janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2011 Author Share Posted April 14, 2011 They had a PDS watch for the storms in WI this past weekend, so PDS watches don't always signify a high risk day. I really don't know what they didn't go up to HIGH to be honest with this set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Anyone else think these cells are a little too close to stay discrete for that long? Absolutely not. You will get dominant cells out of this and they will absorb the smaller ones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Reed has his glasses on. Hope he gets some good footage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The situation in WI was not a great setup. It was a progressive storm with upper support disjointed to the surface low. THIS situation is much different, and in my opinion the potential is much greater for large long track tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The situation in WI was not a great setup. It was a progressive storm with upper support disjointed to the surface low. THIS situation is much different, and in my opinion the potential is much greater for large long track tornadoes. Agreed, this setup makes the WI setup look pretty pathetic, IMO. No positive tilt junk here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Cell near Ralston has tops of about 45kft and is still in the developing phase. Looks like those 55kft tops in the PDS watch will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 rotation showing up pretty good on radar now...first tornado warning coming very soon Edit : The cell just below it is rotating as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Storm just east of Harrah OK looks nasty on radar. Looks like it will be soon for it. Storm north of Springer OK looks interesting too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 They had a PDS watch for the storms in WI this past weekend, so PDS watches don't always signify a high risk day. No I agree, however this time I think its warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 it is a beautiful setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The situation in WI was not a great setup. It was a progressive storm with upper support disjointed to the surface low. THIS situation is much different, and in my opinion the potential is much greater for large long track tornadoes. Those situations where the H5 vortmax sort of "kicks out" are usually the best set ups because you have great height falls, dynamics, etc that go along with it. If you loop H5, you'll see what I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Tulsa looks to get hit head on in the next hour or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Storm near Murray OK is ominious looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 That srn cell near Ardmore looks nice. That has all the fuel in the world to tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Cell near Sulphur is developing some rotation. Keep an eye out for the chasers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 That srn cell near Ardmore looks nice. That has all the fuel in the world to tap. I have my eye on that as well. I wonder if any chaser made a play on it at the risk of missing all the cells north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSoxFan Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Very nice. Wow that is a beautiful satellite shot... just looks like the atmosphere is about to explode over Eastern Oklahoma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Some guidance hinting at the potential for recharge along the dryline and multiple rounds of deep convection 1-2 hours apart similar to mountain convection popping off high peaks/ranges induced by slope flows in the Rockies. Should this happen--and considering the already healthy first line of supercell development--I would not be surprised to see a late upgrade by SPC to a high risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSoxFan Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 I have my eye on that as well. I wonder if any chaser made a play on it at the risk of missing all the cells north? TexasChaser.com from TornadoVideos.net is on the storm, looks impressive on the live cam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 "Texas chaser" is all over the southern cell. Spotters are starting to converge: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Absolutely classic dryline satellite photo and set up for storms this evening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSoxFan Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Southern cell looks like its trying to produce a tornado (via TexasChaser.com), can see an appendage under the wall cloud on the live cam. Looks like a Tornado Warning is not far away on this cell. EDIT - Now its gone, showed up briefly on the cam, but it went back up in the clouds. Storm looks close to producing nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Cells near Davis and Pawnee have my attention... One near Davis appears the more likely candidate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wierdo Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Southern cell looks like its trying to produce a tornado (via TexasChaser.com), can see an appendage under the wall cloud on the live cam. Looks like a Tornado Warning is not far away on this cell. It had a pretty good couplet going a few minutes back.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The latest metar reports show inflow into this storm near Ardmore. Definitely trying to setup it's own environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Davis cell is becoming more organized. Good amount of spotters on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSoxFan Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Randy Denzer and TexasChaser.com have a great shot of a lowering on that Davis, OK cell. That cell is trying very hard to produce right now, just waiting. The structure on the cell looks amazing nonetheless! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The situation in WI was not a great setup. It was a progressive storm with upper support disjointed to the surface low. THIS situation is much different, and in my opinion the potential is much greater for large long track tornadoes. I agree... I was just alluding to the fact there was a PDS watch in a less favorable setup, so they do often occur in Moderate Risk setups. No I agree, however this time I think its warranted. Just looking at the initial batch of supercells... I have to agree. This is going to be a pretty nasty evening, and a great setup for storm chasers, as these storms are relatively slow movers for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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