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Severe threat april 14, Tornado outbreak possible


janetjanet998

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I'm honestly a little surprised that a couple of the cells are rotating as vigorously as they are right now, given that the 0-1km helicities are still pretty meager. This bodes well for a couple hours down the road when the LLJ cranks up.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

409 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 406 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BURBANK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHIDLER

AND FORAKER.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

412 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

PONTOTOC COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

SOUTHEASTERN GARVIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...

NORTHEASTERN MURRAY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 412 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE

THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR DAVIS...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ADA...DAVIS...FITZHUGH...

HICKORY...ROFF...SULPHUR AND VANOSS.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

416 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

OKC113-142145-

/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110414T2145Z/

OSAGE OK-

416 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN

OSAGE COUNTY...

AT 414 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO

TRACK A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED NEAR SHIDLER...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW!

SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHIDLER

AND FORAKER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. IF NO

UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE TAKE COVER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR IN

AN INTERIOR ROOM AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

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Not good.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

AT 414 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS AND STORM SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO

TRACK A VERY DANGEROUS TORNADO LOCATED NEAR SHIDLER...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED...TAKE COVER NOW!

SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...SHIDLER

AND FORAKER.

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Some guidance hinting at the potential for recharge along the dryline and multiple rounds of deep convection 1-2 hours apart similar to mountain convection popping off high peaks/ranges induced by slope flows in the Rockies. Should this happen--and considering the already healthy first line of supercell development--I would not be surprised to see a late upgrade by SPC to a high risk.

I'm having flashbacks to a time in the 90's when exactly that happened. Multiple rounds of storms developed and moved off the dryline and stayed supercellular. Produced tornado reports and severe reports in Oklahoma but Joplin was on the north side of the 'warm front', the storms became elevated wind machines as well as large hail producers. There were at least 3 rounds that came through here, each one producing wind and hail.

I'm curious if the instability will reach Joplin since the dewpoint has fallen to 47 after reaching 51 earlier in the day. We appear to be fighting dry air from the east.

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new storm

OKC113-117-142200-

/O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0005.110414T2127Z-110414T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

427 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

PAWNEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 423 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A

TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLACKBURN...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS

427 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

EASTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

SOUTHWESTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 426 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 4

MILES SOUTH OF DEXTER...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINFIELD. A

TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS

DANGEROUS STORM MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

428 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

OKC113-142145-

/O.CON.KTSA.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-110414T2145Z/

OSAGE OK-

428 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN

OSAGE COUNTY...

AT 427 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO TRACK A SEVERE

THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A TORNADO LOCATED NEAR

SHIDLER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS VERY DANGEROUS STORM HAS A

HISTORY OF PRODUCING A TORNADO...TAKE COVER NOW!

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now KS

....going to stage 3 in my Sig after this

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS

427 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

EASTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

SOUTHWESTERN ELK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

This warning has already been posted. Try to watch the duplicates.

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