MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 What is the QPF for downeast Maine? And how much is snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 just adjust the ULL a hair and don't string out the vort max as much and it's probably better. right now, looks almost identical to the 12z ggem I think we are seeing the nascent stages of a conscensus between the GEM and EURO depictions, thankfully, that allots time for some adjustments.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Pretty much, Looks like advisory snows on Sat and possible warning snows mon-tue....... yeah. might be time to post exclusively in the NNE thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 I am looking forward to a brown dark landscape, filled with partly cloudy afternoons while pete gets an occasional flurry day after day after day, nice frigid nights and cold dark days, massive heating bills, and not single snow pile to account for the pattern come Dec 15th, H5 looks good though!! you live in the right part of NYC metro area for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Have everything manifest itself about 200-300 miles west of where it initially goes bonkers S of Nova Scotia. That would probably be a 2-3 footer if it did that...but that's getting pretty greedy, lol. If we just have the retrograde occur a bit SW (even like 75-100 miles), then we can get pretty good snows (over warning criteria) even if its already into the occluding process. Jan 1-3, 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Kevin will likely be dumfounded as KGAY gets 5" and he's barely sneaking out a flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 you live in the right part of NYC metro area for that. Fairfield? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 yeah. might be time to post exclusively in the NNE thread. If this thread was SNE-specific I'd agree with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 If this thread was SNE-specific I'd agree with that. i was just kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 What is the QPF for downeast Maine? And how much is snow? For the 2nd event, it looks close to 0.75" of qpf...though that is for the BGR region...maybe more like 0.40"-0.50" for PWM...with a sharp gradient just W and SW of them. Your area may get about half of that, but the gradient is pretty fine and not to be taken seriously at 126 hours. The first event at 66-78 hours might give you a 1-3" type snowfall...perhaps 3-5" to your northeast into central Maine with a pocket of 6"+ in north-central Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 If this thread was SNE-specific I'd agree with that. You guys are fine.....even yesterday with powderfreak was lighthearted, but I honestly thought they may be better suited to dedicate a thread to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 i was just kidding. Ok. I just checked my humorometer and it needs to be calibrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 What would it take to get a Ginxy gale out of this here....I mean feet.... An act of God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Ok. I just checked my humorometer and it needs to be calibrated. :lol: nah. me FTL on that one. euro really trying to unload the arctic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 You guys are fine.....even yesterday with powderfreak was lighthearted, but I honestly thought they may be better suited to dedicate a thread to it. Yeah upslope snows that affect about 0.01% of the population can probably have a dedicated thread...also because its a different phenomenon than synoptic snows. This retrograde solution would actually affect a large portion of Maine and potentially NH and even N MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 For the 2nd event, it looks close to 0.75" of qpf...though that is for the BGR region...maybe more like 0.40"-0.50" for PWM...with a sharp gradient just W and SW of them. Your area may get about half of that, but the gradient is pretty fine and not to be taken seriously at 126 hours. The first event at 66-78 hours might give you a 1-3" type snowfall...perhaps 3-5" to your northeast into central Maine with a pocket of 6"+ in north-central Maine. Thanks. I'd like to stress that I was not asking for IMBY totals. lol I won't do that til inside 48 hours. Just curious about the max possibility up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 An act of God. Someone PM Kev fast because he's probably gonna be in bed within 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 No shortage of cold on this run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 24 hours ago there was no chance, today it an off shore bomb backing up to what the Euro showed a couple of days ago. Writing this off today is silly, a tweak here a tweak there and we have a 81or ECM better scenario. Exciting model runs from now until Sunday, keep in the back of your mind what happened last year with the Dec KU, when it comes to modeling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 No shortage of cold on this run so far. huge gradient setting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 yeah. might be time to post exclusively in the NNE thread. Haha... I really hope this works out for you guys down in SNE or else there are going to be a lot of angry SNE weenies if ME and the upslope regions are the only ones getting significant snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 I'm heading to Rowley (Cape Ann area) for my family party Saturday at 4PM. Not out of the question there will be something up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 huge gradient setting up It looks like the northern/central plains might torch while the GL and New England are in the ice box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks like the northern/central plains might torch while the GL and New England are in the ice box. That may be the example we are looking for, as to why we want this block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 Haha... I really hope this works out for you guys down in SNE or else there are going to be a lot of angry SNE weenies if ME and the upslope regions are the only ones getting significant snow out of this. thankfully i think most people understand the deal. of course, if it went that way all winter, different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks like the northern/central plains might torch while the GL and New England are in the ice box. Nice with Manitoba Mauler in the pipeline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 It looks like the northern/central plains might torch while the GL and New England are in the ice box. ginx's low level cold there. 850s not even necessarily doing justice to the surface temps. can also see the makings of some sort of overrunning event or quasi-swfe coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 That may be the example we are looking for, as to why we want this block. Yeah we'd be torching if it weren't for that. It looks ot be reconfiguring the NAO block into an Iceland/UK block vs further west. This is helping push all the cold air into SE Canada and NE. Though we are fighting a bit more for it down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 1, 2010 Share Posted December 1, 2010 When you're 64, hopefully others will afford you the courtesy of deluding yourself into another day of hope. You're right. In light of Jerry's age, I should withhold my opinion if it so happens to be contrary to his. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2010 Author Share Posted December 1, 2010 If the Euro is right verbatim we're gonna get a serious overrunning snow event between 12/10-15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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