NaoPos Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 from reed timmer: "We chased the tornado into extreme western Alabama, and are now heading back to Jackson.. The scene in Leakesville was really scary. Thought it was going to be Yazoo all over again. There was a massive transformer fire just outside of town, a car blown off the road with the occupants uninjured, but thankfully it looked like the core of the tornado was barely north of town." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 100 preliminary tornado reports - just hit 100 at 10 pm. WHEW! unreal... enough to call this a "super" outbreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 100 preliminary tornado reports - just hit 100 at 10 pm. I knew for a few days this event had the potential to be intense but I didn't think it would be this prolific. Good job by all here on the board. I especially appreciate radar images from software I do not have and reports from chasers and spotters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 100 preliminary tornado reports - just hit 100 at 10 pm. I still see 78 reports? Pretty impressive though, this could be on the scale (in terms of # of tornadoes - not intensity or fatalities) or Super Tuesday. Would certainly be the largest outbreak in the deep south since 3/1/07. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Sorry meant from last night and tonight They arent flitering tornado reports by location, either, correct? Looks at first glance like there are a few same storm reports, but will be hard to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 82 preliminary reports of tornadoes from today alone. I wonder what the final number of preliminary reports of tornadoes for today will be. Probably around 140-150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 ALC017-037-051-123-160515- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0089.000000T0000Z-110416T0515Z/ ELMORE AL-COOSA AL-TALLAPOOSA AL-CHAMBERS AL- 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CHAMBERS...CENTRAL TALLAPOOSA...SOUTHEASTERN COOSA AND NORTHEASTERN ELMORE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT... AT 1131 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE IN NORTHERN ELMORE COUNTY. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR EQUALITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DADEVILLE...CAMP HILL...WIND CREEK STATE PARK...STILL WATERS RESORT...JACKSONS' GAP...JACKSONS GAP...WAVERLY...RIDGE GROVE... WEST CHAMBERS AND STURKIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 ALC017-037-051-123-160515- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0089.000000T0000Z-110416T0515Z/ ELMORE AL-COOSA AL-TALLAPOOSA AL-CHAMBERS AL- 1134 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CHAMBERS...CENTRAL TALLAPOOSA...SOUTHEASTERN COOSA AND NORTHEASTERN ELMORE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM CDT... AT 1131 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO WITH SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE IN NORTHERN ELMORE COUNTY. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR EQUALITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DADEVILLE...CAMP HILL...WIND CREEK STATE PARK...STILL WATERS RESORT...JACKSONS' GAP...JACKSONS GAP...WAVERLY...RIDGE GROVE... WEST CHAMBERS AND STURKIE. How much more siginificant damage is going to be done? Well at least the casuality rate stayed down. I hope it stays like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Looks more broad now on that cell... Defin better parameters as you go down into AL/MS That same type of cell placed down there with that same signature would be trouble. LCL there might be higher - with the GA cells. Still some major hailers with the baseball reports. Impressive considering the CAPE values. That NE Gomex eddy is in full swing this year. It's right under the 4500 on your chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Storm Relative image from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1153 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... SOUTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... NORTHERN TALLAPOOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... * UNTIL 1245 AM CDT * AT 1149 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR JACKSONS' GAP...OR 6 MILES EAST OF ALEXANDER CITY. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED THIS STORM!! TAKE COVER NOW TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE!! * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAFAYETTE...STROUD...ROANOKE...NEW SITE...RIDGE GROVE...TRAMMEL CROSSROADS...SPARKLING SPRINGS...WADLEY...PENTON AND ABANDA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 ALC035-039-053-160545- /O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0083.000000T0000Z-110416T0545Z/ ESCAMBIA AL-COVINGTON AL-CONECUH AL- 1155 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CONECUH...CENTRAL COVINGTON AND EASTERN ESCAMBIA COUNTIES... AT 1149 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS NEAR LONDON...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF BREWTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS TORNADIC CIRCULATION HAS STRENGTHENED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PAST FIVE MINUTES AND APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING INTO A DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM! THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... NYMPH AROUND MIDNIGHT CDT... JOHNSONVILLE AROUND 1205 AM CDT... PAUL...MOUNT UNION AND BROOKLYN AROUND 1215 AM CDT... MELROSE AROUND 1220 AM CDT... LOANGO AROUND 1225 AM CDT... RHUMP AND RED LEVEL AROUND 1230 AM CDT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 I wonder if there were more tornadoes today than there was during the Super Tuesday Outbreak 2008 three years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 BTW there have been four fatalities (all in AL) from today's tornadoes - one in Marengo Co where a mobile home was tossed 1/4 of a mile - and 3 in Washington Co from the Leakesville storm. In total from this system there have been 13 total fatalities, including the Tushka tornado and 7 fatalities in AR overnight from the derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Up to 122 tornado reports (90 today) I guessed 96 total for the two days before it started and thought I'd bust high after yesterday, guess not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Probably the first time I have ever seen this... SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1220 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011 ALC017-111-123-160545- /O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0090.000000T0000Z-110416T0545Z/ TALLAPOOSA AL-CHAMBERS AL-RANDOLPH AL- 1220 AM CDT SAT APR 16 2011 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN RANDOLPH... NORTHERN CHAMBERS AND NORTHERN TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT... AT 1217 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ACROSS SEVERAL COUNTIES! THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ABANDA...OR 10 MILES WEST OF ROANOKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... STROUD...ROANOKE...FREDONIA...LAKEVIEW...WELCH...POST OAK FORKS... VEASEY CREEK PARK...AMITY PARK...CRYSTAL LAKE AND SOUTHERN HARBOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Up to 122 tornado reports (90 today) I guessed 96 total for the two days before it started and thought I'd bust high after yesterday, guess not. I bet if we include tomorrow, my over 125 could possibly verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Are they trying to say, its had a path across several counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Are they trying to say, its had a path across several counties? That would be my guess, which if true is very significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 If that long track Alabama supercell can hold together when it crosses the border its 50 miles from Atlanta Metro. Effective Helicity values are maxed out in the vicinity of this supercell across eastern Alabama and are quite high all the way to Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 That would be my guess, which if true is very significant. Maybe meterology programs need an extra semester of technical writing. Only joking, I know from my job in a stressful situation what you compose in your brain doesn't make it to your fingertips with 100% accuracy all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 91 preliminary reports today. That is the same number as the final preliminary reports from April 7, 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 91 preliminary reports today. That is the same number as the final preliminary reports from April 7, 2006. Just a reminder that the comparisons aren't apples to apples Please note: On March 8, 2011, the proximity space/time rule is no longer being utilized to de-duplicate events and minimal filtering is now applied to the decoded reports. All comments/remarks in the LSRs are captured on the raw files and the users can decide, for their own purposes, the best way to remove duplicate reports from the LSR's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackjack123 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Just a reminder that the comparisons aren't apples to apples I know what you mean but this is still one hell of an event anyway you look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Cell heading toward the Northern side of Atlanta metro. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 210 AM EDT SAT APR 16 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... COBB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DOUGLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA EAST CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA * UNTIL 300 AM EDT * AT 206 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WHITESBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CHATTAHOOCHEE HILL COUNTRY...DOUGLASVILLE...LITHIA SPRINGS... AUSTELL...POWDER SPRINGS...SMYRNA...MARIETTA AND BUCKHEAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CUmet Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Quite an eventful day, to say the least. Before this morning, while I recognized the potential for this to become a major tornado outbreak given the mid-level cooling and the bullish SREF parameters, there were still some question marks regarding whether the LLJ axis would shift too far east and whether the helicity would be good enough for an upper-end event. It started to become clear during yesterday's model runs that the LLJ would hang back at around the MS/AL border, allowing a region of overlap with substantial instability in the warm sector. Honestly, I wasn't completely convinced of this verifying until this morning, when it became clear from the HRRR/RUC runs and the developing cells advancing faster than the LLJ. The few cells that stayed potent along and east of I-65 still somewhat puzzles me though, given that the instability (even in the lower-levels) was cut so much there. It seems that this does happen from time to time with extreme-helicity events. This event, as well as the last few, have really illustrated the point that while there are such things as nearly-certain, slam-dunk tornado outbreaks (the really, really big ones come to mind)...most events (or non-events) have at least a few question marks regarding some aspect of it. That's just the nature of convective forecasting I guess. However, it is possible most times to get a decent grasp of how much potential an event has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 I'm a little sick and tired of this d parade of storms (since Feb?). Seems like a good sized storm at least once a week, and just plain rain, damp conditions, brief warmups. No sure when this pattern will break, but why couldn't this be Jan/Feb when we had the cold air. :LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Once the ATL tornado warning expires it will be the first time the U.S. has gone without a tornado warning somewhere for at least 16 (if not more) hours. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Once the ATL tornado warning expires it will be the first time the U.S. has gone without a tornado warning somewhere for at least 16 (if not more) hours. Not bad. Really put this outbreak into perspective. Simply amazing and still not over per tomorrow's action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
28storms Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Video clip of todays tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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