Thunderdude Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Well I think the wind advisory will probably do justice for the over all synoptic wind threat. I don't see widespread 40 mph sustained and 58+mph wind gusts outside of convection tonight. And any damaging winds with a low-topped squall line tonight will be covered by severe thunderstorm warnings. I hope it is not going one those low-topped convention that will produce no lightning. Those are more events remind me in the fall and sometimes winter. Elevated Convention more I like to see they at least produce lightning and can have some gusty winds along with very heavy rains. Heavy rain and winds of regardless of what kind of convention will be impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Winds just got crazy here in brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Only good news from this miserable crap is that 12z euro has this all ending a little after midnight. With sunny skies all day tomorrow. Heaviest period of rain from now thru 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Wow...I'd have to say the High Risk was warranted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Wow...I'd have to say the High Risk was warranted WTF is going on down there, this is a super outbreak for NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 WTF is going on down there, this is a super outbreak for NC It's been wild...downtown Raleigh took what looked to be a direct impact from a very impressive couplet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 It's been wild...downtown Raleigh took what looked to be a direct impact from a very impressive couplet. yeah this what happened before Raleigh got hit http://twitpic.com/4lpcd8 hopefully the tornado weakened after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 20Z RUC has the 0.25" isohyet over KNYC at 03Z Sunday, not something you see all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 winds are out of control, hww should be up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 winds are out of control, hww should be up. Not yet, definitely wind advisory level out there now. Though that heavy convection could set us up with HWW SWS type stuff later. I saw a guy's cab get blown off his pickup truck and right into the bay on the loop parkway man I wish I had that on video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Not yet, definitely wind advisory level out there now. Though that heavy convection could set us up with HWW SWS type stuff later. I saw a guy's cab get blown off his pickup truck and right into the bay on the loop parkway man I wish I had that on video. One I'll never forget is 3/13 last year when all the trees came down and even parts of people's roofs. Probably most of all I remember the constant sound of sirens for 12+ hours and my neighbor's transformer exploding and almost setting our houses on fire, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Thunder here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 This convection is really going to bring down intense winds especially with the LLJ approaching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 This convection is really going to bring down intense winds especially with the LLJ approaching. It's not even raining for real yet here and the winds are howling like crazy out there. And I'm supposed to go to dinner with friends in an hour lol. Should be an interesting drive/walk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 It's not even raining for real yet here and the winds are howling like crazy out there. And I'm supposed to go to dinner with friends in an hour lol. Should be an interesting drive/walk. Well I have been shouting for a day that a warning is needed and everyone said it wasn't going to be necessary. We shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Well I have been shouting for a day that a warning is needed and everyone said it wasn't going to be necessary. We shall see Radar looks wicked. Would be surprised if a hww doesnt verify and close to 2" of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Just had a pretty close lightning strike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Radar looks wicked. Would be surprised if hww don't verify and close to 2" of rain. That second line that extends from central Pa. down thru Md. and into Va. is going to slap us around some after the first section rolls thru. That second line has a tor.warning now west of washington. It won't have that punch up here tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmc10 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Down here in Delaware we had some heavy rain and a few claps of thunder. Some gusts maybe around 45-50mph. Nothing crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 Well I have been shouting for a day that a warning is needed and everyone said it wasn't going to be necessary. We shall see I really do not see the need for a high wind warning. I haven't seen any gusts greater than 45 mph and any high wind gusts will come with an embedded thunderstorm/squall line...that warrants a Severe thunderstorm warning, not a high wind warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 I really do not see the need for a high wind warning. I haven't seen any gusts greater than 45 mph and any high wind gusts will come with an embedded thunderstorm/squall line...that warrants a Severe thunderstorm warning, not a high wind warning Strongly agree.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 I really do not see the need for a high wind warning. I haven't seen any gusts greater than 45 mph and any high wind gusts will come with an embedded thunderstorm/squall line...that warrants a Severe thunderstorm warning, not a high wind warning you are assuming they will be severe storms and not just stronger storms with intense precip that bring down the wind, in which case no storm warning will get issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 Looking at KOKX Storm Total, flash flood conditions nearing in far northern Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 Looking at KOKX Storm Total, flash flood conditions nearing in far northern Jersey. Yup. The amount of rain we are about to get is astonishing. And after first big round, severe storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 you are assuming they will be severe storms and not just stronger storms with intense precip that bring down the wind, in which case no storm warning will get issued. In which case it would be a missed thunderstorm warning by the NWS?? lol I really don't understand what you are getting at here. Isolated strong wind gusts brought down in heavy rain bands/thunderstorms even if they are low-topped with no lightning/thunder are not what high wind warnings are issued for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 We've already exceeded guidance in terms of rainfall and its absolutly pouring. Just drove home from Jefferson and I could hardly see on Rt. 80. All of the rivers and streams in the area are rising rapidly. The Sadle River at Upper Saddle river looks like it might break record stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 Radar lloks like a mini Bertha of 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 It seems like the back edge is starting to move fairly quickly. Depending on whether that 2nd line makes it here most of the heaviest stuff could be out of here by 1 or 2am. We'll still see alot of 1.5 to 2.5" amounts I think. We've already exceeded guidance in terms of rainfall and its absolutly pouring. Just drove home from Jefferson and I could hardly see on Rt. 80. All of the rivers and streams in the area are rising rapidly. The Sadle River at Upper Saddle river looks like it might break record stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 estimated current dopplar radar over me right now is 1.2"+ per/hr - Current estimated total rainfall is ~2". I would be shocked if I didn't get over 3". The second line behind that extends all the way back to State College, PA. This is going to be going on for quite a long time at varying intensities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 17, 2011 Share Posted April 17, 2011 The heaviest is pushing through right now but I suspect it will let up soon and give us a break if only temporary. estimated current dopplar radar over me right now is 1.2"+ per/hr - Current estimated total rainfall is ~2". I would be shocked if I didn't get over 3". The second line behind that extends all the way back to State College, PA. This is going to be going on for quite a long time at varying intensities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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