SEMIweather Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The CU field is looking rather impressive. Trust me; it's very impressive and we will have initiation by 21z at the latest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 They should go HIGH risk. This is the best setup of all the systems this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Looks like some returns trying to show up in eastern Oklahoma, extreme northern Payne, and northern Pottawatomie counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Trust me; it's very impressive and we will have initiation by 21z at the latest. Powder keg... Would love to be able to stick around for some virtual chasing, but I'm actually headed out and away from the computer for the night. Enjoy the show, and good luck to all in the path (chasers and public alike). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The IPV max (blue) just looks sick on WV with a deepening stratospheric intrusion pretty clearly evident. The mass field adjustment and increase in the ageostrophic flow associated with the increasingly divergent jet streak (orange) is going to fuel this outbreak over OK. I honestly can't believe what I am seeing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Wont be much longer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2011 Author Share Posted April 14, 2011 looks like storm initiation in central KS near the triple point in the warm sector wedge and also almost storm initiation just east of OKC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wierdo Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Something sure is going to have to make up for not having a lot of moisture. Tulsa has 78/59 Tulsa has a couple more hours before anything is likely to develop, so I don't think it'll be an issue at all. We'll probably get up to 63/64 before we see any weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Wont be much longer... Thats sick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 some decent echoes now showing up on higher tilts along I-44 southwest of CQB and just northwest of SWO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 storms popping just east of I-35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted April 14, 2011 Author Share Posted April 14, 2011 rapid discrete storm initiation now in OK in several places along the whole dry line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 And we're off. Strap in everybody! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Have to agree that this is the best setup so far this year... 500mb Analysis: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Looks like storms firing North and East of OKC and down near Ardmore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Wonder why they didnt go high risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 dry lines are awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Looks like first cell's developing in Noble and Carter Co. OK. Let's see how long it takes to go Severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Dang! - Noble Co storm already looks like it is developing a hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Weak low level rotation in the Noble Co storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Here we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 The IPV max (blue) just looks sick on WV with a deepening stratospheric intrusion pretty clearly evident. The mass field adjustment and increase in the ageostrophic flow associated with the increasingly divergent jet streak (orange) is going to fuel this outbreak over OK. I honestly can't believe what I am seeing here. You said it, brother. Look how that jet intensifies over ern KS by 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Storm NW of Pawnee is getting its act together quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derek30 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Here we go... All those cells seem to have that supercell look already. Even the ones with low DBZ's. Everything is rotating quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Storm NW of Pawnee is getting its act together quickly. Yeah, 68 dBZ with a rotation of 30 kt at 10,000 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 First Severe Thunderstorm warning issued.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 Anyone else think these cells are a little too close to stay discrete for that long? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 I'll be honest with the PDS watch out, I am a bit surprised they didn't go to a High risk. They had a PDS watch for the storms in WI this past weekend, so PDS watches don't always signify a high risk day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Stough Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 This is going to be a "busy" day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusfront Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 How bad does Joplin mo look to be hit by all this today and tonight ,i.e Tornadic storm wise around our area??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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