Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Paid the tolls...moving into winter


weathafella

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Really, a realist? realists look at computer progs see accumulating snow on several of them and then say delegated to snow showers? I am failing to see your realism.

what computer prog gives you me kev or anyone in ct or most of mass any snow ginx, am I missing something?? Unless you go to day 12 which is a joke.??

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There are a few things to watch.

1) late Saturday/Saturday Night. The upper level low will be overhead, so perhaps some flurries/snow showers with the ULL and higher RH. There may even be a narrow band of two of steadier snows, if their is any subtle convergence areas. ULL are known for doing some funky things when they are on top of you, combined with good RH. Also, we need to watch what happens in Maine. If that low sinks sw a little more, than nrn/ne mass gets into steadier snows. These warm air advection snows can sometimes come a little further sw than modeled. The NAM and even the euro shows this..just some timing differences.

2) whatever happens from the low around 12/5. It's very possible it could do something similar to Saturday Night/Sunday...meaning some snow showers or wrap around light snow from the north.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Really, a realist? realists look at computer progs see accumulating snow on several of them and then say delegated to snow showers? I am failing to see your realism.

Snow showers = accumulating snow, no?

The fantasy is holding out the hope that just one model will show anything substantial.

And let's see

00z GFS - nada

06z GFS - nada

00z Ukie - nada

00z Euro - nada

00z GGEM - nada.

Let me be proven wrong, but no where do I see advisory level snows. I see nuisance snow showers (T-2") coming out of this as the ULL spins overhead.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow showers = accumulating snow, no?

The fantasy is holding out the hope that just one model will show anything substantial.

And let's see

00z GFS - nada

06z GFS - nada

00z Ukie - nada

00z Euro - nada

00z GGEM - nada.

Let me be proven wrong, but no where do I see advisory level snows. I see nuisance snow showers (T-2") coming out of this as the ULL spins overhead.

Oh now snow showers is a trace to two inches? LOL I see you are saying no big storm, well yea but to write it off completely is foolish right now, haven't you been around long enough?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There are a few things to watch.

1) late Saturday/Saturday Night. The upper level low will be overhead, so perhaps some flurries/snow showers with the ULL and higher RH. There may even be a narrow band of two of steadier snows, if their is any subtle convergence areas. ULL are known for doing some funky things when they are on top of you, combined with good RH. Also, we need to watch what happens in Maine. If that low sinks sw a little more, than nrn/ne mass gets into steadier snows. These warm air advection snows can sometimes come a little further sw than modeled. The NAM and even the euro shows this..just some timing differences.

2) whatever happens from the low around 12/5. It's very possible it could do something similar to Saturday Night/Sunday...meaning some snow showers or wrap around light snow from the north.

Scott, The 1st part is a great case in point, And i hate to keep using last Jan as a reference, But, We were in the bulls eye here on last Jan retro storm only to have it track further sw, So i think that you guys still need to watch this as its not far from hitting some of you especially in northern or central mass.......

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There are a few things to watch.

1) late Saturday/Saturday Night. The upper level low will be overhead, so perhaps some flurries/snow showers with the ULL and higher RH. There may even be a narrow band of two of steadier snows, if their is any subtle convergence areas. ULL are known for doing some funky things when they are on top of you, combined with good RH. Also, we need to watch what happens in Maine. If that low sinks sw a little more, than nrn/ne mass gets into steadier snows. These warm air advection snows can sometimes come a little further sw than modeled. The NAM and even the euro shows this..just some timing differences.

2) whatever happens from the low around 12/5. It's very possible it could do something similar to Saturday Night/Sunday...meaning some snow showers or wrap around light snow from the north.

All of the above violently lead me to believe all of SNE will have light snowcover by Monday..Maybe it's an inch..maybe it's 4

Link to comment
Share on other sites

All of the above violently lead me to believe all of SNE will have light snowcover by Monday..Maybe it's an inch..maybe it's 4

:lol:

i'd be surprised if there isn't some accumulation around parts of the area. will be pretty hard to figure out exactly where as any little subtle ul feature will probably be enough to spark some activity, plus with that feature rotating w (obviously chances seem better the further n and e you are).

i could see litchfieldlibations09 getting his wish for brown ground and p. sunny while parts of MA have some squally conditions.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

All of the above violently lead me to believe all of SNE will have light snowcover by Monday..Maybe it's an inch..maybe it's 4

LOL, well it's something to watch..that's what I meant.

The GFS and Euro do show the "potential" for some snow shwrs or even maybe a band of light snow later Saturday into Saturday Night. The NAM doesn't show this, but then tries to bring a shield of snow towards ne mass on Sunday.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:lol:

i'd be surprised if there isn't some accumulation around parts of the area. will be pretty hard to figure out exactly where as any little subtle ul feature will probably be enough to spark some activity, plus with that feature rotating w (obviously chances seem better the further n and e you are).

i could see litchfieldlibations09 getting his wish for brown ground and p. sunny while parts of MA have some squally conditions.

Hopefully the debbie downers see nothing like they desire..while the optimistic realists see a few inches..that's how I envision it playing out

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hopefully the debbie downers see nothing like they desire..while the optimistic realists see a few inches..that's how I envision it playing out

Admit it, you were rooting for the big solution, as most of us were. That enthusiasm has been tempered since overnight to the potential for snow showers and the potential for a inch or two.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...