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April 16-17 storm obs/discussion


Ian

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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA

225 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

CITY OF LYNCHBURG IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

NORTHWESTERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

EASTERN BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA

AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 300 PM EDT.

* AT 221 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

GOODE...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BEDFORD CITY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST

AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GOODE...

FOREST...

BOONSBORO...

ELON...

AND FALCONERVILLE.

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VAC009-019-680-161900-

/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-110416T1900Z/

CITY OF LYNCHBURG VA-BEDFORD VA-AMHERST VA-

239 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT

FOR THE CITY OF LYNCHBURG... AMHERST AND NORTHEASTERN BEDFORD

COUNTIES...

AT 235 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF

BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE

STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LOWESVILLE TO

BOONSBORO...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FORKS OF BUFFALO TO

FOREST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

BOONSBORO...

FALCONERVILLE...

CLIFFORD...

AND NEW GLASGOW.

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It would appear the Lynchburg storm... if it were to continue to move NE... would move just SE of DC metro in 90 mins?

storms are moving more n/e than east so far.. too fast probably.

watch if these cells out front can gather more .. they're flying tho

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Look its a... oh its gone now

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

258 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

EASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...

NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

NORTHEASTERN SHENANDOAH COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

CITY OF WINCHESTER IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

BERKELEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

SOUTH CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA...

FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 252 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN

EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING

FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF VALLEY HIGH TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRONT

ROYAL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 90 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

GREENWOOD...

INWOOD...

BERRYVILLE...

RANSON...

MARTINSBURG...

CHARLES TOWN...

WILLIAMSPORT...

SHEPHERDSTOWN...

LONG MEADOW...

HAGERSTOWN...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

BLACKSBURG VA 256 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR... EASTERN HALIFAX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA CHARLOTTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA* UNTIL 345 PM EDT.* AT 253 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR HALIFAX... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.*

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MT LAUREL... SAXE... DRAKES BRANCH...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

301 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

NORTHEASTERN CITY OF WAYNESBORO IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

GREENE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

WEST CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

SOUTH CENTRAL PAGE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

NORTHERN ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

EAST CENTRAL AUGUSTA COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 257 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF CROZET...OR 10 MILES EAST OF LYNDHURST...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

304 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NELSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

SOUTHEASTERN AUGUSTA COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 302 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE

SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE

STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM AFTON TO 9 MILES

WEST OF SHIPMAN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

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This storm has its eyes on DC METRO in lil over an hour... maybe more

ULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA

304 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN BUCKINGHAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

WESTERN APPOMATTOX COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

SOUTHEASTERN AMHERST COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT.

* AT 303 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

OAKVILLE...OR 6 MILES NORTH OF APPOMATTOX...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT

50 MPH.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

301 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

NORTHEASTERN CITY OF WAYNESBORO IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

GREENE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

WEST CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

SOUTH CENTRAL PAGE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

NORTHERN ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

EAST CENTRAL AUGUSTA COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN WESTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 257 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF CROZET...OR 10 MILES EAST OF LYNDHURST...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

Those winds mix down to the sfc - that's gonna be some real ass-kickin' wind gusts

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TOR on ground I think this means...

VAC003-079-113-137-139-165-540-161945-

/O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110416T1945Z/

CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE VA-ORANGE VA-GREENE VA-MADISON VA-PAGE VA-

ALBEMARLE VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-

314 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT FOR THE CITY

OF CHARLOTTESVILLE...AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN ROCKINGHAM...

NORTHEASTERN ALBEMARLE...SOUTH CENTRAL PAGE...WEST CENTRAL MADISON...

GREENE AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTIES...

AT 311 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM NEAR

STUARTS DRAFT. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FREE UNION...OR 20

MILES NORTHEAST OF LYNDHURST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH TOWARDS

STANARDSVILLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

AMICUS...

DYKE...

SAINT GEORGE...

QUINQUE...

STANARDSVILLE...

MCMULLEN...

LYDIA...

FLETCHER...

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RADAR AT 1915Z SHOWS CLASSIC SUPERCELL WITH INTENSE TORNADIC COUPLET

HEADING TOWARDS RALEIGH METRO AREA WITH POTENTIALLY DEVASTATING

EFFECTS.

TO THE S...OTHER STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FROM CNTRL NC

INTO SC...WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY EXISTS...ALONG WITH VERY

STRONG SHEAR. EXPECT STORMS ALONG THE ENTIRE LINE TO INCREASE IN

SEVERITY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID

CHANGE IN STORM CHARACTER WITH THE THREAT OF STRONG TO VIOLENT

TORNADOES OVER THE HIGH RISK AREA.

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RADAR AT 1915Z SHOWS CLASSIC SUPERCELL WITH INTENSE TORNADIC COUPLET

HEADING TOWARDS RALEIGH METRO AREA WITH POTENTIALLY DEVASTATING

EFFECTS.

TO THE S...OTHER STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY FROM CNTRL NC

INTO SC...WHERE THE GREATEST INSTABILITY EXISTS...ALONG WITH VERY

STRONG SHEAR. EXPECT STORMS ALONG THE ENTIRE LINE TO INCREASE IN

SEVERITY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID

CHANGE IN STORM CHARACTER WITH THE THREAT OF STRONG TO VIOLENT

TORNADOES OVER THE HIGH RISK AREA.

I want no part of that cell. It looks nasty.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

326 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

SOUTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST VIRGINIA...

ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 324 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES SOUTH

OF FREE UNION...OR 18 MILES EAST OF LYNDHURST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT

75 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

CHARLOTTESVILLE...

FREE UNION...

STANARDSVILLE...

MADISON...

ORANGE...

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Jefferson County in W VA is getting a decent amount of rain - I think they are also under a severe thunderstorm warning.

Shenandoah River at the RT 9 Bridge is going to be interesting on Monday morning. I'm heading there on a flood chase on Monday morning. I just gotta see those high water levels

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