BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Look at the stream of moisture off Lake Erie after the storm comes through...almost reaches Ashe and Watauga counties: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 From today's 12Z HPC discussion: DETERMINISTIC 12Z/06 GUIDANCE IS STILL ON TRACK IN MOVING A WEAKENING STORM ACROSS THE UPPER MS VLY/GREAT LAKES THU-SAT....AND WITH DEVELOPING A NEW MAJOR ERN CONUS STORM NEXT WEEKEND. BY SUN DAY 6...THE GFS IS ON THE FAST SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE OF SOLUTIONS WHILE THE UKMET IS ON THE SLOW SIDE. ECMWF WAS FARTHER N WITH THE PRIMARY LOW MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION NEXT WEEKEND AND NOT QUITE AS FAR E AS THE GFS WITH THE SECONDARY CENTER DEVELOPING DAY 6 VICINITY OF VA/NC. I WILL NUDGE THE DAY 6 FINAL LOW POSITION JUST A TAD TO THE E OVER KY. THIS SYS WILL BE A MAJOR WEATHER PRODUCER AS SYNOPTIC HEAVY SNOWFALL NEXT WEEKEND IN THE GREAT LAKES LAKES REGION GIVES WAY TO MORE EFFECT SN BY DAY 7. FARTHER S...SN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO SE NEW ENG BEFORE QUICKLY CHANGING BACK TO SN OVER THE APPALACHIANS/NY/INTERIOR NEW ENG AS THE SYS MOVES FROM THE OH VLY INTO NY STATE. WHILE SOME HEAVY SN IS EXPECTED TO THE LEFT OF THE STORM TRACK...PERHAPS EVEN MORE IMPORTANT WILL BE THE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS THAT WILL HOWL IN ON NORTHWESTERLY WINDS E OF THE MS RIVER BEHIND THE STORM. FURTHERMORE THERE IS A RISK OF SOME NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPS DAMAGING CITRUS CROPS IN FL EARLY NEXT WEEK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Looking at the 6HR Max Temps on the euro, it's suggesting most of the north carolina doesnt make it out of the 20's from hour 168 until the end of the run. Yea the euro is bone chillin cold. Hopefully we can get lucky w/ a storm while we have the cold around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Yea the euro is bone chillin cold. Hopefully we can get lucky w/ a storm while we have the cold around. And I shouldve qualified that with this too...most of NC wont get above 25 in that setup. Amazing cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 It is absolutely coming down right now and has been all day. Pushing a foot now for the event.... Pretty impressive. I"ll get pics up ASAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Drove up near Sugar Mountain after lunch. It was 18, and snowing very hard sideways. Looks like it will keep this up for awhile. Snapped a few pics.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Drove up near Sugar Mountain after lunch. It was 18, and snowing very hard sideways. Looks like it will keep this up for awhile. Snapped a few pics.... Nice photos Marvel! I would love to be up @ Sugar right now doing some skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLO Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 What a cold air waste here in SC. Will be 80 by Christmas I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I have no hope at all for more that flurries east of the Apps for the system later in the week. However, the cold will be very impressive, the op Euro suggests at least one day in ATL with a high in the low-mid 20s, ensembles slightly less cold but still pretty frigid. Getting 576 plus heights over Greenland will do that. However, there should be another really good NW flow upslope event in northern NC and points north this coming weekend, I think a road trip up there is in order late Saturday-Monday. If Boone got a foot with this current system, the next one should be just as good- plus the winds will be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Made this short vid while up at Sugar Mountain this afternoon. I think the slopes were closed. The parking lot was closed, and there was no place else to park. What a shame with all that powder out there. I'm amazed that all this is happening so close to where I live... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 What a cold air waste here in SC. Will be 80 by Christmas I am sure. Let's hope not - that would put me at 90º!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Great pictures/video... Thank you for posting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Awesome video fellow rutherford member!! Made this short vid while up at Sugar Mountain this afternoon. I think the slopes were closed. The parking lot was closed, and there was no place else to park. What a shame with all that powder out there. I'm amazed that all this is happening so close to where I live... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I am going with 74 F and a Red Flag Warning for central NC on New Years Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 35 today for a high 34 right now with a stiff wind. Spent the last 30 minutes placing hay under the chickens roost. We have 6 and they sleep outside In two cages. The hay helps to protect them from the wind as they sleep on a roost about 4' off the ground. Along with tarps placed as wind blocks. We live on a hill and it is windy year round!!! Please do what you can now for your outside pets. Also, please help others know that the cold is coming. The media sometimes does not do a good job at showing how cold it may be in advance. If you can, bring them in!! Sorry for the OT but I hear bad stories to often. Now, can a brother get some damn flakes!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I am going with 74 F and a Red Flag Warning for central NC on New Years Day. maybe ill get a beach day in and a round of golf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Looks like my 5 hours of above freezing temps are done for the day. High was only 34.4 here in Dahlonega. Saw flurries for the 2nd straight day which was pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainMarvel Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Wow! Flurries here at Otter Creek. Must have brought them back from Sugar Mountain. Could more be in store? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I'm at about 6 hours above freezing right now. And down here I had a high of 38.5 at 2:16PM. It's dropping at 2.2 degrees/hr right now and it's 34.2. STILL pretty windy here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 From NWS Mobile, AL: BY TUE NIGHT...OUR ATTENTION WILL TURN TO A SHORTWAVE DIVING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ARRIVING ON OUR DOORSTEP BY 12Z WED. THE ECMWF/GFS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT ON DEPICTING SOME ROBUST SYNOPTIC LIFT AND DEEP MOISTURE FROM 700 MB AND ABOVE. THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP WILL BE THE DRY AIRMASS PRESENT IN THE LOWEST 5000 FT. A LOOK AT AREA FORECAST SOUNDINGS...PARTIAL THICKNESSES...AND SFC WET BULB TEMPS INDICATE THE THE PREDOMINATE P-TYPE WOULD BE SNOW FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. GIVEN THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL FORCING PROGGED BY GUIDANCE...WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES FOR ALL AREAS NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST EARLY WED MORNING. IF FUTURE MODEL RUNS SHOW MORE SATURATION IN THE LOW LEVELS...WE MAY HAVE TO ADD A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE FORECAST. IN EITHER CASE...THIS LOOKS TO BE A VERY MINOR EVENT. Woooohooo!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I guess I need to be chopping more firewood. You would think with that type of cold we would get some good snow showers/squalls. Yep, I've been cutting/splitting wood all afternoon. Plan to do it again tomorrow. It was pretty cold out there today with the wind, especially toward 4:30 and on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Folks in Tn. will love the 18z run for this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I am not holding my breath.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I have no hope at all for more that flurries east of the Apps for the system later in the week. However, the cold will be very impressive, the op Euro suggests at least one day in ATL with a high in the low-mid 20s, ensembles slightly less cold but still pretty frigid. Getting 576 plus heights over Greenland will do that. However, there should be another really good NW flow upslope event in northern NC and points north this coming weekend, I think a road trip up there is in order late Saturday-Monday. If Boone got a foot with this current system, the next one should be just as good- plus the winds will be epic. Yeah I think the mountains get hammered with upslope snow. Euro and gfs are showing a great lakes connection. Ratios would be insane too with temps that cold. Gfs is showing a better chance of snow showers/flurries around day 6/6.5 I don't expect much where I'm at due to downslope but i can't rule it out given the setup. But a better chance for sure over the northwest/atlanta area. Nothing major but at least it's a little something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Flurries with the occasional light SNSH in Cullowhee. Temp at 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 I would be plenty happy with some snow showers/ flurries followed by a shot of epic cold. 34.3 right now with a stiff wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 34.1 today -22 from normal Everyone stay warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Friend in Avery County is blown away at how much snow he has...23.5" He is in a prime time NW flow location at 4300'. In btw Newland and Linville up Sugar #2. It has not stopped (counting flurries) since Sat afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 Friend in Avery County is blown away at how much snow he has...23.5" He is in a prime time NW flow location at 4300'. In btw Newland and Linville up Sugar #2. It has not stopped (counting flurries) since Sat afternoon. One heck of a snowshower here. Probably 3/4 inch in the last 1/2 hour.Not 2 feet., but I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 6, 2010 Share Posted December 6, 2010 High of 40, 32 currently. I'm not a massive cold fan but I'll enjoy anything that's out of the ordinary. It certainly looks like a few days below freezing for NC/TN and maybe N AL/GA/SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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