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April 15-16 Severe Weather threat


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The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...

north central Harnett County in central North Carolina

northeastern Lee County in central North Carolina

eastern Chatham County in central North Carolina

southwestern Wake County in central North Carolina

southeastern Durham County in central North Carolina

* until 400 PM EDT

*at 310 PM... Doppler radar indicated a tornado over northern Lee

County just northwest of Sanford. This is an extremely dangerous and

life threatening situation. Seek shelter now.

* Locations impacted include...

Holly Springs... New Hill...

apex... Cary...

Lake Wheeler... Garner...

Raleigh...

11hvz1w.jpg

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19Z Severe Weather Analysis updated. Raleigh-Durham, Wilmington, DC, and Richmond are showing the highest instability at this hour, with Raleigh-Durham and Wilmington with the highest potential. 0-3KM SRH around 450-525 m/s, with 0-1KM Shear steady around 45kts. Convective gusts around 65-70kts and hail size up to 2.5" is possible. Analysis uploaded http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf

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If you're talking about the cell heading for Raleigh, it shows no signs of cycling/weakening, debris ball still evident for the 5th scan in a row.

Yea you're right. Reflectivity looked iffy for a bit, but just keeps chugging. Even more impressive by the minute

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC

326 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

HOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

NORTHERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 322 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

TORNADO OVER SILVER CITY...OR OVER RAEFORD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55

MPH. DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE ALSO

LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

FORT BRAGG...BONNIE DOONE...

SPRING LAKE...FAYETTEVILLE...

WADE...

LINDEN...GODWIN...

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ILM dropped the Tornado Warning, but a chaser live on WPDE just reported the wall cloud has begun to rotate.

Scratch that. ILM just put back the Tornado Warning for Dillon, SC and Robeson, SC. Spotter on the ground still seeing rotation in the cloud, but no funnel yet.

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At my parents in Sanford for the day. We got the core here at their house. Had a brief period of quarter sized hail and some gusts to 45-50 mph. The tor signature went about 3-4 miles to our east per radar. Wow way to close.

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Approaching Holly Springs at this time.

Should start seeing hail or it is hailing in the Holly Spring area to Apex area.

OEM telling people in Holly Springs to take shelter now. Looks bad for that area.

Report per amateur radio Skywarn net of .25" to .5" hail in Apex.

Report also of construction debris in the air at Laura Duncan Rd/US 64 in Apex.

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