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4/20 Mini-Torch/Possible Severe Weather


Thunder Road

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79/61 here, frigging toasty. Don't get why areas north of the WF are now in the slight risk, and down here, in the unstable air is not, but they know better then I do.

It appears SPC's reasoning is that farther north there is better shear and large scale lift (lower instability), yet farther south in the warm sector there is much less large scale lift/focus.

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Latest SPC keeps probabilities in PA basically the same (drops much of N Jersey). Latest discussion below:

WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS UPDATE NY WARRANTS A DECREASE IN

PROBABILITIES FOR DAMAGING WIND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HUDSON

VALLEY WHERE TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE 40S. OTHERWISE...SHOWERS

ARE INCREASING ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CNTRL

PA AND THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE AS IT SPREADS TOWARD

ERN PA/NJ LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

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I was honestly shocked to see the svr watch over NEPA where the warm front effects werent felt til well after the lunch hour. There was one cell by williamsport that quickly fizzled over the rural terrain between there and the valley. Four hours of daylight and 70 degree temps are a cruel hoax in what has been a most miserable spring up here. Back to reality from tomorrow-???

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