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April 15th Severe weather thread Tornado outbreak possible


janetjanet998

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http://www.emc.ncep....d_1000m_f25.gif ............ looks like we get the stuff that is currently in AR out of here by noon-ish, then the next round around 7-ish pm. could get intresting.

some of the most memorable outbreaks for Middle TN have had morning convection that departs by noon and things get a chance to destabilize again and then BOOM! 4/16/98, 4/6/06, and 4/10/09 come to mind right away.

I'm still waiting for the make up from missing Good Friday in 2009.

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1252 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF MS AND AL

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE

SERN STATES...TN AND OH VALLEYS...

..SYNOPSIS

UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WILL ADVANCE THROUGH

THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEYS FRIDAY...REACHING THE TN AND OH

VALLEYS FRIDAY NIGHT. ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL OCCLUDE OVER NRN MO

WHILE OCCLUDED/COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD THROUGH THE MID-LOWER MS

VALLEYS. THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM THE OH VALLEY INTO

THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND THE SERN STATES BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES AND TN

VALLEY DURING THE DAY.

..SERN STATES

SLY TRAJECTORIES EAST OF THE OCCLUDED LOW WILL ADVECT RICHER GULF

MOISTURE WITH MID 60S DEWPOINTS NWD THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND

PORTIONS OF SERN STATES WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO

MODERATE INSTABILITY AS BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500

TO 2000 J/KG POSSIBLE FROM PARTS OF MS INTO CNTRL/SRN AL. POTENTIAL

COMPLICATING FACTOR IS LIKELIHOOD OF ONGOING STORMS FROM WRN TN

VALLEY INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY FRIDAY. CURRENT THINKING IS

THAT STORMS MAY REINTENSIFY ALONG SRN END OF MCS AND NEW STORMS WILL

ALSO LIKELY REDEVELOP ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ACROSS MS

AND AL AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES.

STRONGER LLJ WILL SHIFT NWD THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS EARLY

FRIDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH NEWD EJECTING LEAD VORT LOBE.

HOWEVER...LLJ MAY STRENGTHEN FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS MS/AL WITHIN EXIT

REGION OF UPPER JET THAT WILL ROTATE THROUGH BASE OF UPPER

TROUGH...MAINTAINING LARGE HODOGRAPHS IN WARM SECTOR AND NEAR

RETREATING WARM FRONT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR BOTH SUPERCELL AND

BOWING STRUCTURES AS STORMS REINTENSIFY DURING THE DAY. THREAT WILL

EXIST FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WITH GREATEST

THREAT OF STRONG TORNADOES EXPECTED IN MODERATE RISK AREA. ACTIVITY

WILL SHIFT EWD THROUGH SRN PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL STATES

OVERNIGHT WITH A CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT.

..TN THROUGH MID MS AND OH VALLEYS

PARTIAL CLEARING IS EXPECTED FROM WRN TN...ERN MO INTO SRN AND CNTRL

IL IN WAKE OF EARLY CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD VORT MAX.

DIABATIC WARMING AND NWD ADVECTION OF UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60F

DEWPOINTS BENEATH COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES

WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR OF MODERATE

INSTABILITY. DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN DIVERGENT EXIT REGION

OF JET MAX ROTATING THROUGH UPPER TROUGH BASE WILL PROMOTE STORMS

REDEVELOPING ALONG EWD ADVANCING COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT FROM WRN TN NWD

THROUGH ERN MO AND IL DURING THE AFTERNOON. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR

PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED

TORNADOES POSSIBLE. ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EWD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE

TN AND OH VALLEYS BEFORE WEAKENING DURING THE EVENING AS THE

BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES.

..DIAL/COHEN.. 04/15/2011

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It looks like someone is giving a thumbs-up sign. Now I'm sure there are more inappropriate comparisons to be made, but I cant think of any right now.

something about viagra comes to mind :whistle: but, yes on a serious note, it is an odd looking Tornado map.

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Something must be going on in central Arkansas, the repeater for Skywarn and all the scanners around Little Rock went offline over the past 30 minutes

WWUS54 KLZK 150726

SVSLZK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

226 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

ARC001-025-039-053-069-079-085-117-119-150800-

/O.CON.KLZK.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-110415T0800Z/

CLEVELAND AR-LINCOLN AR-DALLAS AR-JEFFERSON AR-GRANT AR-ARKANSAS AR-

PULASKI AR-LONOKE AR-PRAIRIE AR-

226 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN

PRAIRIE...LONOKE...EASTERN PULASKI...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...

SOUTHEASTERN GRANT...JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN DALLAS...NORTHWESTERN

LINCOLN AND NORTHERN CLEVELAND COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM CDT...

...EXTREME DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED IN LONOKE COUNTY...

AT 224 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF

BALL SIZE HAIL...AND EXTREME DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 90 MPH.

THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM METO TO 5 MILES

NORTHEAST OF ENGLAND TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAMONT...MOVING EAST AT

45 MPH.

EMBEDDED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS

INCLUDE...

STUTTGART... PINE BLUFF... LONOKE...

LITTLE ROCK AFB... JACKSONVILLE... HAZEN...

WHITE HALL... WARBRITTON... WABBASEKA...

ULM... TOLTEC MOUNDS SP... TERRY LOCK AND DAM...

STUTTGART MUNI ARPT... SOUTH BEND...

SISEMORE... SCOTT... RICHARDSON...

REDFIELD...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 158 AND 198.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 530 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 18 AND 46.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH HURRICANE FORCE WIND

SPEEDS EXPECTED. MOBILE HOMES AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE

ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE AND MAY BE

OVERTURNED. MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM

WINDOWS.

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Big time winds East of Little Rock, only a couple hours from Memphis.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

240 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN WHITE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

SOUTHERN WOODRUFF COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

NORTHERN PRAIRIE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

NORTHEASTERN LONOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 330 AM CDT

* AT 238 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS SEVERE

STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF MCCREANOR...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST

OF LONOKE. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS SEVERE STORM MOVING EAST AT 50

MPH. IN ADDITION...STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MILES PER

HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE...

THURMAN... HUNTER... GEORGETOWN...

DES ARC... BARRETTSVILLE... ZENT...

WIVILLE... VINITY CORNER... PENROSE...

MORTON... MCCLELLAND... JASMINE...

HOWELL... HILLEMAN... HICKORY PLAINS...

HAYLEY... GREGORY... GRAYS...

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR

249 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

ARKANSAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

MONROE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

EASTERN PRAIRIE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

SOUTHWESTERN WOODRUFF COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 345 AM CDT

* AT 247 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE

HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS

WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF HAZEN

TO 6 MILES NORTH OF STUTTGART MUNI ARPT TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF PINE

BLUFF...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

STUTTGART... BRINKLEY... WOODVILLE...

WHITEFIELD... ULM... ST. CHARLES...

ROE... RICHARDSON... PEPPERS LANDING...

PALMER... LITTLE BAYOU METO PARK...

LANGFORD... HOLLY GROVE... HALLSVILLE...

GRADY... GILLETT... FREDONIA (BISCOE)...

ENGLISH LAKE...

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0210 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW DOWNTOWN LITTLE RO 34.76N 92.27W

04/15/2011 PULASKI AR FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NUMEROUS TREES HAVE FALLEN WITH SEVERAL TREES ON HOUSES.

GAS LINE RUPTURES HAVE OCCURED AND TWO HOUSES ARE ON

FIRE.

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG CRYSTAL SPRINGS 34.52N 93.33W

04/15/2011 GARLAND AR EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 2 FATAL *** THE TOP OF A TREE FELL ON A MOBILE

HOME...KILLING TWO OCCUPANTS.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS709 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011MSC051-053-163-151300-/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-110415T1300Z/HOLMES MS-HUMPHREYS MS-YAZOO MS-709 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR NORTHCENTRAL YAZOO...SOUTHERN HUMPHREYS AND HOLMES COUNTIES...AT 709 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TOTRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THISSEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOUISE MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO SILVERCITY...EDEN...THORNTON...COXBURG...TOLARVILLE...TCHULA...HOWARD...EBENEZER...BROZVILLE...EMORY...FRANKLIN...BOWLING GREEN...MCMILLAN...WEST...LEXINGTON AND DURANTSEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN706 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011TNC023-039-071-077-109-151245-/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0105.000000T0000Z-110415T1245Z/DECATUR TN-HENDERSON TN-CHESTER TN-HARDIN TN-MCNAIRY TN-706 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDTFOR MCNAIRY...HARDIN...EASTERN CHESTER...HENDERSON AND DECATURCOUNTIES...AT 706 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TOINDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS INEXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDINGFROM HURON TO EASTVIEW...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILESSOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SELMER...MOVING EASTAT 45 MPH.LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ACTON...ADAMSVILLE...BETHEL SPRINGS...BLUE GOOSE...CRUMP...DARDEN...DECATURVILLE...EASTVIEW...ENVILLE...FINGER...GUYS...JACKS CREEK...LEXINGTON AND MCNAIRY. THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BEECH LAKE...PIN OAK LAKE AND PINE LAKE.TO

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areas along MS river up into S IL should clear out nicely with strong 500mb low just NW

new watch south part

TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALABAMA

CENTRAL AND EASTERN LOUISIANA

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 735 AM UNTIL 300

PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND

GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE

AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE

MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF MUSCLE

SHOALS ALABAMA TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI. FOR A

COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE

UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 139...

DISCUSSION...NE-SW MS/LA SQLN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GENERALLY EWD

THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SYSTEM MAY BREAK INTO MORE SEMI-DISCRETE

STORMS/LINE SEGMENTS...AND ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM IN

CONFLUENT/MOISTENING LOW-LVL FLOW AHEAD OF LINE...AS SFC HEATING

FURTHER DESTABILIZES REGION. 12Z KJAN SOUNDING AND UPSTREAM WIND

PROFILES SUGGEST WW AREA WILL HAVE THERMODYNAMIC AND WIND

ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS AND LEWPS. THESE MAY

YIELD A COUPLE STRONG TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND AND HAIL.

STORMS IN NRN AL MAY REMAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...BUT WILL STILL HAVE

THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND PERHAPS ISOLD

TORNADOES.

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post-142-0-73870700-1302872312.gif

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0756 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF AL AND MS

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK

AREA...FROM THE CNTRL GULF CST INTO THE MID MS AND LWR OH VLYS...

..SYNOPSIS

POTENT CNTRL KS UPR LOW EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY E INTO CNTRL MO THIS

EVE BEFORE CONTINUING E INTO CNTRL/NRN IL EARLY SAT. AS THIS

OCCURS...BAND OF 75+ KT 500 MB FLOW ON S SIDE OF SYSTEM EXPECTED TO

SPREAD E ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY LATER TODAY...AND NE ACROSS THE TN

VLY/SRN APPALACHIANS EARLY SATURDAY.

AT THE SFC...STRONG LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR KTOP SHOULD MOVE NNE TO

NEAR KMKE BY 12Z SAT AS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SWEEPS E ACROSS THE

OZARKS AND MID/LWR MS VLY LATER TODAY...AND ENE ACROSS THE OH AND TN

VLYS EARLY SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A NE-SW SQLN THAT EVOLVED

FROM STORMS OVER OK AND AR YESTERDAY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A

SIGNIFICANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT SHOULD BECOME QSTNRY FROM LA NEWD

INTO CNTRL MS/AL BY AFTERNOON. AT THE SAME TIME...A WEAK FRONT

MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF RELATIVELY RICH RETURN FLOW WILL ADVANCE

ENE ACROSS MS THIS MORNING...ACROSS AL LATER TODAY...AND INTO GA

TONIGHT/EARLY SAT.

..SERN STATES

SLY FLOW AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND DECELERATING SQLN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY

WILL ALLOW INCREASINGLY RICH /PW AOA 1.25 INCHES/ MOISTURE TO SPREAD

NWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF CST REGION. COUPLED WITH MODEST DAYTIME

HEATING...THIS SHOULD YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE OF

1500-2000 J/KG LIKELY BY AFTERNOON FROM ERN LA AND CNTRL/SRN MS AND

AL.

ONGOING SQLN NOW IN NRN/WRN MS SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY ENEWD

THROUGH MIDDAY. THE NRN PART MAY SOMEWHAT WEAKEN AND BECOME

SLIGHTLY ELEVATED UPON ENCOUNTERING PARTLY MODIFIED POLAR AIR IN NRN

AL. BUT STORMS IN THE SRN PART MAY INTENSIFY AND BECOME SOMEWHAT

MORE DISCRETE AS THEY ENCOUNTER DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER OVER

ERN LA AND CNTRL/SRN MS. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY FORM AHEAD OF THIS

ACTIVITY IN MOISTENING WARM SECTOR EWD INTO AL.

WHILE THE STRONGEST LOW-LVL FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO SHIFT NWD INTO

THE TN AND OH VLYS TODAY AHEAD OF KS/MO UPR LOW...AMPLE /40-50 KT/

CONFLUENT LOW-LVL FLOW WILL REMAIN/OVER MS/AL TO MAINTAIN

LONG...HOOKED HODOGRAPHS...ESPECIALLY AS STRONGER MID/UPR LVL FLOW

OVERSPREADS REGION A TOWARD MIDDAY. POTENTIAL WILL THEREFORE EXIST

FOR SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS/LEWPS POSING A THREAT FOR

TORNADOES...DMGG WIND...AND HAIL. ONE OR TWO OF THE TORNADOES COULD

BE STRONG AND LONG-LIVED GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD THAT ONE OR TWO

DISCRETE STORMS WILL EVOLVE IN THE MOISTURE-RICH/STRONGLY-SHEARED

ENVIRONMENT OVER PARTS OF MS AND AL. THE SVR THREAT LIKELY WILL

PERSIST...ALBEIT IN A SOMEWHAT DIMINISHED FORM...THROUGH EARLY

SATURDAY AS THE BAND OF CONFLUENT LOW-LVL FLOW AND MOISTURE RETURN

PROGRESSES E INTO GA AND THE WRN CAROLINAS.

..TN INTO THE MID MS AND OH VLYS

PARTIAL CLEARING SHOULD SPREAD NEWD FROM ACROSS ERN MO AND ERN AR

INTO PARTS OF IL...WRN KY...AND WRN TN IN WAKE OF OVERNIGHT SQLN.

DAYTIME HEATING AND MID-LVL COOLING /500 MB TEMPS AOB MINUS 15C/

ATOP LOW-LVL MOIST AXIS /WITH UPR 50S TO LOW 60S F

DEWPOINTS/ SHOULD YIELD A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR OF MODERATE

INSTABILITY...WITH MLCAPE AOA 1000 J/KG.

FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH UPR VORT NOW OVER NE OK WILL

OVERSPREAD REGION AROUND TIME OF MAX HEATING. THIS SHOULD FOSTER

STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG AND PERHAPS AHEAD OF EWD-MOVING COLD

FRONT FROM FAR ERN MO/NE AR INTO WRN TN...WRN KY AND SRN/CNTRL IL BY

AFTERNOON. AMPLE DEEP SSWLY SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH

PROFILES EXPECTED TO BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS.

EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS COULD YIELD LARGE HAIL IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES.

THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE E ACROSS PARTS OF THE TN AND OH VLYS BEFORE

WEAKENING DURING THE EVE.

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