow flakes. Got to the top of the hill and my hopes were dashed. A chicken truck had been in front of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Lol, yeah, the old confuse a weenie chicken truck ploy T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I don't recall a single december forecast that wasn't above average here. At any rate, HKY pointed out the much above sst's near greenland recently so I'm hoping that keeps the -nao going. I didn't do a month by month map, but in the text I went for cold beginning and end to Winter, warm middle, with best chances of above snow in eastern Carolinas to central Ga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I didn't do a month by month map, but in the text I went for cold beginning and end to Winter, warm middle, with best chances of above snow in eastern Carolinas to central Ga. Hey, Robert..was that on eastern? Can you repost it? Thanks, Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Snow just reported in Richmond Hill outside of Savannah. media ignoring it here in myrtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I didn't do a month by month map, but in the text I went for cold beginning and end to Winter, warm middle, with best chances of above snow in eastern Carolinas to central Ga. I thought i remembered a forecaster or two who did have the cold at the start/end but was too lazy to go back and search Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 35.7 today. 20 below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Any of you guys notice the 18z GFS? If definitly shows snow shower activity for NC and SC on the back end of this weekends storm. Not much precip (maybe .1 liquid) but anything is welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Looks like something may be hitting the ground in augusta, any reports of snow there yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Looks like something may be hitting the ground in augusta, any reports of snow there yet? was wondering the same thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Augusta is def about to get some snow from the looks of wundergrounds radar, a blob of 30-35 dbz is about to go right over. Let's hope it holds together as it treks through the lowcountry. EDIT: I was looking at an earlier radar image, id be surprised if nothing made it to the ground though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Any of you guys notice the 18z GFS? If definitly shows snow shower activity for NC and SC on the back end of this weekends storm. Not much precip (maybe .1 liquid) but anything is welcome. Yea I noticed...at this point i'd dance naked in the streets for backside snow showers! I'm really confused on what to be watching the closest now, the ensembles or the operational? Anywho the dry slot has bounced around every run today it seems, i'm very often in the dry slot on backside moisture but the 18Z has it in Ga this run and shows the majority of SC getting something on the backend of this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I didn't do a month by month map, but in the text I went for cold beginning and end to Winter, warm middle, with best chances of above snow in eastern Carolinas to central Ga. I will take that almost any year, let alone in a La Nina Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Just like the models NWS GSP have been going back and forth with this idea of snow showers here sunday. I'm hoping it pans out and surprises us and over performs like the clipper did in eastern NC. Sunday Night: A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Officially had a sleet pellet approximately five minutes ago...may have been two pellets but could not confirm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Moisture still seems to be holding together as it begins to enter into SC. Nice returns over Statesboro at the moment, any word on any snow reports there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Snow was indeed reported in Augusta about an hour ago per an Augusta news station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Snow was indeed reported in Augusta about an hour ago per an Augusta news station. Nice returns around Orangeburg. wonder if thats reaching the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 down to 25.5 here, still have a some cloud cover. Winds have died pretty good, I think if the clouds get out I will get lower than the 19.2 I hit last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Nice returns around Orangeburg. wonder if thats reaching the ground Just read a tweet that said police reported flurries on hwy 17 in mt pleasant. I just went outside and didnt see a thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Interesting looking radar returns over the foothills. looks like some kind of mid-level feature trying to interact with the southern system. Anyone else see this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 down to 25.5 here, still have a some cloud cover. Winds have died pretty good, I think if the clouds get out I will get lower than the 19.2 I hit last night my station might be acting up, it reads 27.0 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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