DaculaWeather Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 You can track storm reports here http://www.daculaweather.com/spc_storm_reports.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Our northern MS friends are now getting in on the activity as the storms swing through. Besides the indication of the strengthening of the LLJ, it's even more bad news for what's developing back west and southwest of AR, and these could very well train right over the same areas just that just got through experiencing tornadoes that had swept on by. After this night is done, it will only represent the beginning of what's down the road for tomorrow. Keeping everyone over there in my thoughts since the night period will make things twice as dangerous with any tornadoes that do arise. The shear associated with these storms is intense. There was earlier indication by a particular storm that the shear speed was up to 135mph with consistent changes in direction; a sign of intense rotation occurring. Not the kind of things I like to hear about with these super cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 A little thunder on my end with a passing shower. Earlier this same area of showers had a bit of hail, some lightning, and heavy rain through Union county. Live coverage in AR if you want to watch: http://www.wreg.com/ One of those storms came through here around 5:30 with winds of at least 60 mph. Trees down all around the area with at least one knocking down a powerline. Just got power back a few mins ago. If the dynamics from the west mix with the instability that caused this little storm today we could have real trouble. Guess we need to hope the big wave of storms comes after the daytime heating is gone tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 It really looks like this flash flood watch is going to bust tonight for western NC. (I guess that's a good thing?) There is not a drop of rain on radar anywhere in western NC. Those storms in AR, TN, and MS are quite impressive. That live feed out of Ft. Smith is interesting, but no really big cells at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 It really looks like this flash flood watch is going to bust tonight for western NC. (I guess that's a good thing?) There is not a drop of rain on radar anywhere in western NC. Those storms in AR, TN, and MS are quite impressive. That live feed out of Ft. Smith is interesting, but no really big cells at the moment. Yeah, the storms have quieted down quite a bit in Fort Smith, but about an hour and a half ago they had a rotating wall cloud pass right over the station... It was amazing to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 This is from the Memphis radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Watch out for the cell fixing to cross TX/LA border developing a hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 One of those storms came through here around 5:30 with winds of at least 60 mph. Trees down all around the area with at least one knocking down a powerline. Just got power back a few mins ago. If the dynamics from the west mix with the instability that caused this little storm today we could have real trouble. Guess we need to hope the big wave of storms comes after the daytime heating is gone tomorrow. I just missed that cell, and one to the west. I have to say I like the south and southeast flow and hope we get into this many times this Summer...wouldn't that be a switch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 And it looks like GSP is now having the same thoughts about that flood watch: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FOR THE EARLY EVENING UPDATE...POPS HAVE BEEN LOWERED EVEN FURTHER ACROSS THE BOARD...AS CONVECTION HAS ALL BUT DISSIPATED OVER THE CWFA WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. POPS HAVE BEEN LOWERED TO LOW/MID CHANCE ALONG THE SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT...WITH MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCES ALL OTHER LOCATIONS. I STILL EXPECT UPSLOPE SHOWER COVERAGE TO INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...AS THE ATM IS NOT EXPECTED TO STABILIZE AS MUCH AS IT HAS ON PREVIOUS NIGHTS...OWING TO HIGHER DEWPOINTS/ SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS...AND FAIRLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. MEANWHILE...THE LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY TOWARD SUNRISE. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL TONIGHT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING. WE WILL CONTINUE TO ASSESS GUIDANCE AND RADAR TRENDS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF CANCELING ALL OR A PORTION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE LATE EVENING (03Z) UPDATE. LOWS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL...60S ACROSS THE MTNS TO MID 60S EAST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 I'm surprised they are forecasting an inch or less of rain here. I figured with a slow moving storm system with lots of moisture, we would be dealing with a lot of rain in the southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Panola county at one point had a 73 dbz reading with 3.5" hail falling while under the tornado warning. The hail was about comparable to that of grapefruit! Numerous trees and active powerlines down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 I just missed that cell, and one to the west. I have to say I like the south and southeast flow and hope we get into this many times this Summer...wouldn't that be a switch. That sure would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 I expect over the next 2-3 hours we will see an increase in the intensity of these tornadoes out in the deep south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 26,000 without power in Memphis. Tornado now near Holly Springs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 LLDV on the Holly Springs tornado is 147 kts. It looks very imposing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Oh my. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Oh my. That is one serious supercell.....been watching it all evening and at some points it looked like a mini-hurricane as it was swirling near Shreveport. Looks like it's cycling, there's a couple of strong sigs. on the velocity scan now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 That cell is producing some serious large hail. Near 5" with 74 DBZ, also some intense damaging winds. Not to mention strong rotation as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 That is one serious supercell.....been watching it all evening and at some points it looked like a mini-hurricane as it was swirling near Shreveport. Looks like it's cycling, there's a couple of strong sigs. on the velocity scan now. That cell is producing some serious large hail. Near 5" with 74 DBZ, also some intense damaging winds. Not to mention strong rotation as well. Yeah, I would hate to be anywhere near that thing. I can take big storms but that is just too much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 See this is why I am so concerned for NC. These storms are showing no sings of weakening. I know some of the modeling is suggesting that these storms will weaken tomorrow night, but my gut is telling me otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Aside from the cells in east Texas and N. Louisiana, it seems as if we're transitioning into more of a junkvection/QLCS event overnight rather than discrete rotating cells. From a life/property perspective, one can only hope that remnants can temper the atmosphere a little tomorrow over Alabama/Tenn and N. Ga. From a meterological view, let's hope that some of this can die down before it gets too far east to allow for some major heating tomorrow morning over the southeast. If areas over central Alabama, Tennessee, and Georgia can heat up throughout the day tomorrow, you better batten down the hatches cause it may get really ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Oh my. Nothing like a rainwrapped wedge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Aside from the cells in east Texas and N. Louisiana, it seems as if we're transitioning into more of a junkvection/QLCS event overnight rather than discrete rotating cells. From a life/property perspective, one can only hope that remnants can temper the atmosphere a little tomorrow over Alabama/Tenn and N. Ga. From a meterological view, let's hope that some of this can die down before it gets too far east to allow for some major heating tomorrow morning over the southeast. If areas over central Alabama, Tennessee, and Georgia can heat up throughout the day tomorrow, you better batten down the hatches cause it may get really ugly. I agree that its turning into a more linear event right now. "Junkvection", I like it haha. Still a dangerous situation though. And your right if we do get some prolonged sun tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Is anyone surprised that last night's tornado in Vilonia, AR was only rated EF-2, despite the fact it destroyed a town and ripped up pavement ? Wasn't it Reed Timmer who said he thought it would be rated an EF-5 ? I guess that ruins his credibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Nighttime PDS Tornado Watch. Not good. See ya'll in the morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 From the BMX office evening update: BUT THECRAVEN-BROOKS NUMBER TELL A BIG STORY...WITH NEAR 100K VALUES INEAST TEXAS TAKING AIM ON THE STATE. Values over 100K........unbelievable....they better hope there's some cloud cover tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBriedis Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Reed's report about the pavement was second hand according to a tweet this afternoon. I wonder if it really was scoured, or it could have just been a lousy section of road that got lifted up. Haven't seen any pictures to prove it happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Is it just me or is anyone else surprised that Jackson, Tennessee didn't get plowed today? God knows they need a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATL_Militarypolice Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 As mentioned on another forum. Looking at SPC Meso page the CAP is increasing over parts of Eastern MS into AL with 10C temps moving in advocating in at 700MB. This could allow storms that try to move in to Alabama to weaken. With a nice lid in place, you won't have to worry about junk convection. Something to watch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 BMX is saying the greatest threat for tornadoes along the GA border will begin around 5pm eastern. So I'm guessing that means around 6pm in Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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