earthlight Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 That looks much better.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Does the low move east out to sea from there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 There we go. GGEM looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Funny but the images I see on ewall look way different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Funny but the images I see on ewall look way different Try clearing your cache Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Does the low move east out to sea from there? Probably not. It's about to phase the vortex over Southeast Canada into the shortwave over the Southeast US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 SNE mets think future frames would be a huge it up and down the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Well, we can hug the GGEM for 12 hours at least. If the Euro looked like that, my interest would come back full force again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Try clearing your cache that did it. surprised that I had to. sry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 SNE mets think future frames would be a huge it up and down the east coast. It would be. That would be a serious HECS for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 SNE mets think future frames would be a huge it up and down the east coast. It would be close because it misses the initial chance at the phase at 162..but I do think extrapolated it would pull back west far enough to impact at least the coastal areas. That's a really potent shortwave that ejects east from the California coast. With that vortex sitting in Southeast Canada the possibilities really blossom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 It would be close because it misses the initial chance at the phase at 162..but I do think extrapolated it would pull back west far enough to impact at least the coastal areas. That's a really potent shortwave that ejects east from the California coast. With that vortex sitting in Southeast Canada the possibilities really blossom. Euro may hold that energy back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Well, we can hug the GGEM for 12 hours at least. If the Euro looked like that, my interest would come back full force again. The Pacific is a mess, and that's where the key shortwave comes from. Look at the Pacific around 90-96 hours and you will see the shortwave break off from the big ULL/gyre spinning out there. It then proceeds southeast and then east into the upper level flow before it begins interacting with the vortex around 144 hrs. My confidence is near zero in any solution that any model shows right now..we are just way too far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 CMC 126 hrs GFS 126 hrs CMC is much faster with the wave near Cali. Has it blaze east and phase with the clipper vorticity that is moving slower and hanging back on the CMC as well. The wave over Cali on the GFS is closed off and further west at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 I suppose the GGEM along with the Ukie, is third among models in consistency behind the Euro and GFS so I suppose it is something to look at and take into account...As many have said the pac is messed up and its probably going to take until late in the week to get somewhat of a handle on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 At least there is still a chance with storm #2, now that the GGEM shows some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 And from the looks of it, future frames would have that storm turning the corner at least a little bit..the SE Canada vortex is retrograding west a bit in the least couple frames, but I'm not so sure this would hit further north up the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 And from the looks of it, future frames would have that storm turning the corner at least a little bit..the SE Canada vortex is retrograding west a bit in the least couple frames, but I'm not so sure this would hit further north up the east coast I suspect with GGEM phase bias. It would phase the vortex in quickly enough for the storm to turn up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Anyone have the individual ensemble members? They looked really good for the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Anyone have the individual ensemble members? They looked really good for the 0z run. Still waiting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 GGEM would be a massive storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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