dan11295 Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Yea...and some people just cannot catch a break... 0106 AM FLASH FLOOD VILONIA 35.08N 92.21W 05/01/2011 FAULKNER AR AMATEUR RADIO NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES NORTH AND SOUTH OF HWY 64. WEATHER RESCUES ARE UNDERWAY AND PEOPLE ARE BEING EVACUATED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 622 AM CDT SUN MAY 01 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0610 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE CABOT 34.99N 92.00W 05/01/2011 M6.71 INCH LONOKE AR TRAINED SPOTTER 6.71 INCHES OF RAIN FROM A COCORAHS SITE. SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER OVER US 67/167 1.5 MI NORTH OF EXIT 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 1, 2011 Author Share Posted May 1, 2011 0730 AM HEAVY RAIN MORGAN 34.88N 92.37W 05/01/2011 M8.70 INCH PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE IN THE MARCHE COMMUNITY...8.70 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 10 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 1, 2011 Author Share Posted May 1, 2011 FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 846 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 KYC035-139-143-157-221-020045- /O.CON.KPAH.FA.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110502T0045Z/ /00000.0.MC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-TRIGG KY-CALLOWAY KY- 846 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR CALLOWAY...TRIGG...MARSHALL...LYON AND LIVINGSTON COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... POOL LEVELS AT KENTUCKY AND BARKLEY LAKES TODAY WERE STILL RISING STEADILY. THE POOL AT KENTUCKY LAKE THIS MORNING WAS 370.6 FEET. THE POOL AT LAKE BARKLEY WAS 370 FEET. THIS IS AROUND 11 TO 12 FEET ABOVE THE NORMAL SUMMER POOL OF 359 FEET. DUE TO FORECASTED PRECIPITATION...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... BETWEEN 1.75 AND 4.5 INCHES...BOTH LAKES HAVE SLOWLY STARTED TO RELEASE AGAIN TO PROVIDE EXTRA STORAGE SPACE IN THE POOL. THE RELEASES SHOULD MINIMALLY AFFECT CURRENT FORECASTED CRESTS ON THE OHIO RIVER. THOUGH RELEASES ARE BEING MADE...POOL LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE INTO EARLY THIS WEEK. RECORD CRESTS WILL BE REACHED AROUND TUESDAY...MAY 3...BETWEEN 371 TO 372 FEET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 From KFVS... Again, as of 1:50 p.m. Sunday, there has been no decision yet on whether officials will activate Birds Point- New Madrid Floodway Plan. However, they are another step closer today. The vessel with the explosives is set to position at Birds Point at 3:00 p.m. Sunday. Also, there is a new record high at Cairo. River at 59.86. New forecast for crest is 61.5 on May 4, 2011. What an ethical and socioeconomic quandary this is. People have been evacuated from Cairo. Do you save the town by flooding 130,000 acres of farmland or risk a town being flooded? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 From KFVS... Again, as of 1:50 p.m. Sunday, there has been no decision yet on whether officials will activate Birds Point- New Madrid Floodway Plan. However, they are another step closer today. The vessel with the explosives is set to position at Birds Point at 3:00 p.m. Sunday. Also, there is a new record high at Cairo. River at 59.86. New forecast for crest is 61.5 on May 4, 2011. What an ethical and socioeconomic quandary this is. People have been evacuated from Cairo. Do you save the town by flooding 130,000 acres of farmland or risk a town being flooded? It's the top story on cnn.com right now. It is a pretty epic meteorological dilemma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 From KFVS... Again, as of 1:50 p.m. Sunday, there has been no decision yet on whether officials will activate Birds Point- New Madrid Floodway Plan. However, they are another step closer today. The vessel with the explosives is set to position at Birds Point at 3:00 p.m. Sunday. Also, there is a new record high at Cairo. River at 59.86. New forecast for crest is 61.5 on May 4, 2011. What an ethical and socioeconomic quandary this is. People have been evacuated from Cairo. Do you save the town by flooding 130,000 acres of farmland or risk a town being flooded? Well if this was the plan, and everyone knew that going in then I think you do it. The only thing is not blowing it too early I would think. You would have to be sure that it was going to top the protection at Cairo. That is the really sticky point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 1, 2011 Author Share Posted May 1, 2011 they likely have no choice but to blow the levee...the river just hit 60 feet and is ahead of the forecast points....61.5 is the new crest but it will be higher if training occurs river at PAH now in the top 5 and highest since 1950 the river at MEM is now the 3rd highest on record and highest since 1937 and rising rather fast The heavy rain falling in the area really has no where to drain..it will backup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
My Weather Today Posted May 1, 2011 Share Posted May 1, 2011 Here's a PDS Flood Watch and Flash Flood Watch from the Memphis WFO... FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 414 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING... ...CATASTROPHIC FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION... .A STALLED OUT FRONT COMBINED WITH SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PRODUCE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL TO DEVELOP AND MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE MID SOUTH TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE OUT OF THE AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOILS ALREADY SATURATED. CONSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A VERY HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND A WORSENING OF CURRENT FLOOD CONDITIONS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO SEVERELY IMPACT MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH WITH POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING POSSIBLE... 414 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...* THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION! * 2 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN IN A WIDE SWATH ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40. THERE IS A VERY HIGH LIKELIHOOD THAT THIS RAINFALL ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND EXACERBATE ONGOING FLOODING. THIS IS EXPECTED TO SEVERELY IMPACT MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH WITH POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING POSSIBLE. NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO WASHED OUT OR FLOODED ROADWAYS...EVACUATION OF HOMES AND BUSINESSES NEAR RISING FLOOD WATER...AND RECORD HIGH RIVER CRESTS ARE POSSIBLE. AREAS THAT ARE NOT CONSIDERED PART OF A FLOOD PLAIN COULD ALSO FLOOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichiganLion Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Missouri residents are getting desperate (I feel bad for them that the farmland may be flooded, but all the states agreed to this "back-in-the-day") ........ they are now claiming we can't blow the levee because it would trigger an earthquake on the New Madrid fault. Yikes ........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Missouri residents are getting desperate (I feel bad for them that the farmland may be flooded, but all the states agreed to this "back-in-the-day") ........ they are now claiming we can't blow the levee because it would trigger an earthquake on the New Madrid fault. Yikes ........... Of course that is not going to happen, but you can't blame them for trying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 The train is in full force. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHWxWatcher Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Last I saw as of 3-4 PM Central time today, the barges were in position and are pumping the chemical slurry into the network of piping within the levees. Next step would be to place the charges (at which point the whole thing could still be called off if deemed appropriate), followed by "activation" of the floodway, as it's being termed. Slurry pumping takes roughly 20-24 hours as I understand it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Missouri residents are getting desperate (I feel bad for them that the farmland may be flooded, but all the states agreed to this "back-in-the-day") ........ they are now claiming we can't blow the levee because it would trigger an earthquake on the New Madrid fault. Yikes ........... Dang...could you imagine the liquifaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 US supreme court agreed with the lower courts so it can be bloWn up..the area got hit hard last night I read a quote that when they blew the levee in 1937 the river was at 59.5 and it dropped 3 feet..but rose again the next day..(but that was from a Mo FARMER SO WHO KNOWS) so maybe if that is the case why even blow it.. the area got hit hard..may not matter for cario now levee oR no levee , but you can save the farmland and the 100 or so houses in MO tough call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 just in, new crest on OH river at PAH is raised from 54 feet to 58.5!! no update for cairo yet but current stage 61.05 well ahead of forecast points issued last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Man I can't believe the radar is lighting back up SW of that area. I swear they are just getting hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1000 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT MONDAY. * AT 954 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A BREECH IN THE FAYETTEVILLE LEVEE JUST SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD BRIDGE AT THEBES. THIS WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL FLOODING THAT WILL LIKELY CLOSE PARTS OF HIGHWAY 3. IT WILL ALSO AFFECT THE COMMUNITIES OF OLIVE BRANCH AND EVENTUALLY CAIRO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1000 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... ALEXANDER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 400 PM CDT MONDAY. * AT 954 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A BREECH IN THE FAYETTEVILLE LEVEE JUST SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD BRIDGE AT THEBES. THIS WILL PRODUCE ADDITIONAL FLOODING THAT WILL LIKELY CLOSE PARTS OF HIGHWAY 3. IT WILL ALSO AFFECT THE COMMUNITIES OF OLIVE BRANCH AND EVENTUALLY CAIRO Not good at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Game over for a lot of people around here - the NWS this morning raised crest levels by four or five feet. How's your house, I never noticed if you mentioned how close you are to the proximity of the flood waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 new crest at Cairo= 63 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macintosh Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 new crest at Cairo= 63 feet One foot below the supposed 64 foot protection of the flood control system for Cairo. But the system is already buckling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Macintosh Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 According to twitter and Yahoo news report, a decision on the levee explosion is "imminent". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 330 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SMITHLAND RIVER FRONT LEVEE IN SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WEST KENTUCKY. * UNTIL 315 AM CDT TUESDAY * AT 321 PM CDT...THE IMMINENT FAILURE OF THE SMITHLAND RIVERFRONT LEVEE...LOCATED AT THE INTERSECTION OF COURT STREET AND RIVERFRONT DRIVE...WAS REPORTED BY LIVINGSTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. WATER WAS LEAKING FROM THE LEVEE AND A BREACH MAY BE POSSIBLE WITHIN SEVERAL HOURS. EVACUATIONS ARE OCCURRING NOW. PERSONS IN SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY THAT COULD BE IMPACTED BY A LEVEE FAILURE SHOULD SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Live stream from Paducah http://www.wpsdlocal6.com/local-6-live-stream/Local-6-Live-Stream.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosierwx Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 (Reuters) - Officials will announce in less than two hours whether they will go ahead with a plan to blow a hole in a Mississippi river levee to relieve flood pressure and save the town of Cairo, Illinois. The U.S. Army Corp of Engineers said in a twitter message that Major General Michael Walsh would make the announcement at 5 p.m. local time on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHWxWatcher Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 One foot below the supposed 64 foot protection of the flood control system for Cairo. But the system is already buckling. I know for at least the last couple days Cairo has been fighting large sand boils anyway (water seeping up underneath the levee on the "dry" side. Some of them looked pretty serious in their own right. I don't see how the system doesn't end up with some degree of permanent damage with all the stress it's already received. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 2, 2011 Author Share Posted May 2, 2011 new crest at Memphis 46.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHWxWatcher Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 Corps of Engineers is going to blow the levee. Expected between 9 PM and midnight local time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Memphis Weather Posted May 2, 2011 Share Posted May 2, 2011 new crest at Memphis 46.5 Actually 48. Just 0.7 short of record... THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT MEMPHIS * UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE. * RIVER STAGE AT MEMPHIS FORECAST TO BE THE HIGHEST SINCE 1937. * AT 04 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.6 FEET. * MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. * FLOOD STAGE IS 34.0 FEET. * THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 48.0 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. * AT 40.0 FEET...HOMSTEADS ON ROBINSON CRUSO ISLAND ARE FLOODING. THERE IS EXTENSIVE BACKWATER FLOODING ALONG THE WOLF AND LOOSAHATCHIE RIVER IN WESTERN SHELBY COUNTY. * AT 48.0 FEET...RIVERSIDE DRIVE ON THE MEMPHIS WATER FRONT AND TOM LEE PARK IS FLOODED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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