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Severe threat april 14, Tornado outbreak possible


janetjanet998

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Wow...

4.25" hail and a "stovepipe" tornado!

625 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

OKC005-013-069-095-150030-

/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T0030Z/

BRYAN OK-JOHNSTON OK-MARSHALL OK-ATOKA OK-

625 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN ATOKA...NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL...SOUTHERN JOHNSTON AND

NORTHERN BRYAN COUNTIES...

AT 623 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO OBSERVED A TORNADO JUST

SOUTH OF TISHOMINGO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PERSONS NEAR THE

NORTHERN PORTION OF LAKE TEXOMA...MILBURN...AND FOLSOM NEED TO TAKE

IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS. DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...THE SIZE OF

GRAPEFRUIT...WILL OCCUR IN AND NEAR TISHOMINGO AND FILLMORE.

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dryline creeping back west over OK..almost over Norman now...another bounary noving in from the west(see radar)

Yeah noticed that. It looks like it is getting ready to load up again. Especially if you look at the visible. Storms are beginning to fire to the far West and South of OKC.

Strong Jet core of 100kts + is about to round the ULL. I think southeastern OK from about TUL south will see the more nasty weather as time goes on. Especially, when the LLJ starts to kick in later tonight. NE TX could get into the action later tonight also. I am concerned about night time tornadoes. I think the initial line of supercells will race off to the NNE and slow die out, but will be replaced by other supercells later, as we are seeing now.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

625 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

OKC005-013-069-095-150030-

/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-110415T0030Z/

BRYAN OK-JOHNSTON OK-MARSHALL OK-ATOKA OK-

625 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN ATOKA...NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL...SOUTHERN JOHNSTON AND

NORTHERN BRYAN COUNTIES...

AT 623 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO OBSERVED A TORNADO JUST

SOUTH OF TISHOMINGO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PERSONS NEAR THE

NORTHERN PORTION OF LAKE TEXOMA...MILBURN...AND FOLSOM NEED TO TAKE

IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS. DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...THE SIZE OF

GRAPEFRUIT...WILL OCCUR IN AND NEAR TISHOMINGO AND FILLMORE.

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You like to speak in absolutes a little too much for this science. I disagree and think it's well underway.

You have extremely discrete activity going on from Tulsa south in an environment of strengthening low-level shear and deep-layer shear vectors perpendicular to the dryline. It may happen in a few hours, and it's probably happening N of Tulsa, but S of there, there is no way.

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You have extremely discrete activity going on from Tulsa south in an environment of strengthening low-level shear and deep-layer shear vectors perpendicular to the dryline. It may happen in a few hours, and it's probably happening N of Tulsa, but S of there, there is no way.

thank you for doing that.

someone needed too

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You have extremely discrete activity going on from Tulsa south in an environment of strengthening low-level shear and deep-layer shear vectors perpendicular to the dryline. It may happen in a few hours, and it's probably happening N of Tulsa, but S of there, there is no way.

They're on the demise from Tulsa on north, and the collusion (if you will) of discrete cells continues to spread down the line (even to the latitude of OKC at this point imo). Of course there's going to be a few more hours of discrete cells towards the southern end, but overall the storm mode is changing, and that's all I'm saying...

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638 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN ATOKA...SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON AND EXTREME NORTHERN BRYAN

COUNTIES...

AT 636 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO OBSERVED A TORNADO JUST

SOUTH OF MILBURN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PERSONS NEAR AND EAST OF

MILBURN SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS!

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I see Ian in lurking. Are those 'chase juices' flowing yet?

im always nostalgic this time of year.. tx was my real intro to big weather (so cal doesnt really count). knowing ill be out there in a few weeks does make me yearn a little more on a day like this. :P

overshooting storm and fire tops.. great shots this eve.

post-1615-0-54724800-1302824511.jpg

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first t-storm warning for "round two: for new storm alogn dry line on SOK..

new RUC has almost no CIN over the warm sector most of the night..storms may be surface based then all night rather then above an inversion layer which oftten happens

as low level shear anf moisture continue to increase

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The atmosphere over OK and TX is so unstable - look at the convective cloud forming over the fires in TX.

We had this in AZ several times during our summer thunderstorm season, it was extremely impressive.

Radar is even more epic. You can see echos flowing out of a single point.

LBB_loop.gif

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