Superstorm93 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Somethings trying to get going... BR/SRV.5/SRV1.5/NROT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Somethings trying to get going... BR/SRV.5/SRV1.5/NROT Police reporting a rotating wall cloud over Clarksburg, MO now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Just pushed out my 22Z Severe Weather Analysis, seeing some impressive areas of instability and good tornado potential. Uploaded at http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf Right now showing NE OK-S.MO to N. AR as the highest threat area. Seeing 0-3KM SRH around 312m/s, surface CAPE 2300 J/KG, and 0-1KM EHI is around 3.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Farther southwest the storm by Climax Springs, MO (I had to ) is trying to get going. Meso is tightening up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Tennis ball sized hail with the northern cell (measured 8 N of California, MO). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Just pushed out my 22Z Severe Weather Analysis, seeing some impressive areas of instability and good tornado potential. Uploaded at http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf Right now showing NE OK-S.MO to N. AR as the highest threat area. Seeing 0-3KM SRH around 312m/s, surface CAPE 2300 J/KG, and 0-1KM EHI is around 3.0. Whats up with the "F6" tornado threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Certainly looks extremely busy! Lot of instability in southern MO Thanks From 21z RUC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Funnel cloud... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 If chasing I would be playing the cell near Sedalia. A theoretical 6/6 on chases? SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 510 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 MOC051-135-222230- /O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-110422T2230Z/ COLE MO-MONITEAU MO- 510 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MONITEAU AND NORTHWESTERN COLE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT... AT 507 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MCGIRK...OR NEAR CALIFORNIA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. IN ADDITION...TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... CENTERTOWN...ST. MARTINS...SANDY HOOK AND ELSTON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 southeast of me in Louisville EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 613 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2011 KYC005-211-215-222230- /O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110422T2230Z/ SHELBY KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY- 613 PM EDT FRI APR 22 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL ANDERSON...NORTHERN SPENCER AND SOUTHERN SHELBY COUNTIES... AT 608 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SPOTTED SOUTHEAST OF WATERFORD! THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR YODER...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL ALSO IMPACT... LITTLE MOUNT... TAYLORSVILLE... SOUTHVILLE... MOUNT EDEN AND WAYSIDE... GEE AND HARRISONVILLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0521 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0527 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL KY...SRN IL AND FAR ERN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON VALID 222227Z - 222300Z LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW QLCS PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS CNTRL/NRN KY...WITH INCREASING DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN FLANK WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER CORES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THIS LINE IS MOVING OFF THE LLJ AND MAXIMUM INSTABILITY AXES...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS AND HAIL MAY PERSIST FARTHER EWD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HAS ALSO OCCURRED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS SWRN AND S-CNTRL KY. FARTHER W...CONCERN IS INCREASING ALONG AND TO THE S OF A WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SRN IL EXTENDING INTO NRN KY. CLOUD COVER HAS CLEARED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO HEAT INTO THE UPPER 70S. ADDITIONALLY...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG WITHIN THIS ENVIRONMENT...WITH 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR RANGING FROM 20-30 KTS. AS CONVECTION OVER CNTRL MO/SRN IL INCREASES INTO THIS EVENING...A THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON FOR THIS REGION...REPLACING PORTIONS OF SVR WW 178... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Here's some more data from the 21z RUC DPVA: Totals Totals: 500hPA wind: 300hPa wind: 850 TT, DP and Wind 3hr Delta T for H700 layer 3hr delta height for H500 3 hr delta-p in 1/2 millibars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0520 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0521 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN MO...WRN IL CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 179... VALID 222221Z - 230015Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 179 CONTINUES. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 179...ESPECIALLY OVER CNTRL AND ERN PORTIONS FROM THE COLUMBIA/JEFFERSON CITY/VICHY AREA EWD TOWARDS ST. LOUIS. THE CNW PROFILER AND SGF VWP SHOWS RELATIVELY VEERED FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS ACROSS WRN MO...WHICH IS RESULTING IN STRAIGHT LINE HODOGRAPHS. HOWEVER..FARTHER NE WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE MORE BACKED AHEAD OF THE LOW AND IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER CONVECTION...SHEAR IS STRONGER WITH 0-1 KM SRH OVER 300 M2/S2. SUPERCELLS JUST S OF THE COLUMBIA MO AREA HAVE SHOWN STRONG ROTATION...AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THESE CELLS ENCOUNTER GREATER LOW LEVEL SHEAR TO THE E. ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0521 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0527 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY...PORTIONS OF WRN/CNTRL KY...SRN IL AND FAR ERN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON VALID 222227Z - 222300Z LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW QLCS PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS CNTRL/NRN KY...WITH INCREASING DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SRN FLANK WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER CORES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. THIS LINE IS MOVING OFF THE LLJ AND MAXIMUM INSTABILITY AXES...THOUGH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS AND HAIL MAY PERSIST FARTHER EWD. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT HAS ALSO OCCURRED WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS SWRN AND S-CNTRL KY. FARTHER W...CONCERN IS INCREASING ALONG AND TO THE S OF A WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS SRN IL EXTENDING INTO NRN KY. CLOUD COVER HAS CLEARED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR TO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO HEAT INTO THE UPPER 70S. ADDITIONALLY...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS MODERATELY STRONG WITHIN THIS ENVIRONMENT...WITH 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR RANGING FROM 20-30 KTS. AS CONVECTION OVER CNTRL MO/SRN IL INCREASES INTO THIS EVENING...A THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE NEEDED SOON FOR THIS REGION...REPLACING PORTIONS OF SVR WW 178... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 STL 76/65 with a backed SSE wind 1 km hel increasing to near 500 as the storms move in a pair of SUPs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 STL 76/65 with a backed SSE wind 1 km hel increasing to near 500 as the storms move in a pair of SUPs This broken line is really just hitting the best low level turning, should be interesting to see how they respond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Numerous reports of a wall cloud/funnel clouds with the New Bloomfield, MO tor cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 181 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 550 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PARTS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS PARTS OF SOUTHERN INDIANA A LARGE PART OF KENTUCKY PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 550 PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. DISCUSSION...E/W BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN KY INTO ERN MO WILL FOCUS GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE WATCH THRU THE EVENING. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...TORNADOS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL. STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP UPSCALE INTO LINES/BOW ECHOES UNDER STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS INCREASING THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS DURING THE EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarbondaleWX Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 This cell near Fairview is looking interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Class supercell traversing Calloway County, Missouri. Nice hook with the V notch, and a strong meso at around 12kft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 cell looking really good now and ramping up..Ilstormchaser in Alton Il now dropping SE..will get in good position on the east side of the river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Cell to the southwest in Cole County looks like it might be trying to wrap up again after a brief weakening trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 there seems to be 90 degrees of tuning on the STL VAD assuming SSE surface winds hook would go over N side of the city on current trends STL 77/66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 NE Oklahoma: AT 612 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO TRACK A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED NEAR KANSAS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Geez, 70dBZ at 30kft northwest of Hermann. Lets see what it does as it heads near STL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 621 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHWESTERN ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WESTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS * UNTIL 700 PM CDT * AT 617 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF KANSAS... MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW! SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 618 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 OKC037-107-111-222330- /O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-110422T2330Z/ OKMULGEE OK-CREEK OK-OKFUSKEE OK- 618 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011 ...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN OKFUSKEE...SOUTHERN CREEK AND WESTERN OKMULGEE COUNTIES... AT 612 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS ARE TRACKING A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED NEAR MASON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW! SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKFUSKEE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Report from family of small hail stones falling and rolling down the gutters in Streamwood. Eh Chistorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 5" hail marker on level2 with the supercell north of Vienna, MO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Very impressive supercell approaching SLX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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