Stebo Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 The odds of this being another 'super outbreak' with 30 F4s and 6 F5s is about 1 in 1 million. Sure there will be a great number of tornadoes tomorrow, but to even put this outbreak in the same breath as the Super Outbreak is just foolish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenia74 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 The odds of this being another 'super outbreak' with 30 F4s and 6 F5s is about 1 in 1 million. Sure there will be a great number of tornadoes tomorrow, but to even put this outbreak in the same breath as the Super Outbreak is just foolish. That is yet to be seen...Isn't it foolish for you to write it off the day before?? It is very unlikely but it is my position that I still hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 That is yet to be seen...Isn't it foolish for you to write it off the day before?? It is very unlikely but it is my position that I still hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 That is yet to be seen...Isn't it foolish for you to write it off the day before?? It is very unlikely but it is my position that I still hold Hopefully you can join us in tropical season, when every tropical storm north of the islands with be comparable to Andrew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenia74 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Hopefully you can join us in tropical season, when every tropical storm north of the islands with be comparable to Andrew. See you think your being smart again..I lived in south Florida between 2003-2008.....Port St. Lucie hmmm....Wilma, Jeane, Francis...yeah I went through all of them. I have a large knowledge base in hurricanes and I will be more than happy to get into an in depth conversation with you during hurricane season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
upsloper Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 I totally agree..very tough...now I said "close". I also agree very balsy but that is my opinion...I will have a fun day for chasing tomorrow There are a wide range of opinions a person might have if we mostly ignore probabilities. And there's a reason why, if these opinions happen to surface in our heads, we try to keep them to ourselves with a reminder to strive for better objectivity in the future. Just please don't come back saying "I told you so" if this outbreak does by chance happen to rival '74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 That is yet to be seen...Isn't it foolish for you to write it off the day before?? It is very unlikely but it is my position that I still hold I'm not writing off anything, I just think that you don't realize just how epic 30 F4 and 6 F5 tornadoes are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenia74 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Hopefully you can join us in tropical season, when every tropical storm north of the islands with be comparable to Andrew. No one saw Jeane's U turn either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Hopefully you can join us in tropical season, when every tropical storm north of the islands with be comparable to Andrew. and anything in the gulf will be Katrina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAwxman Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Ugh... I think we beat this into the ground. Can we all just sit back and see what happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xenia74 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 There are a wide range of opinions a person might have if we mostly ignore probabilities. And there's a reason why, if these opinions happen to surface in our heads, we try to keep them to ourselves with a reminder to strive for better objectivity in the future. Just please don't come back saying "I told you so" if this outbreak does by chance happen to rival '74. No I told you so if it does happen...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
electronicmaji Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Tornadoes are so sexy. I can't wait for them to come by my house I like to wave at them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Xenia #1 weenie Anyways, the last 3 days have been pretty crazy in terms of severe weather. Pretty cool to track, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover1991 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Hello Everyone! i just found this site just a couple of days ago and i gotta admit this is the best forum out there when it comes to weather with all the information and all the meteorologists giving thier analysis and thier opinions i just found a new home! i have always been interested in the weather ever since three years old and it has always been a hobby of mine i look forward to chatting with all and please be careful out there tomorrow as it looks like a potentially dangerous situation if i was in alabama mississippi tennessee all the way up into ohio i would be prepared for very dangerous and potential deadly weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hannie Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 I am so scared of this stuff!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover1991 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 I am so scared of this stuff!!!!!!! Theres nothing to be scared just be prepared and heed the warnings! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Where are all these people coming from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Where are all these people coming from? Just like a blizzard or a major hurricane... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Xenia74 is the weatherguru of winter....probably actually him some mod please slap him with the 5 post limit now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
electronicmaji Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 This storm is going to be like The Day After Tomorrow. I hope you all have your bug out bags ready cause SHTF tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 This storm is going to be like The Day After Tomorrow. I hope you all have your bug out bags ready cause SHTF tomorrow. Chill out dude. Tomorrow will not be armageddon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Chill out dude. Tomorrow will not be armageddon. people that throw out those comments should just be banned right off the bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 people that throw out those comments should just be banned right off the bat. Yeah I agree, I think we need to keep this thread to serious discussion as a good amount of the country is going to be affected tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CUmet Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Although RUC isn't usually the best performer with regard to morning MCS events, it is noteworthy that it shows absolutely zero morning precip occurring over the current MDT risk area, for the exception of the far northwestern sliver. No hint whatsoever of the morning convection shown by the NAM/GFS. It'll be interesting to see whether the HRRR shows something similar as well once we get into its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 people that throw out those comments should just be banned suspended right off the bat. done..just for the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fred Gossage Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Although RUC isn't usually the best performer with regard to morning MCS events, it is noteworthy that it shows absolutely zero morning precip occurring over the current MDT risk area, for the exception of the far northwestern sliver. No hint whatsoever of the morning convection shown by the NAM/GFS. It'll be interesting to see whether the HRRR shows something similar as well once we get into its range. You mean like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Boy going by this thread I'll be lucky to survive tomorrow With that being said with the lack of storms firing today up here in the GL it does help get the destabilization of the atmosphere for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 done..just for the record. thank you sir. no need for that stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Last nights convection diminished as it reached southern IN and OH this morning. It cleared out nicely by around 8 am. I wonder if this next batch down south will do the same thing and let us cook the majority of the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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