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OK/MO/AR and into the OH valley heavy rain and flood threat


janetjanet998

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Flash Flood Warning? This should be a straigh up flood warning. Most backroads in northwest arkansas are covered in one place if not two, and a major highway has been shut down do to flooding.

I'd like to see a animation of storm development over the past few days around the east oklahome/west arkansas area.

It would speak volumes I think to the generative trend of this storm. I swear everytime I look at a radar scan of it, it looks exactly like it did an hour or so ago....

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Someone here recently brought up the idea of a PDS Flood Watch. Not sure if it an standard thing or not, but Little Rock issued one today.

Flash Flood Watch

FLOOD WATCH

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

425 PM CDT SUN APR 24 2011

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL LIKELY

LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT...WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING...

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

.A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTH ARKANSAS IS FORECAST TO LIFT SLOWLY

TO THE NORTH TONIGHT AND MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS

FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ALONG WITH

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP

TO THE WEST OF ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AND TRACK NORTH OF THE STATE

LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ARKANSAS AS AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT

ENTERS THE STATE...WITH HIGH WATER PROBLEMS BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD.

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Some Rainfall totals since Thurs-Fri

Fayetteville, AR 6.68"

Branson, MO 7.70"

West Plains, MO 7.78"

Poplar Bluff, MO 7.81"

Cape Girardeau, MO 8.49"

Carbondale, IL 5.41"

Paducah, KY 7.28" (0.88" last 50 minutes)

Evansville, IN 4.61"

very heavy storms are training over the Branson area now...ugh

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Unfortunately it looks like a day full of rain with a long line of storms with incredible rainfall rates all the way back to Wichita Falls. I bet someone in south-central Missouri to the Cape Girardeau area gets 7 additional inches just through tomorrow morning! Not a good situation.

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Some schools and businesses closing south of here.

That training heavy rain along the Mcalester-Fayetteville-Branson line is just nasty.

METAR KFYV 251853Z 05009G17KT 1SM +TSRA BR BKN013 BKN035 OVC042 15/15 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 34030/1754 LTG DSNT ALQDS PRESRR SLP021 P0126 T01500150

SPECI KFYV 251904Z VRB05KT 1/4SM +TSRA FG BKN007 BKN022 OVC037 15/15 A2965 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0060

0.60" in 11 minutes. GEEZ

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Major flooding in NW Ark. The situation is getting pretty serious. I will try to upload some pictures when I can. Traveling out in LA this week so I'm enjoying sun and warmth.

Large sections of Poplar Bluff, MO here in the Memphis CWA are being evacuated. I think...about 1600 homes.

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FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY

257 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

MOC023-260030-

/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-110426T0030Z/

/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BUTLER MO-

257 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE IMMINENT FAILURE OF A LEVEE REMAINS

IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

* AT 255 PM CDT...COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS INDICATED

THE LEVEE ALONG THE BLACK RIVER FROM POPLAR BLUFF TO QULIN HAS BEEN

COMPROMISED IN SIX LOCATIONS. WATER IS TOPPING THE LEVEE AT SEVERAL

POINTS...WHICH MAY LEAD TO AN EVENTUAL FAILURE OF THE LEVEE SYSTEM

BETWEEN POPLAR BLUFF AND QULIN.

THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN IS SOUTH AND EAST OF POPLAR BLUFF TO HH

HIGHWAY...AND IS BOUNDED BY THE BLACK RIVER TO THE EAST AND STATE

HIGHWAY 142 TO THE WEST. COUNTY OFFICIALS HAVE ALREADY EVACUATED

APPROXIMATELY 500 STRUCTURES...WHICH IMPACTS ABOUT 1000 PEOPLE...IN

THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CITY OF POPLAR BLUFF.

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TOR warned cell for Poplar Bluff, even worse that the TOR warning itself IMHO is the very heavy rainfall about to start training between there and Cape Girardeau. Tonight is going to be very ugly for the OH valley.

EDIT: Poplar bluffs has picked up about 1" in 30 minutes. These are rates similar to what Fayetteville saw earlier. They have had 8.33" since Friday prior to this wave moving in,

METAR KPOF 252353Z AUTO 19008G20KT 160V230 3/4SM +TSRA BR VV004 17/16 A2957 RMK AO2 PK WND 31029/2303 LTG DSNT ALQDS SLP011 P0216 60226 T01670161 10217 20161 55023

METAR KPOF 260053Z AUTO 35004KT 2 1/2SM TSRA BR BKN009 BKN015 OVC049 16/16 A2959 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS SLP019 P0189 T01610156

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post-742-0-70453200-1303787461.jpg

FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

844 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN

ARKANSAS...

KINGS RIVER NEAR BERRYVILLE AFFECTING CARROLL COUNTY.

ARC015-260944-

/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110426T1810Z/

/BRYA4.3.ER.110425T1943Z.110426T0600Z.110426T1210Z.NR/

844 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR

THE KINGS RIVER NEAR BERRYVILLE.

* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

* AT 815 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.70 FEET.

* FLOOD STAGE IS 31.0 FEET.

* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.

* FORECAST...THE KINGS RIVER NEAR BERRYVILLE WILL CONTINUE RISING TO

NEAR 40.0 FEET TUESDAY BEFORE DAWN. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL

BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACT...AT 39.0 FEET...DISASTROUS FLOODING OCCURS. MANY ROADS NEAR

THE KINGS RIVER ARE CLOSED. THIS FLOOD WILL PRODUCE SIMILAR

CONDITIONS TO THE RECORD FLOOD EVENT OF NOVEMBER 1985 WHEN THE

STAGE CRESTED AT 38.9 FEET. THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND LIFE

THREATENING SITUATION.

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Civil Emergency MessageARC015-260645-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE

RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

1032 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF

THE CARROLL COUNTY ARKANSAS EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

BEAVER DAM GATES WILL BE OPEN TO 5 FEET. RESIDENTS IN

LOW LYING AREAS NEAR AND ALONG THE RIVER...INCLUDING

THE COMMUNITIES OF BEAVER AND HOLIDAY ISLAND...ARE

URGED TO EVACUATE AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

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