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OK/MO/AR and into the OH valley heavy rain and flood threat


janetjanet998

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I realize the level of coverage on the forum has gone way down since the crests have come out of the MW/OH Valley core...but just an update from Memphis and this area...

Memphis exceeded 47' Today and is still on track to crest at 48' sometime next week...the second highest level of all time...just behind 48.7 in the Great flood of 1937. About 1,000 people in Memphis have been evacuated...mostly on the North and West side of Memphis where its not so much the MS but backwater flooding on the tributaries that's flooding homes and businesses in that area. The bluffs are protecting most of the city core and downtown except areas immediately adjacent to the River (Riverside Drive).

Further South...the Tunica, MS Casino district is for all purposes completely inundated. Will likely be weeks for the waters to recede and cleanup to take place before the casinos can reopen. Huge amounts of revenue lost that much of Mississippi depends on. Could be crippling for them. The situation could be even worse further downstream for communities south of the White River drainage that is also at record levels adding even more volume (areas like Greenville...Vicksburg...Natchez and so forth).

At any rate...here is Today's view of Riverside and Beale here in Memphis (note: not my own picture)...

2ustok7.jpg

Doubt we will see this repeated in our lifetimes again. You can see Mud Island River Park is mostly submerged in the background. The flagpole and amphitheatre areas are basically their own separate islands at this point as the only area remaining above the water line...Further up Mud Island is the Harbor Town community that will be within a few feet of the expected crest levels...but should come out okay with only minimal issues (they are advising that yards...basements and garages at homes immediately adjacent to the shore line may flood)

Finally...the waters are reaching well into Tom Lee Park now as well. This ironic scene (again...not my own picture) shows the Tom Lee memorial statue being surrounded by water. Tom Lee was the river worker who couldn't swim...but saved 32 lives by pulling people onshore from his small boat after witnessing the steamboat Norman sink in 1925 at Memphis ( little history lesson for you ;) ).

sb08cg.jpg

I believe every major network has been in Memphis the last few days covering things from here. I'm sure they'll move downstream later in the upcoming week as the waters continue moving.

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Back from a trip along the mid Ohio Valley from Madison IN to Cincinnati area. Lowland flooding, but nothing like farther sw in the lower Ohio reaches and on the Mississippi. Had to travel into KY to reach Cincinnati instead of going east on the IN side of the river from Madison due to mud slides and debris closing State road 56. Noticed very few acres of crops planted as we headed se through Indiana because fields are way too wet. I do think we have the potential for higher dews with all the surface moisture in our area and higher CAPES due to sw flow from the drought conditions in the southern plains and TX in coming days. At least Clifty Falls was actually roaring and I saw some intermittent waterfalls I would not see there on summer visits.

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Looks like Memphis gauge has been leveling off overnight...and we are either very close or within crest right now...between 47.5 and 47.7 feet...a little below the predicted 48ft crest and well before the Tuesday Night/Wednesday Morning timeline. This has actually been happening at every upstream location so far...an early and low crest...and seems to be repeating here. Of course...a few tenths is not going to be a huge deal...but getting it in early could be especially helpful...though it could well hover in the 47' range for days.

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***Temporary Gauge has been Set Up at Memphis***

http://www2.mvr.usace.army.mil/WaterControl/shefdata2.cfm?sid=FS103&d=7&dt=S

Latest reading is 47.78

The Primary Gauge has been malfunctioning since Saturday with numerous false spikes...dips...or otherwise missing readings (went completely offline last night)...this one should ensure the historical record is preserved accurately for the coming crest...

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I've seen virtually no discussion about this anywhere or in the news and while its a bit farther down stream this is probably the best place to post about it.

The Old River Control Structure came really really close to failure in 1973. If that system fails, the Mississippi will more than likely switch channels into the Atchafalaya river and that has serious ramifications to every city downstream including Baton Rogue and New Orleans.

Anyone have any information as to how well that system can handle a flood thats even bigger or at the least on par with 1973?

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MS River Crested this Morning at Memphis...at 47.87 feet...just barely shy of the forecast 48' predicted crest and within a foot of the flood of record in 1937...48.7ft. It will be a very slow recession of water...however...Memphis is likely to remain above major flood stage of 46ft the rest of the week.

Fantastic panoramic view of the Mississippi River @ Memphis...29 Floors Up...Taken earlier Today by Patrick T. Mullins...

Memphis-Panoramic-River-Stage-47_87ft-5_10_20111-1024x364.jpg

Much larger full resolution picture here...

http://www.patricktm...od-photos-2011/

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Thanks for those pics. I lived in Memphis from 1998 to 2009 before moving to Baltimore. Just stunning to see the river that high. I worked downtown and was one block up from Riverside Drive, which is now In the River Drive if it were to be renamed based on what has happened. Just an amazing perspective.

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I've seen virtually no discussion about this anywhere or in the news and while its a bit farther down stream this is probably the best place to post about it.

The Old River Control Structure came really really close to failure in 1973. If that system fails, the Mississippi will more than likely switch channels into the Atchafalaya river and that has serious ramifications to every city downstream including Baton Rogue and New Orleans.

Anyone have any information as to how well that system can handle a flood thats even bigger or at the least on par with 1973?

This might be an interesting event, to say the least.

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Nice MCS moving across the Mississippi river right now, only complicating matters further. This is becoming more serious by the day, and there's even a remote possibility of the river re-directing itself. The following links have tons of info about what's going on:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Mississippi_River_floods

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/

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