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Severe threat april 14, Tornado outbreak possible


janetjanet998

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I'm having flashbacks to a time in the 90's when exactly that happened. Multiple rounds of storms developed and moved off the dryline and stayed supercellular. Produced tornado reports and severe reports in Oklahoma but Joplin was on the north side of the 'warm front', the storms became elevated wind machines as well as large hail producers. There were at least 3 rounds that came through here, each one producing wind and hail.

I'm curious if the instability will reach Joplin since the dewpoint has fallen to 47 after reaching 51 earlier in the day. We appear to be fighting dry air from the east.

Latest SPC MCD mentioning the threat for recharge along the dryline and another batch of supercells.

" LATEST RUC GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING THAT THE DRYLINE WILL REMAIN STATIONARY INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS CNTRL/SRN OK...AND POTENTIALLY BE NUDGED WWD A BIT. THIS MAY SERVE TO FOCUS ANOTHER ATTEMPT AT CONVECTIVE INITIATION AFTER 00Z AS AN AREA OF DEEP-LAYER ASCENT APPROACHES. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST EXPERIMENTAL HRRR GUIDANCE...AND THESE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A PERSISTENT SEVERE THREAT INTO THE EVENING ACROSS THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH."

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High populated area

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

529 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EASTERN CREEK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

SOUTHERN TULSA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF KELLYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30

MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...

KELLYVILLE...SAPULPA...MOUNDS...KIEFER...GLENPOOL...JENKS...BIXBY

AND TULSA.

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Anybody on this storm? Video?

I'm still fairly far ne of the storm. all that can be seen where I am is a rain curtain. Media reports rotation with no funnel cloud as of yet. Nickel size hail also.

It seems to have taken a right turn, so everything but the rain willl miss me south.

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OKC029-063-069-123-142315-

/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0031.000000T0000Z-110414T2315Z/

COAL OK-HUGHES OK-JOHNSTON OK-PONTOTOC OK-

601 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT

FOR EASTERN PONTOTOC...NORTHERN JOHNSTON...SOUTHERN HUGHES AND COAL

COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A LARGE

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES SOUTH OF GERTY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SOFTBALL SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. PERSONS NEAR AND SOUTH OF GERTY NEED TO

TAKE SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A STORM THAT COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO IS ALSO LOCATED BETWEEN

PONTOTOC AND JESSE...ALSO MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

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