Alpha5 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 If this doesnt bring back memories of last year i dont know what does... (minus the STJ on roids of course) Best way to start of 10-11? Continue where we left off in 09-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I think some of us have just about had it with the vaunted negative NAO over the course of the past year or so; send that bi*** + and get me some SWF lovn'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 If this doesnt bring back memories of last year i dont know what does... (minus the STJ on roids of course) Best way to start of 10-11? Continue where we left off in 09-10 I hope DC gets ten feet in one week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 agreed .? Right exit region, front entrance region, that streak would wrap if taken out 24 more hours. I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 .? Right exit region, front entrance region, that streak would wrap if taken out 24 more hours. I would think. Yea....that sceaming NW flow will skip over Myrtle beach, off Bermuda.....nothn' but Benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I hope DC gets ten feet in one week. And then torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Looks awfully snowy early next week..Maybe we get an inch Fri nite..and then 3-6 Monday..or something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 .? Right exit region, front entrance region, that streak would wrap if taken out 24 more hours. I would think. The upper levels are moving from NW to SE, exiting the SE coast at over 100kts on the prog. I have a hard time believing that would turn immediately north up the coast in later frames, no matter how optimistic you want to look at it. But it is just the 18z NAM... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 .? Right exit region, front entrance region, that streak would wrap if taken out 24 more hours. I would think. you want to be in the left exit region yes, but with the flow out of the southwest if its gonna come up the coast on the UL divergence side of the trough. Most assuredly will continue east, perhaps swing back to the west for New England like the euro/canadian are showing...but l'm not trying to extrapolate the 84 hr nam lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 The upper levels are moving from NW to SE, exiting the SE coast at over 100kts on the prog. I have a hard time believing that would turn immediately north up the coast in later frames. Just to show you evolution,this is day four and five Euro from today at 200 level, the euro moved the storm due North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Just to show you evolution,this is day four and five Euro from today at 200 level, the euro moved the storm due North Well played. Maybe it could in later frames... what do I know? lol. I was just commenting that the 18z NAM 84hour prog appeared to have that thing continue east off the coast. There's no hint in the jet streak of northward motion (in fact the leading edge of the streak looks to be further south than the tail end). But again, its an 18z NAM 84 hour prog so it isn't worth it haha... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Euro ensembles are very similar to the OP for the Dec 6 threat...they actually slightly W or SW of the OP for the the Dec 4th smaller event. And I know its a running joke about this threat...but they definitely have a mean LP near the benchmark for Dec 12-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Well played. Maybe it could in later frames... what do I know? lol. I was just commenting that the 18z NAM 84hour prog appeared to have that thing continue east off the coast. There's no hint in the jet streak of northward motion (in fact the leading edge of the streak looks to be further south than the tail end). But again, its an 18z NAM 84 hour prog so it isn't worth it haha... Yea it is impossible to say what extrapolation would bring but sure looked familiar to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 pittsfield, ma down to 39.9 old man winter is knocking on the door pete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 pittsfield, ma down to 39.9 old man winter is knocking on the door pete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Euro ensembles are very similar to the OP for the Dec 6 threat...they actually slightly W or SW of the OP for the the Dec 4th smaller event. And I know its a running joke about this threat...but they definitely have a mean LP near the benchmark for Dec 12-13. will for the smaller event......do you think from the Pike to Rte 2. sees flurries or more steady light snow as per euro ensembles. (obv not etched in stone) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Euro ensembles are very similar to the OP for the Dec 6 threat...they actually slightly W or SW of the OP for the the Dec 4th smaller event. And I know its a running joke about this threat...but they definitely have a mean LP near the benchmark for Dec 12-13. 12-13 won't be a joke much longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 No I just have little patience for people getting overly defensive about "their snow" and then talking down to others like they are royalty...its what promotes petty regionalism. There will be none of that in this sub forum. You tell 'em, Will. How much God's country? j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Euro ensembles are very similar to the OP for the Dec 6 threat...they actually slightly W or SW of the OP for the the Dec 4th smaller event. And I know its a running joke about this threat...but they definitely have a mean LP near the benchmark for Dec 12-13. Are you still thinking we could see a couple inches on Monday ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Euro ensembles are very similar to the OP for the Dec 6 threat...they actually slightly W or SW of the OP for the the Dec 4th smaller event. And I know its a running joke about this threat...but they definitely have a mean LP near the benchmark for Dec 12-13. I will act like Ryan the rest of the winter if we do not get at least six inches of snow by Dec 15th. I mean it, example post below. Kevin I am putting you on ignore. Heading up to Mt Snow in my Prius to consume Chardoneau. Expecting torch conditions for the rest of the winter. If anyone gets out of line here if we ever have a threat, Bob and I will whip you into shape. Looks like we never see any thing exciting here in CT weatherwise but Wiz will be over next week to share forties with me so that will be exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 will for the smaller event......do you think from the Pike to Rte 2. sees flurries or more steady light snow as per euro ensembles. (obv not etched in stone) Yeah it would probably get some light snow down to the pike...hard to say if it would be steady light snow with an inch or two vs just off and on flurries/snow showers. The Euro is certainly the most bullish with this feature vs other guidance. Northeast MA/SE NH would have the best chance for areas in SNE...the OP run probably gave Ray's area some light accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Are you still thinking we could see a couple inches on Monday ? I wouldn't rule anything out for Monday yet. Obviously I'd be leaning toward just cold with maybe a few flurries around, but there is still enough of a chance we see a retrograde solution to keep an eye out. The Euro nearly grazed eastern MA with the CCB in the Dec 6th system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 18z GFS just shifted about 150 miles W with the Dec 6th system...now hits most of Maine pretty good whereas the 12z run gave practically nothing...even to N ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 18z GFS retrogrades the low much more aggressively than the 12z does. Lots of snow for NE Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I wouldn't rule anything out for Monday yet. Obviously I'd be leaning toward just cold with maybe a few flurries around, but there is still enough of a chance we see a retrograde solution to keep an eye out. The Euro nearly grazed eastern MA with the CCB in the Dec 6th system. 18z GFS def took a step in the right direction.. Still 120 out too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Lets see if the "Nothing Will pop in this pattern until around 96 hr out" comes to fruition here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 18z GFS just shifted about 150 miles W with the Dec 6th system...now hits most of Maine pretty good whereas the 12z run gave practically nothing...even to N ME. Ya know, been there done that, liking today's runs, gotta keep the JUJU going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Pretty good for N NH and N VT eventually on the 18z GFS...though by that point its primarily for upslope areas, but a lot better than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Oh joy another winter of retrograding lows. Can't wait for another WINDEX event too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Ya know, been there done that, liking today's runs, gotta keep the JUJU going. It's been a good day for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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