FrederickWX Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Not looking good for 90 degrees any time soon. The ways things have gone, it'll have to be a day when a cold front is just about to go through, where we get a good amount of sun, and not much wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted May 5, 2011 Share Posted May 5, 2011 Yep I've already been mathematically eliminated. Good luck to the rest of you! Not so fast. We could have a glorious spring, summer and fall with not a single 90F day. We'd need a ruling from the judges on the contest, tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 6, 2011 Author Share Posted May 6, 2011 Not so fast. We could have a glorious spring, summer and fall with not a single 90F day. We'd need a ruling from the judges on the contest, tho. I wonder what the is record minimum number of 90F days at each of the airports? I don't think it'd be zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted May 6, 2011 Share Posted May 6, 2011 Not even RIC has hit 90* this year. I wonder if Anthony can tell us what the latest 90* day is and the record minimum days of 90+ at KRIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted May 6, 2011 Share Posted May 6, 2011 Not even RIC has hit 90* this year. I wonder if Anthony can tell us what the latest 90* day is and the record minimum days of 90+ at KRIC. Sure.....the latest date to feature the first 90-degree temperature at RIC is July 2, 1972. Meanwhile, the fewest number of 90-degree days in a calendar year for RIC is 14 days, which last took place in 1971. In 2003, the first 90-degree day did not take place until June 24th. The last time we went April and May without any 90-degree days was in 2005 when the first day did not take place until June 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted May 6, 2011 Share Posted May 6, 2011 I wonder what the is record minimum number of 90F days at each of the airports? I don't think it'd be zero. For Washington, DC, I believe that the record minimum number of 90+ degree days is seven, set in 1886. That year, the first 90+ day did not occur until July 7, and the hottest it got all year was 92 on August 27. Of course, that was long before (Reagan) National Airport came into existence in 1941, and so the official measuring station was in downtown Washington (at 24th and M Streets, NW), rather than at the airport in Arlington, VA. Since 1941, I believe that the record minimum number of 90+ degree days in DC is eleven, set in 2004. That year, the first 90+ day occurred early (April 19), but again, the hottest it got all year was 92. That temperature occurred four times (May 23, June 9, June 17, and July 2). One more interesting note: In 1979, there were twenty 90+ days in DC, but the first did not occur until July 12. I believe that's the latest first occurrence of a 90+ day in DC history. However, the high temperature that year was 97, on August 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted May 6, 2011 Share Posted May 6, 2011 Sure.....the latest date to feature the first 90-degree temperature at RIC is July 2, 1972. Meanwhile, the fewest number of 90-degree days in a calendar year for RIC is 14 days, which last took place in 1971. In 2003, the first 90-degree day did not take place until June 24th. The last time we went April and May without any 90-degree days was in 2005 when the first day did not take place until June 6th. Cool. Much appreciated, as always. What format is all this data in? KD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted May 7, 2011 Share Posted May 7, 2011 For Washington, DC, I believe that the record minimum number of 90+ degree days is seven, set in 1886. That year, the first 90+ day did not occur until July 7, and the hottest it got all year was 92 on August 27. Of course, that was long before (Reagan) National Airport came into existence in 1941, and so the official measuring station was in downtown Washington (at 24th and M Streets, NW), rather than at the airport in Arlington, VA. Since 1941, I believe that the record minimum number of 90+ degree days in DC is eleven, set in 2004. That year, the first 90+ day occurred early (April 19), but again, the hottest it got all year was 92. That temperature occurred four times (May 23, June 9, June 17, and July 2). One more interesting note: In 1979, there were twenty 90+ days in DC, but the first did not occur until July 12. I believe that's the latest first occurrence of a 90+ day in DC history. However, the high temperature that year was 97, on August 10. Interesting info. Do you know the latest first 90+ degree day and record minimum number of 90+ degree days for Baltimore/BWI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted May 8, 2011 Share Posted May 8, 2011 Interesting info. Do you know the latest first 90+ degree day and record minimum number of 90+ degree days for Baltimore/BWI? No, I have nearly complete daily historical weather statistics for DC, but not for Baltimore or any other city. Perhaps someone else here has it for Baltimore. I wonder if in the northeast, there might be a major city that did not reach 90 one or more years. For example, I would think that might be the case for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted May 9, 2011 Share Posted May 9, 2011 I have compiled an average first date for the temperature reaching at least 90 degrees F in Washington, DC, 1872-2010. That date is May 20, with a range of March 22 (1907) to July 12 (1979). By 30-year periods (29 years for the first period), the average dates are: 1872-1900: May 28 1901-1930: May 15 1931-1960: May 17 1961-1990: May 19 1971-2000: May 19 1981-2010: May 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 13, 2011 Share Posted May 13, 2011 DCA: April 26 IAD: April 26 BWI: May 12 BWI Low: 65F Fail. Id say maybe next weekend 5/21 or early in that week has a good shot at the first 90F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 DCA, IAD, BWI - May 15th Tiebreaker - 67 Swing...and a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 16, 2011 Share Posted May 16, 2011 Swing...and a miss. At this rate... we might not see our first 90 degree temps till June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 First time I've seen 90 on MOS though I havent consistently looked... edit: ugly paste KDCA GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/19/2011 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26|FRI CLIMO N/X 57 78| 61 82| 66 88| 67 90| 69 89| 68 87| 64 84| 64 56 78 TMP 61 71| 65 76| 69 81| 71 82| 72 82| 72 80| 68 77| 67 DPT 54 56| 58 57| 61 64| 63 63| 64 62| 62 61| 59 61| 58 WND 7 9| 6 8| 6 11| 7 10| 8 13| 8 13| 8 15| 15 P12 23 30| 17 1| 6 23| 46 31| 31 13| 22 27| 43 35| 35 22 26 P24 46| 19| 27| 53| 47| 52| 59| 35 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 0| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 1| 0| 0| 1| 1| 1| | T12 7 24| 17 7| 3 28| 33 28| 35 28| 30 30| 28 29| 26 T24 | 24 | 11 | 52 | 39 | 41 | 49 | 42 PZP 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 2| 1 0| 0 PSN 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 PRS 0 2| 1 1| 0 1| 1 1| 1 1| 1 2| 2 1| 1 TYP R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R SNW 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 still there. KDCA GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/20/2011 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27 CLIMO X/N 75| 60 82| 64 87| 66 89| 68 91| 69 88| 67 85| 65 81 56 78 TMP 69| 64 75| 68 79| 70 82| 72 83| 72 80| 70 78| 69 75 DPT 55| 57 59| 62 66| 64 64| 64 64| 63 62| 62 61| 59 59 CLD PC| PC PC| PC OV| OV OV| PC OV| PC OV| OV PC| OV OV WND 9| 6 8| 5 10| 7 9| 8 12| 8 12| 9 14| 11 15 P12 56| 17 3| 7 50| 52 24| 33 19| 31 32| 29 29| 36 33 21 26 P24 | 17| 50| 57| 44| 46| 49| 59 35 Q12 1| 0 0| 0 1| 1 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 | Q24 | 0| 1| 1| 1| 1| | T12 20| 18 7| 2 50| 30 31| 36 26| 29 29| 33 34| 23 29 T24 | 20 | 7 | 57 | 48 | 41 | 45 | 39 PZP 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 1 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 1 2| 0 0| 0 0 PRS 2| 0 1| 0 1| 1 1| 2 0| 2 1| 2 1| 1 2 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 still there. KDCA GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 5/20/2011 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 FRI 20| SAT 21| SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27 CLIMO X/N 75| 60 82| 64 87| 66 89| 68 91| 69 88| 67 85| 65 81 56 78 TMP 69| 64 75| 68 79| 70 82| 72 83| 72 80| 70 78| 69 75 DPT 55| 57 59| 62 66| 64 64| 64 64| 63 62| 62 61| 59 59 CLD PC| PC PC| PC OV| OV OV| PC OV| PC OV| OV PC| OV OV WND 9| 6 8| 5 10| 7 9| 8 12| 8 12| 9 14| 11 15 P12 56| 17 3| 7 50| 52 24| 33 19| 31 32| 29 29| 36 33 21 26 P24 | 17| 50| 57| 44| 46| 49| 59 35 Q12 1| 0 0| 0 1| 1 0| 0 0| 0 1| 0 | Q24 | 0| 1| 1| 1| 1| | T12 20| 18 7| 2 50| 30 31| 36 26| 29 29| 33 34| 23 29 T24 | 20 | 7 | 57 | 48 | 41 | 45 | 39 PZP 0| 0 0| 0 0| 1 1| 1 0| 1 0| 1 0| 0 1 PSN 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| 1 2| 0 0| 0 0 PRS 2| 0 1| 0 1| 1 1| 2 0| 2 1| 2 1| 1 2 TYP R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R| R R SNW | 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| | 12z has Monday and Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted May 22, 2011 Share Posted May 22, 2011 good chance it will happen this week.....Here are some stats from the same contest at 40S 30 YR STATS FOR PERIOD 1981-2010 (DCA) Earliest: April 6th, Latest: June 24th, Average: May 17th, Median: May 19th Percent chances of Occurring by April 15th: 3% May 1st: 27% May 15th: 40% June 1st: 80% June 15th: 97% 1981: 5/25 1982: 5/12 1983: 6/13 1984: 5/22 1985: 4/19 1986: 5/7 1987: 5/18 1988: 5/30 1989: 6/1 1990: 4/26 1991: 5/12 1992: 5/23 1993: 6/9 1994: 4/27 1995: 4/19 1996: 5/19 1997: 5/19 1998: 5/19 1999: 5/30 2000: 5/7 2001: 6/13 2002: 4/16 2003: 6/24 2004: 4/19 2005: 6/8 2006: 5/30 2007: 5/26 2008: 6/7 2009: 4/26 2010: 4/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 22, 2011 Author Share Posted May 22, 2011 DCA has a solid chance at hitting 90F this week. Longer odds for BWI and IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 23, 2011 Author Share Posted May 23, 2011 Might even have to kick the can down the road farther on this...clouds might hold us back the next few days with the TSTMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Might get me eliminated if that's the case. Might even have to kick the can down the road farther on this...clouds might hold us back the next few days with the TSTMs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 24, 2011 Share Posted May 24, 2011 Might even have to kick the can down the road farther on this...clouds might hold us back the next few days with the TSTMs. Friday may be the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 24, 2011 Author Share Posted May 24, 2011 Friday may be the day GFS likes a very warm start to next week. I think DCA probably hits 90F sometime between Thurs-Fri and then next Mon-Wed. Not so sure about BWI and IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 25, 2011 Author Share Posted May 25, 2011 Thursday still a chance for DCA, but looks like Mon-Tuesday next week has a good chance for all 3 stations. If that's true, the 2 contestants in play are RodneyS (Jun 1st for all 3) and tplbge (May 27th for all 3). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 I know its not one of the 'big' stations, but KFDK just hit 90... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 I know its not one of the 'big' stations, but KFDK just hit 90... Didnt EZF hit 90 yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 Afternoon HWO mentions possible HI's of over 100 for Monday and Tuesday for next week east of the BR... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 25, 2011 Share Posted May 25, 2011 i think we'll get there tomorrow.. NAM mos is 89/90 and it's been running cool for the most part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 25, 2011 Author Share Posted May 25, 2011 FDK always runs warm. It sits in a topographic bowl and they get some boosted downsloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 HRRR says widespread 90+ for DCA, BWI and IAD by 2pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 IAD up to 88... today will be the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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